Today's Best Bets: Top Five Bets for Wednesday from the oddschecker+ EV Tool
Today's best bets come to us from the oddschecker+ Positive Value Bets Tool and handicapper Matt McCuen. Matt has dug through today's data from the tool and picked his five favorite plays for Wednesday.
Matt McCuen - September 18, 2024, 1:58 PM EDT
3 minToday's Best Bets: Top Five Bets for Wednesday from the oddschecker+ EV Tool
Each day, I head over to the OC+ Positive Value Bets Tool and find my favorite bets for the day. The one issue is there are so many bets I love that I can't write an article for them all. So, I started to put together this top-five list each day and it's been a banger.
Today's article will dive into my five favorite MLB +EV bets. Make sure to check out our +EV tool for your daily best bets!
Today's Best Bets - Wednesday, September 18
1. Willy Adames HR +475
Willy did not come through for us last night, but our +EV tool loves the value tonight and so do I when it comes to one of the hottest players on the planet
Adames has had a career year hitting the long ball and faces a pitcher in Aaron Nola, who has had trouble keeping the ball in the yard.
The expected value of this prop is 83.71%
2. Jackson Merrill RBI +235
We are getting tremendous value on this prop tonight as we're backing a player who's playing for one of the hottest teams in baseball playing a crucial game
The rookie is the betting favorite to win Rookie of the Year and should continue to shine tonight.
Our AI probability is 54.43% on this prop.
3. Dylan Cease Over 7.5 Ks +310
Cease has enjoyed a strong season in year one with the Padres after coming over from the White Sox and it should continue tonight.
The 28-year-old ranks third in the MLB with 215 strikes out this season and we only need 8 or more against the Astros.
The expected value of this prop is 64.08%.
4. Vladimir Gurrero Jr RBI +150
While the Jays have struggled this year, Vladdy is not to blame as he's had a major bounce-back year.
Gurrero leads the team with 97 runs batted in this season and we have him tonight at +150 to knock in a run.
Our AI probability is 60.54 % compared to the implied probability of just 40% based on those +150 odds.
5. Bryan Reynolds RBI +210
The All-Star outfielder has enjoyed one of the best years of his career in Pittsburgh this season and +210 to bring a run across is just too high to ignore
Reynolds leads the team in 2024 with 85 RBIs. The expected value of this prop is 48.18%.
