Phillies vs. Guardians Same-Game Parlay: Can Zack Wheeler, Trea Turner Dominate on Sunday Night Baseball?
The Phillies will look to take two out of three against the Guardians on Sunday Night Baseball. They'll need big games from Zack Wheeler and Trea Turner to get it done on the road, and Matt MacKay explains why they are ready to rock in his Phillies vs. Guardians same-game parlay for Sunday, May 11th.
Matt MacKay - May 11, 2025, 5:30 PM EDT
6 minPhillies vs. Guardians Same-Game Parlay: Can Zack Wheeler, Trea Turner Dominate on Sunday Night Baseball?
The Philadelphia Phillies will play the Cleveland Guardians on the road for the third straight game of their series on Sunday Night Baseball. It's 1-1 entering tonight's tilt, featuring Zach Wheeler on the mound for the Phillies and Luis Ortiz as the Guardians' starting pitcher.
Philadelphia and Cleveland are both trending up, each 7-3 across their last ten games played. The division lead is within reach for these teams, who are evenly matched ahead of Sunday Night Baseball.
Oddsmakers are laying -178 on the Phillies moneyline as a road favorite. The run total is low at 7.5, with -120 odds on under 7.5.
MLB handicapper Matt MacKay has a brand-new Sunday Night Baseball Same-Game Parlay to bet between the Phillies and Guardians. Last week's Dodgers vs. Braves Same-Game Parlay settled one leg short of a win for the second straight outing, as Los Angeles lost 4-3 on the road to Atlanta.
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Phillies vs. Guardians Odds
- Moneyline: Phillies (-178), Guardians (+155)
- Runline: Phillies -1.5 (+102), Guardians +1.5 (-110)
- Total: Over 7.5 (+110), Under 7.5 (-120)
Phillies vs. Guardians Date, Time, and Where to Watch
- Date: Sunday, May 11, 2025
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Where to Watch: ESPN
Click here to see complete Phillies vs. Guardians Odds
Phillies vs. Guardians Same-Game Parlay
Leg 1: Under 7.5 Total Runs (-290)
7.5 total runs implies oddsmakers believe scoring will be at a premium between the Phillies and Guardians bats on Sunday Night Baseball. Cleveland is averaging 4.21 runs per game, below the league average of 4.37 runs per game.
The Phillies are better with 4.82 runs per game. However, Philadelphia is 2-2 on under 7.5 total runs in their last four games, barely going over during a 7-1 win against the Guardians on Saturday night.
Wheeler has a 3.35 ERA, while Ortiz has a 5.30 ERA. Cleveland's pitcher is coming off of a poor performance against Washington, allowing five hits, five earned runs, three walks, and a home run in 5.1 innings pitched. Wheeler managed to control Tampa Bay's offense, holding them to two runs on four hits, while racking up nine strikeouts.
The under depends on how well Ortiz pitches against the Phillies bats tonight. He's shown talent against weaker offenses like the Angels, Royals, Pirates and Twins, while getting lit up by the Padres, Yankees, and Nationals.
Five of Cleveland's last six games at Progressive Field against National League opponents have gone under the total runs line. Let's insert under 7.5 total runs in what projects to be a low-scoring, defensive battle on the diamond tonight.
Leg 2: Zack Wheeler Over 6.5 Strikeouts (-138)
Wheeler is one of the best pitchers in the league when it comes to racking up strikeouts. He's facing a Guardians lineup that is averaging 8.00 strikeouts per game in its last three matchups and just 7.79 strikeouts per game this season, which is eighth-fewest in the MLB.
Despite a tough matchup, Wheeler's talent will rise to the top. He's only gone under 6.5 strikeouts once in eight starts for the Phillies in 2025. Plus, he typically pitches six or seven innings, giving Wheeler plenty of volume to clock seven punch outs at the plate.
Let's back the better pitcher in this game and bet on Wheeler to record over 6.5 strikeouts for the second leg of this Phillies vs. Guardians Same-Game Parlay on Sunday Night Baseball.
Leg 3: Trae Turner Over 0.5 Player Hits (-244)
Trae Turner is the Phillies batter I want to invest in against Ortiz. Turner has a nine-game hit streak intact and boasts a .318 batting average.
This is the most juiced line in this parlay at -244 odds but it's because Turner has logged two hits in five consecutive games. The hot streak will end soon but I doubt it happens against Ortiz tonight.
This right-handed hitter leads the Phillies bats with 48 hits. Turner is facing a pitcher who has allowed five or more hits in four of seven starts.
Let's back Turner to record a hit and cash our one-unit bet on this Phillies vs. Guardians Same-Game Parlay at +327 odds.
Phillies vs. Guardians Same-Game Parlay (+327) (Bet $100 to Collect $427)
- Leg 1: Under 7.5 Total Runs (-120)
- Leg 2: Zack Wheeler Over 6.5 Strikeouts (-138)
- Leg 3: Trae Turner Over 0.5 Player Hits (-244)
MLB ODDS
