Best MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert's Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Tuesday
Which players will go yard on April 30th's slate? Jason Radowitz provides his best MLB home run bets for today. Profit with these MLB player prop bets for Tuesday.
Jason Radowitz - April 30, 2024, 9:26 AM EDT
5 minBest MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert's Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Tuesday
Although we got a couple of extra-base hits out of Teoscar Hernandez, he didn't come through with a home run.
We'll look to get back to our winning ways tonight with three more home run props that you should consider!
April 30 Best MLB Home Run Props
Ryan McMahon to Hit a Home Run (+680) CLICK HERE TO SEE WHICH SPORTSBOOK HAS THE BEST ODDS
We don't have the largest sample size from Sixto Sanchez. He's only thrown against 47 batters and 19 lefties.
However, those 19 lefties have hit a .250 ISO and wOBA of .522 with only 10.5% of strikeouts.
On the other hand, Ryan McMahon is a lefty who has hit a .217 ISO and wOBA of .363 against righties since last year. While this game isn't in Coors Field, McMahon still has a lot of potential against Sanchez tonight.
McMahon leads the Rockies in hard contact and barrel percentage against righties. Since last year, he's also hit 28.8% of fly balls against righties.
William Contreras to Hit a Home Run (+400) CLICK HERE TO SEE WHICH SPORTSBOOK HAS THE BEST ODDS
William Contreras has smashed a .269 ISO and wOBA of .451 with 18.9% of strikeouts against lefties over his last 196 plate appearances against them.
He'll take on Tyler Alexander of the Rays, a lefty who has allowed a .209 ISO and wOBA of .391 to 73 righties this season.
Alexander has allowed 30.4% of line drives and 30.4% of fly balls while inducing just 30.4% of ground balls. There's a much higher probability the ball is hit into the air when Contreras puts the ball in play.
Yainer Diaz to Hit a Home Run (+440) CLICK HERE TO SEE WHICH SPORTSBOOK HAS THE BEST ODDS
Houston's catcher, Yainer Diaz, has slugged off righties as a right-handed batter. He's hit a .261 ISO and wOBA of .383 with just 16.4% of strikeouts against righties since last season.
Meanwhile, he'll face Carlos Carrasco of the Guardians, who has struggled against both sides of the plate this season and last year. However, he's slightly worse against righties when it comes to power.
Last season, Carrasco gave up a .246 ISO and wOBA of .408 to righties in 230 plate appearances. This season, it's more of the same. He's allowed a .227 ISO and wOBA of .344 to his first 48 righties.
Let's take a chance with Diaz tonight, as he's hit over 49% of hard contact against righties and 27.3% of fly balls since last season.
Best MLB Home Run Prop Bets Today
- Ryan McMahon to Hit a Home Run (+680) (Bet $100 to collect $780)
- William Contreras to Hit a Home Run (+400) (Bet $100 to collect $500)
- Yainer Diaz to Hit a Home Run (+440) (Bet $100 to collect $540)
MLB ODDS
