Kansas City Chiefs vs Los Angeles Chargers Prediction, Pick: Can Matt Ammendola Shine in Chiefs Debut?
Kansas City Chiefs vs Los Angeles Chargers Prediction, Pick: Can Matt Ammendola Shine in Chiefs Debut?
The Los Angeles Chargers travel to Kansas City to take on the Chiefs for Thursday Night Football. Which of these teams will be 2-0? We’re betting on a market we’ve never bet before here. We're attacking a weird market for value. Let's get into my prediction, pick, and odds for the Chiefs and Chargers on Thursday Night Football.
Chiefs vs. Chargers Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds
- Date: September 15, 2022
- Game Time: 8:15 pm ET
- Where to Watch: Amazon Prime Video
Click Here for Chiefs vs. Chargers
Kansas City Chiefs vs. Los Angeles Chargers Pick
1u - Matt Ammendola o2.5 XPs (-125) (Bet $125 to win $100)
*Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing*
Matt Ammendola has won the kicking competition to fill in for Butker in Kansas City. The Chief held a six-man “kicking derby” which he won and he now gets the kicking duties on Thursday Night Football tonight. Amendola has played 11 games in the NFL all for the Jets. Due to playing for New York, he didn’t find himself in the red zone too often to be utilized. He made 14/15 extra points and 13/19 field goal attempts. At first glance, that field goal attempts number looks shaky but you’d be glad to know he went 11/11 on his attempts from 40 yards and shorter. Factoring in field goals and extra points he is 25/26 on the kicks we need from him tonight.
Kansas City Chiefs vs. Los Angeles Chargers Prediction
Justin Reid did a fine job filling in as a safety but still missed an extra point last week and showed that he was more effective on kickoffs than anything. We’re really not betting on Ammendola here, I just love this number. If you were to just bet on Chiefs touchdowns it is juiced the same number at -125 at 3.5. For those betters, they need four touchdowns but there’s a good chance we only need three. I know the chance of going for two exists but the Chiefs only went for two-three times last year. If he attempts the extra points he should make them, if the Chiefs get three touchdowns you would expect 21 points.
A good comparison here is Butker. Butker has 3+ XPM in 24/39 games since 2020. That's a 61% hit rate and this matchup is a good one. This game projects to be high scoring with a 54-point total and the Chiefs as four-point favorites. The Chiefs have an implied total of nearly 30 points tonight and if that’s the case I could easily see three XP made. This market seems to have a real upside to it and it’s cool because we’re just rooting for the team to score touchdowns and not just hyperfocused on one individual.