2022 Australian Open Odds Day 13: Ashleigh Barty vs Danielle Collins Betting Preview, Predictions, and Picks

2022 Australian Open Odds Day 13: Ashleigh Barty vs Danielle Collins Betting Preview, Predictions, and Picks

Ashleigh Barty takes on Danielle Collins in the Australian Open final on Saturday, and we bring a preview of this scintillating matchup, complete with tennis free picks. 

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2022 Australian Open Women’s Final: Barty vs Collins

Australian and World No.1 Ashleigh Barty is poised to make history Down Under by becoming the first Australian woman to win the title since 1978. Standing in her way of accomplishing the feat is American Danielle Collins, who emerges as a bit of a surprise contender from a wide field of hopefuls in the women’s game. Can Collins deny Barty?

Oddsmakers have installed Barty as the player to beat in the final, tipping the 25-year-old as the -500 favorite or thereabouts in moneyline markets. Collins, by contrast, is a significant underdog with odds upwards of +300. 

Ashleigh Barty vs Danielle Collins

•  Date: Saturday, January 28, 2022
•  Time: 3:30 AM ET
•  Location, Melbourne, Australia
•  TV Network: ESPN

Ashleigh Barty

Barty is unbeaten in 2022. She warmed up for the Australian Open by winning the Adelaide International title. Overall, she brings a 10-0 win-loss record to the final. 

At the Australian Open, Barty has sailed through the rounds relatively unchallenged. She won six matches without dropping a set, and she has conceded the fewest games on average of any player through the six rounds (3.5 games per match). Only two players were able to make an impression on Barty’s game – Camilla Giorgi, who took five games, and Amanda Anisimova, who took seven games. Indeed, thanks to Giorgi and Anisimova, Barty’s average games per match conceded is higher than it might have been based on the accounts in other rounds. 

Madison Keys came into the semis in fantastic form. The American won the Adelaide International 2 event a week after Barty claimed her title in Adelaide. But Keys had no answers for Barty and was summarily blown off the court in a 6-1,6-3 loss in the semifinals. 

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Danielle Collins

Danielle Collins reaches her second Australian Open semis after first reaching this stage in 2019. At 28 years of age, Collins is a bit of a late bloomer in the women’s game, but that’s partly down to her beginnings in the college circuit. Collins took the college route to the WTA Tour, which isn’t the course traditionally chosen by most players. 

Collins has a 13-3 record in Melbourne. In 2020 and 2021, she was dumped in the second round. Overall, Collins has a 26-16 record at the grand slam level. 

Collins didn’t have the easiest path to the final, but she didn’t have the toughest path either. Before the semis, the highest seed Collins faced was No 19 Elise Mertens in the R16. Collins was forced to come from a set down to win the match 4-6, 6-4, 6-4. 

In the semis, Collins faced was the No.7 seed Iga Swiatek. Collins surprised the Polish star with a strong start in their semi-final clash. In the blink of an eye, Collins was up 4-0 before Swiatek perked up. However, Collins never let up and raced to the 6-4, 6-1 victory. 

Ashleigh Barty vs Danielle Collins Pick

Beating Swiatek will give Collins some confidence ahead of her final against Barty. But as she is making her first-ever grand slam final appearance, the magnitude of the life-changing occasion plus the quality of her opponent could prove overwhelming. 

Collins has shown commendable spirit and determination. She’s feisty, competitive, plucky, and she’s sure to give it her all. All of this makes Collins a tempting bet to pull off the upset. 

Barty is in such good form right now that the title is hers to win or lose. For Collins to win it, she would need to play the match of her life and, maybe even, get some help from Barty. Somehow, it’s hard to see it happening. 

Because Barty’s odds to win are exceptionally high, there is next to no value on a moneyline play. Barty to win in straight sets or three sets offers more attractive odds. Given Barty’s sublime form, a straight-set win is very likely. 

• Barty to win in straight sets (-152) (Bet $152 to win $100)