Today's Best Bets: Top Five Bets for Wednesday from the oddschecker+ EV Tool
Today's Best Bets: Top Five Bets for Wednesday from the oddschecker+ EV Tool
Each day, I head over to the OC+ Positive Value Bets Tool and find my favorite bets for the day. The one issue is there are so many bets I love that I can't write an article for them all. So, I started to put together this top-five list each day and it's been a banger.
Today's article will dive into my five favorite MLB +EV bets. Make sure to check out our +EV tool for your daily best bets!
Today's Best Bets - Wednesday, September 18
1. Willy Adames HR +475
Willy did not come through for us last night, but our +EV tool loves the value tonight and so do I when it comes to one of the hottest players on the planet
Adames has had a career year hitting the long ball and faces a pitcher in Aaron Nola, who has had trouble keeping the ball in the yard.
The expected value of this prop is 83.71%
2. Jackson Merrill RBI +235
We are getting tremendous value on this prop tonight as we're backing a player who's playing for one of the hottest teams in baseball playing a crucial game
The rookie is the betting favorite to win Rookie of the Year and should continue to shine tonight.
Our AI probability is 54.43% on this prop.
3. Dylan Cease Over 7.5 Ks +310
Cease has enjoyed a strong season in year one with the Padres after coming over from the White Sox and it should continue tonight.
The 28-year-old ranks third in the MLB with 215 strikes out this season and we only need 8 or more against the Astros.
The expected value of this prop is 64.08%.
4. Vladimir Gurrero Jr RBI +150
While the Jays have struggled this year, Vladdy is not to blame as he's had a major bounce-back year.
Gurrero leads the team with 97 runs batted in this season and we have him tonight at +150 to knock in a run.
Our AI probability is 60.54 % compared to the implied probability of just 40% based on those +150 odds.
5. Bryan Reynolds RBI +210
The All-Star outfielder has enjoyed one of the best years of his career in Pittsburgh this season and +210 to bring a run across is just too high to ignore
Reynolds leads the team in 2024 with 85 RBIs. The expected value of this prop is 48.18%.
Article Author
Matt McCuen is a native of Delco, PA. He has been working in the sports gambling industry and creating content for the last few years. He is an expert in numerous different sports, including the NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL, and collegiate sports. You can follow Matt on Twitter at @DeadPresPicks.