Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians Betting Pick: Our Favorite oddschecker+ Positive EV Prop Pick
The Baltimore Orioles will visit the Cleveland Guardians on Thursday night in a high-powered AL battle. Can Ryan Mountcastle and the Orioles start hot on the road? Ben Rajavuori is back with his top prop pick from the oddschecker+ Positive EV tool for Orioles vs. Guardians.
Ben Rajavuori - August 1, 2024, 4:24 PM EDT
5 minBaltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians Betting Pick: Our Favorite oddschecker+ Positive EV Prop Pick
The Cleveland Guardians host the Baltimore Orioles to kick off a four-game mid-week series on a tiny slate this Thursday night. The Orioles and Guardians lead their respective divisions, as the Baltimore Orioles sit in first place in the AL East with a record of 65–44. Meanwhile, the Guardians lead the AL Central with a record of 65–42. Both teams are on winning streaks, meaning tonight’s game in Cleveland should be an exciting one for baseball fans. What should we expect from this game tonight?
Orioles vs. Guardians DATE, TIME, AND WHERE TO WATCH
- Date: August 1, 2024
- Start Time: 6:40 p.m. ET
- Where to Watch: MLB Extra Innings
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oddschecker+ Positive EV Tool
Over the last two days, the oddschecker+ Positive EV Tool has given us a +340 winning home run play two days ago, and a +280 RBI play last night. Tonight, we will go for three in a row on another play using the Positive EV Tool. This play is on Ryan Mountcastle to record an RBI tonight. This play is a little further down on the oddschecker+ Positive EV Tool, but I really like this one after researching it a bit more. The AI Probability has this play at 52% while the implied probability from the sportsbooks is 35%, giving us over 50% positive expected value on this prop pick at +185 odds.
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Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians Betting Pick
Ryan Mountcastle is hitting sixth tonight for the Orioles. The Orioles first baseman is hitting .273 this season, but he has been hot over the last week, hitting .357 over the last seven days. He has 11 RBIs in his last 28 at-bats. Mountcastle has recorded an RBI in five of his last 10 games, and he has an RBI in seven of his last 13 games.
Mountcastle is hitting behind some very talented bats tonight, as he will be hitting behind Gunter Henderson, Anthony Santander, and Ryan O’Hearn. The Orioles are going against Ben Lively tonight, who has been a good pitcher for the Guardians, but is due for some regression, as he is giving up a .271 batting average to right-handed batters. With Ryan Mountcastle hitting so hot lately, I like him to record another RBI tonight at +185 on BetRivers, maximizing our EV on this play.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians Betting Pick
Pick: Ryan Mountcastle to Record an RBI +185 CLICK HERE TO SEE WHICH SPORTSBOOK HAS THE BEST ODDS
MLB ODDS
