Dallas Mavericks vs. Phoenix Suns Prediction: Can Luka Doncic and the Mavericks Force a Game 7?

Tuesday night, the Dallas Mavericks host the Phoenix Suns in Game 6 of the Western Conference Semifinals. The Suns lead the series 3-2. Handicapper Jason Radowitz previews the game and gives us his best bet.
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Dallas Mavericks vs. Phoenix Suns: Will there be a Game 7?

The Phoenix Suns proved just how good they can be with a 110-80 win over the Mavericks, at home, in Game 5. The Suns' home win has now given the Suns a 3-2 lead in the West Semifinals with a chance to clinch the series on the road, Thursday.

The Mavericks are 2-0 when Luka Doncic scores 30 or more points and 0-3 when Doncic scores fewer than 30 points. In Game 5, he scored 28 points on 10-of-23 from the field. Can Luka continue to work his magic and force a game 7? Here are our picks, predictions, and odds for Thursday's game are between the Dallas Mavericks vs. Phoenix Suns.

Mavericks vs. Suns Game 6 Start Time and Where to Watch, and Odds

  • Date: May 12, 2022
  • Game Time: 9:30 pm ET
  • Where to Watch: ESPN

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Mavericks vs. Suns Injury Report


Out: G Tim Hardaway Jr. (Foot)


Out: F Dario Saric (Knee)

Mavericks vs. Suns Game 6 Line Movement

Dallas Mavericks vs. Phoenix Suns Game 6 Prediction

Home teams have been cooking in the conference semifinals of the NBA playoffs. The Suns and Mavericks continue to win at home, which is still an advantage for the Suns knowing that Phoenix would have the last game at home if necessary.

In Game 5, the Mavericks really lacked production outside of Luka Doncic and Jalen Brunson. That's how it's been most of this series. The Mavericks scored just 80 points on the night and had 49 points from Brunson and Doncic.

At times, other Mavs players will step up but the inconsistency is mind-boggling. The Mavericks shot 38% from the field while allowing the Suns to shoot close to 50% from the field. Dallas was dominated on the glass, losing the battle by 12, and gave up six more offensive rebounds than the Mavericks were able to bring down.

Phoenix finally limited turnovers on the offensive end while holding Dallas to just 24 points in the paint on the defensive end. The Mavericks also took 16 fewer shot attempts and while they ended up getting to the line a lot more, Dallas only shot 66.7% from the foul line while the Suns hit 75% of foul shots.

The Mavericks have been much better defensively at home, however, and with Game 6 being played at home, there's reason to believe that Dallas can force a Game 7. Dallas will essentially need to out-shoot Phoenix in Game 6 to win.

The Mavericks consistently lose on the glass and are unable to defend at a high rate against the Suns, for whatever reason. The Suns will dominate the paint but if Dallas can force more turnovers at home, that will test Phoenix a bit.

The Suns have been unstoppable at home but I like Dallas to keep this series tight throughout. Give me the Mavericks, at home. Someone is going to step up on Dallas beyond Doncic and Brunson. Maybe it's Spencer Dinwiddie or Dorian Finney-Smith. Maybe it's Maxi Kleber, Davis Bertans, or Reggie Bullock. Someone needs to take some weight off Doncic's back to help win this game.

Dallas Mavericks vs. Phoenix Suns Game 6 Pick

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ROI -13%

Jason grew up an avid sports fan. His passion for sports writing grew in high school and he developed a blog that was strictly for New York Sports. From his work, you will quickly realize that he loves looking at games from an analytical and numbers perspective and hopes to provide you with that same perspective in his articles.


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