Best MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert's Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Tuesday
Best MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert's Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Tuesday
Yesterday, Matt Vierling didn't play, and Kyle Tucker left the game early. Our home run props were doomed from the get-go.
But we're back with three more home run props for tonight's slate! Let's have a night with today's 15-game slate!
June 4 Best MLB Home Run Props
Gunnar Henderson to Hit a Home Run (+390) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds
The consensus is that Bowden Francis will get the ball for the Blue Jays tonight. He's only pitched against 68 batters but has allowed a .250 ISO and wOBA of .405 to those batters this season.
Lefties have even hit 40% of line drives with only 33.3% of ground balls against Francis. In addition, Francis has struck out only 20% of lefties and has allowed a 13.3% barrel percentage.
That said, Gunnar Henderson has hit a .366 ISO and wOBA of .415 against righties over the last 30 days. He's also hit nearly 27% of fly balls with 71.4% of hard contact and a barrel percentage of 14.3%.
I'll take my chances with Henderson tonight.
Alex Bregman to Hit a Home Run (+630) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds
Alex Bregman has been red-hot against righties over the last 30 days. Bregman has smashed a .324 ISO and wOBA of .403 with just 19% of strikeouts in that time frame against righties.
He's also hit 33.3% of fly balls with 61.7% of hard contact and has used a 10% barrel percentage against righties.
Tonight, he'll take on Andre Pallante, who is a right-handed pitcher who is struggling more against righties. Pallante has allowed a .174 ISO and wOBA of .466 to his first 28 righties this season. He's also struggled to induce grounders and has instead allowed 30% of line drives.
Beyond that, Pallante has earned just 10.7% of strikeouts against righties this season. So let's take Bregman to go deep at +630.
Stuart Fairchild to Hit a Home Run (+520) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds
It's likely Stuart Fairchild will lead things off for the Reds at Coors Field tonight. He's a right-handed hitter, who has smacked a .357 ISO and wOBA of .501 against his last 34 lefties. In addition, Fairchild has hit only 27.3% of ground balls and has smacked 27.3% of line drives and fly balls with a 59.1% hard contact rate.
Furthermore, Fairchild has used a 13.6% barrel percentage, which leads the Reds' lineup against left-handed pitchers.
Tonight, he'll face Ty Blach of the Rockies, who has allowed righties to hit a .168 ISO and wOBA of .373. Blach has only struck out 11.8% of righties and has given up nearly 30% of line drives to them.
You can't go wrong with most righties in the Cincinnati lineup. However, using stats from the last 30 days, Fairchild matches up the best.
Best MLB Home Run Prop Bets Today
- Gunnar Henderson to Hit a Home Run (+390) (Bet $100 to collect $490)
- Alex Bregman to Hit a Home Run (+630) (Bet $100 to collect $730)
- Stuart Fairchild to Hit a Home Run (+520) (Bet $100 to collect $620)
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MLB ODDS
Article Author
Jason grew up an avid sports fan. His passion for sports writing grew in high school and he developed a blog that was strictly for New York Sports. From his work, you will quickly realize that he loves looking at games from an analytical and numbers perspective and hopes to provide you with that same perspective in his articles.