Best MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert's Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Monday
Best MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert's Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Monday
We came away empty-handed with yesterday's home run props. Let's get back on track with these next three for August 26th.
August 26 Best MLB Home Run Props
Salvador Perez to Hit a Home Run (+400) CLICK HERE TO SEE WHICH SPORTSBOOK HAS THE BEST ODDS
In the last 30 days, Salvador Perez has launched a .346 ISO and a wOBA of .426 against his last 29 lefties.
He's also struck out just 20.7% of the time, hitting 40.9% of fly balls and 18.2% of ground balls.
Tonight, he'll go up against lefty Logan Allen of the Guardians. Allen has allowed a .333 ISO and a wOBA of .398 to his last 19 righties. He's also given up a .254 ISO and a wOBA of .394 to 341 righties this season.
While Allen is good at inducing ground balls, he's still allowing a high rate of fly balls to righties this season. Let's see if Perez can take advantage and go deep.
Yasmani Grandal to Hit a Home Run (+520) CLICK HERE TO SEE WHICH SPORTSBOOK HAS THE BEST ODDS
Yasmani Grandal has been red-hot at the plate against righties over the last 30 days. The switch-hitter, who will bat from the left side to start tonight's game, has hit a .345 ISO and a wOBA of .442 against his last 35 righties.
Grandal will battle Jameson Taillon of the Cubs, who has allowed his last 67 lefties to hit a .406 ISO and a wOBA of .490. Taillon has only struck out 10.4% of lefties in the previous 30 days. He's also allowed 43.9% of hard contact with only 8% of swinging strikes against lefties over the previous month.
Grandal has hit 50% of hard contact with a 13.6% barrel percenatge over the last month against righties. He can totally take advantage of Taillon's struggles tonight.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. to Hit a Home Run (+350) CLICK HERE TO SEE WHICH SPORTSBOOK HAS THE BEST ODDS
Over the last month, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has smashed a .367 ISO and a wOBA of .497 against his last 88 righties. In addition, Vladdy has struck out only 10.2% of the time, which is crucial knowing he's facing Nick Pivetta tonight.
Pivetta has struck out 26.8% of righties over the last month for the Red Sox. But when he's not earning strikeouts, he's allowing hard contact. Pivetta has allowed 48.1% of hard contact against his last 41 righties.
Beyond that, he's also allowed a .333 ISO and a wOBA of .362, with 25.9% of ground balls induced and 33.3% of fly balls.
Meanwhile, Guerrero Jr. has added 56.3% of hard contact with a team-high 21.1% barrel percentage. As long as he works the count and gets good pitches late, he'll produce and hopefully hit one over the wall.
Best MLB Home Run Prop Bets Today
- Salvador Perez to Hit a Home Run (+400) (Bet $100 to collect $500)
- Yasmani Grandal to Hit a Home Run (+520) (Bet $100 to collect $620)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr. to Hit a Home Run (+350) (Bet $100 to collect $450)
MLB ODDS
Article Author
Jason grew up an avid sports fan. His passion for sports writing grew in high school and he developed a blog that was strictly for New York Sports. From his work, you will quickly realize that he loves looking at games from an analytical and numbers perspective and hopes to provide you with that same perspective in his articles.