Best MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert's Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Wednesday
Looking for more MLB player prop bets for Wednesday? Jason Radowitz provides his best MLB home run bets for June 12th. Read on to find out which players can go yard tonight.
Jason Radowitz - June 12, 2024, 9:41 AM EDT
5 minBest MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert's Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Wednesday
We struck out with our home run props yesterday. But we'll try and get back on track today with a full 15-game slate on the horizon.
Here are three home run props I'm eying for tonight's MLB slate.
June 12 Best MLB Home Run Props
Anthony Santander to Hit a Home Run (+420) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds
Over the last 30 days, Anthony Santander has hit a .320 ISO and wOBA of .390 with only 14.3% of strikeouts against righties. He's hit 36.5% of fly balls and 31.7% of line drives and has only added 20.6% of ground balls.
Beyond that, Santander has hit a 52.4% hard contact rate and has a 14.3% barrel percentage against righties in the last 30 days.
Meanwhile, he'll face Spencer Schwellenbach of the Braves. The rookie righty has allowed a .333 ISO and wOBA of .532 to his first 14 righties faced this season.
He's also allowed 33.3% of line drives and isn't getting as high of a swinging strike rate as he is against lefties.
Taylor Ward to Hit a Home Run (+480) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds
The Angels will face Slade Cecconi, a right-handed pitcher for the Diamondbacks.
Against 170 batters this season, Cecconi has allowed a .244 ISO with more fly balls than ground balls induced. He's also allowed righties to hit a .270 ISO with 37.5% of flyballs this year.
Over the last 30 days, it's been more of the same. Cecconi has given up a .410 ISO and wOBA of .488 to his last 40 right-handed batters.
Therefore, I'm targeting those righties in the Angels' lineup. Over the last month, Taylor Ward has hit a .234 ISO and wOBA of .326 against righties. He's also hit 50% of fly balls and just 26.2% of ground balls against Cecconi.
While Ward strikes out at a high rate, Cecconi has added just 17.5% of strikeouts against righties in the last 30 days. That likely won't be an issue. If Ward puts the ball in play, he'll have a good chance at launching one against Cecconi.
Luke Raley to Hit a Home Run (+470) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds
We don't have the biggest sample size from Jonathan Cannon but he's thrown to 37 lefties and has allowed a .314 ISO and wOBA of .515.
Cannon has also allowed 36% of line drives to lefties with 32% of fly balls. In addition, Cannon has only induced 32% of ground balls.
He'll take on a red-hot power-hitting lefty in Luke Raley of the Mariners. Raley has slugged a .238 ISO and wOBA of .415 against his last 68 righties. He's also hit 52.4% of hard contact with an 11.9% barrel percentage against righties.
This is too good of a matchup to pass up.
Best MLB Home Run Prop Bets Today
- Anthony Santander to Hit a Home Run (+420) (Bet $100 to collect $520)
- Taylor Ward to Hit a Home Run (+480) (Bet $100 to collect $580)
- Luke Raley to Hit a Home Run (+470) (Bet $100 to collect $570)
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MLB ODDS
