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The New York Yankees travel to Toronto tonight to kick off a three-game series with the Blue Jays. Can Chris Bassitt and the Blue Jays keep rolling and take game one? Ben Rajavuori breaks down his New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays prediction.
ANALYSIS

New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Prediction: Can Chris Bassitt, Blue Jays Keep Rolling?

The New York Yankees travel to Toronto tonight to kick off a three-game series from the Rogers Centre. This will be the second series of the season between these two already, as the two met for a short two-game series from Yankee Stadium last week. The Yankees took both games, scoring 17 runs across the two. However, this will be their first time facing off against Jay‘s starter Chris Bassett this season. What should we expect in tonight’s game?

Yankees vs. Blue Jays DATE, TIME, AND WHERE TO WATCH

  • Date: April 15, 2024
  • Start Time: 7:07 p.m. ET
  • Where to Watch: MLB Extra Innings

NEW YORK YANKEES VS. TORONTO BLUE JAYS PREDICTION

The Yankees will be sending out starting picture Luis Gil tonight to face the Jays. Gil has two starts on the season already, pitching 4.2 innings against the Diamondbacks in his first start of the season and allowing just one run, followed by an outing last week against the Jays in which he went 4.1 innings, allowing two runs.

Gil will face the Jays in back-to-back starts tonight, which is typically not the best situation for a pitcher, as that favors the hitters having just seen him so recently. The Yankees have been one of the best teams in the MLB through the first few weeks of the season here, sporting a 12–4 record and garnishing some electric hitting. Anthony Volpe is looking like one of the best young stars in the league right now, batting .382 to start the season. Soto has also made an electric start in the pinstripes, batting 3.44 and sporting a .468 on-base percentage to start his career with the Yankees.

Starting Across From will be starting pitcher Chris Bassitt. Chris Bassitt is in his second season with the Blue Jays. Last season, he had a 3.6 ERA across 33 starts and had a fantastic year. He had a few slow starts to kick off this year, giving up four runs in five innings against the Rays and four runs in 4.1 innings against the Astros, but he bounced back nicely last start by giving up just one earned run and a quality start across 6.2 innings against the Mariners.

The strength of Chris Bassitt’s splits across his career has been pitching at home. Across his career so far, he has a 2.7 ERA in 493 innings pitched at home and a 4.38 ERA in 460 innings pitched on the road. He has also given up as many home runs despite pitching 30 more innings at home in his career, giving up 35 at home and 71 on the road.

Last season this rang true even more, as he had a 2.8 ERA at home last season across 17 starts and a 4.5 ERA on the road across 16 starts.

Chris Bassitt has also dominated the Yankees in his recent appearances. While he faced the Yankees only once over the early stages of his career, he faced them twice last season, shutting them out both times. In the first start last season, he pitched seven innings, didn’t give up a single earned run, and only walked one batter, while striking out seven.

In the second start, he went 7.2 scoreless innings, giving up just one walk again and striking out 12. Bassitt absolutely dominated the Yankees last year, and while this lineup appears better out of the gate this year, I think Bassitt has another quality start in him against the pinstripes. The Yankees also went to extra innings yesterday and had to use five bullpen pitchers, including Clay Holmes, and Nick Burdi, who have been the best pitchers out of the bullpen for the Yankees in the early going this season. Given the quick turnaround, I doubt they will be available today. I love the Jays to take the opener here, as this is probably their best chance to win, as Carlos Rodon and Marcus Stroman are the next two pitchers up across the next two games. This is the best pitching matchup they will get in this series. Take the Jays to take game one of this series.

NEW YORK YANKEES VS. TORONTO BLUE JAYS PICK

Pick: Blue Jays ML -110 CLICK HERE TO SEE WHICH SPORTSBOOK HAS THE BEST ODDS

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Article Author

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Ben Rajavuori is a handicapper out of Minneapolis, MN. He has been creating sports content for almost four years now and is an expert in all things NFL, MLB, NBA, UFC, and NCAAB. Ben thrives on diving deep into statistics to find the best angle on every bet. You can follow him on Twitter @WeBeatTheSpread.

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