3 Best Home Run Prop Bets, Picks, and HR Odds For Tuesday, July 8th
With just days remaining before the MLB All-Star Break, we only have one last Dinger Tuesday to enjoy before a week off. Jason Radowitz is gearing up with his best home run bets for Tuesday, July 8th, including Gavin Sheets and others. Check out this expert's best MLB home run bets for today.
Jason Radowitz - July 8, 2025, 2:38 PM EDT
4 Minute Read3 Best Home Run Prop Bets, Picks, and HR Odds For Tuesday, July 8th
It's Dinger Tuesday!
Let's take advantage of the epic FanDuel promo where FanDuel gives you a 50% profit boost on any player to hit a home run! That said, I've added three home run props for tonight's 15-game slate and talked about them below.
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July 8 Best MLB Home Run Props
Otto Lopez to Hit a Home Run (+560) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds
Otto Lopez has smacked a .169 ISO and wOBA of .395 against his last 76 righties. He's also struck out only 14.5% of the time and has hit 32.7% of line drives, with 41.8% of hard contact and a 9.1% barrel percentage.
Meanwhile, he'll battle Nick Martinez of the Reds. Martinez has allowed a .432 ISO and wOBA of .515 to his last 48 righties. He's also struck out righties only 12.5% of the time during that stretch and has allowed 41% of fly balls, while inducing only 30.8% of ground balls.
Additionally, Martinez has allowed a 23.1% barrel percentage to his last 48 righties and has earned only 8.2% of swinging strikes.
Lopez has a lot of potential to line one over the wall tonight.
Alejandro Kirk to Hit a Home Run (+500) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds
Alejandro Kirk is red hot for the Blue Jays. The Toronto right-handed catcher has slugged a .238 ISO and wOBA of .396 with only 7.1% of strikeouts against righties over the last 30 days. He's also earned 31% of line drives and 67.2% of hard contact. Beyond that, Kirk leads the Blue Jays with a 17.2% barrel percentage against righties over the last month.
Tonight, he'll take on Aaron Civale on the Chicago White Sox. Civale, a right-handed pitcher, has allowed a .222 ISO and wOBA of .363 with 41.8% of fly balls allowed to his last 69 righties.
Civale has only struck out 13% of those 69 righties and has allowed 43.6% of hard contact with a 12.7% barrel percentage.
Kirk is in a great spot.
Gavin Sheets to Hit a Home Run (+540) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds
Gavin Sheets and the Padres will take on Merrill Kelly of the Diamondbacks. Kelly has allowed a .302 ISO and wOBA of .398 to his last 58 lefties as a right-handed pitcher.
He's also struck out just 17.2% of lefties over the last month and has allowed 37.2% of fly balls, while inducing only 32.6% of ground balls. Kelly has also allowed an 11.6% barrel percentage and has added below 9% swinging strikes against lefties.
On the other hand, he'll face Gavin Sheets of the Padres, who is a left-handed power slugger. Sheets has hit a .175 ISO and wOBA of .332 with only 13.6% of strikeouts against righties. He's also hit just 26.5% of grounders and 34.7% of fly balls, with 77.6% of hard contact.
These stats look really good compared to Kelly's over the last 30 days. Let's try to take advantage.
Best MLB Home Run Prop Bets Today
- Otto Lopez to Hit a Home Run (+560)
- Alejandro Kirk to Hit a Home Run (+500)
- Gavin Sheets to Hit a Home Run (+540)
MLB ODDS
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