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The Kansas City Chiefs will take on the Denver Broncos to begin Week 6 of the NFL season. Jason Radowitz is here to explain why you should expect Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs to put on a show on TNF. Read on to see this NFL Week 6 TNF pick.
ANALYSIS

Broncos vs. Chiefs Prediction, Pick, Odds: Expect Patrick Mahomes, Chiefs To Put On a Show on TNF

It's unlikely we'll see an upset on Thursday Night Football.

The reigning and defending Super Bowl Champions will take on the Denver Broncos to begin Week 6 of the NFL season.

The Chiefs have won 15 straight games against the Broncos and likely won't have a hiccup in the early matchup on Thursday.

Although the Chiefs haven't looked as impressive as other years, they're much better than the Denver Broncos, who some would say are the worst team in the NFL.

Can the Chiefs at least cover the spread against the Broncos?

Here are our picks, predictions, and odds for Thursday's game between the Denver Broncos vs. Kansas City Chiefs.

Broncos vs. Chiefs Date, Time, and Where to Watch

  • Date: October 12, 2023
  • Game Time: 8:15 pm ET
  • Where to Watch: Prime Video

Broncos vs. Chiefs Odds

  • Spread: Broncos +10.5 (-110), Chiefs -10.5 (-110)
  • Total Odds: O/U 48.5 (-110)
  • Moneyline Odds: Broncos (+400), Chiefs (-535)

Broncos vs. Chiefs Injury Report

Broncos

Questionable: DT D.J. Jones (Knee), LB Frank Clark (Illness), LB Justin Strnad (Back), TE Greg Dulcich (Hamstring), S Justin Simmons (Quadricep), RB Javonte Williams (Hip Flexer)

Out: LB Baron Browning (Knee), OT Alex Palczewski (Hand), CB K'Waun Williams (Ankle)

Chiefs

Questionable: DE George Karlaftis (Hamstring), TE Travis Kelce (Ankle), LB Nick Bolton (Ankle)

Out: WR Richie James (Knee), DE BJ Thompson (Hamstring), OT Prince Tega Wanogho (Quadricep)

Denver Broncos vs. Kansas City Chiefs Prediction

The Denver Broncos have started the season 1-4. Most recently, the Broncos lost to the Jets, 31-21, at home in a game where the offense couldn't find any rhythm.

Denver's offense has been solid enough. It would've been good with last year's team. But this season, 346.2 yards per game hasn't been enough.

Russell Wilson has thrown 11 touchdowns and only two interceptions. But he's getting hit with a lot of pressure, thanks to an average offensive line.

On the other hand, the Chiefs' defense has allowed 316.4 yards per game. They've also shut down the run game, holding teams to 97.2 yards a game.

Kansas City is giving up 219.2 yards per game in the air, which isn't so bad. If anything, the secondary has performed the best for this club. The pass rush is also above-average, but nothing to rave about, despite Chris Jones in the middle of the defense.

Meanwhile, the Chiefs haven't been crisp offensively this year. They've added 386.6 yards per game, with 263.6 in the air. Patrick Mahomes has thrown fewer touchdowns than Russell Wilson and more interceptions than Wilson, with ten touchdowns and four interceptions.

But Mahomes should have success throwing the football against a Broncos defense that has given up 281.8 yards per game this year. Per game, the defense has allowed 469.4 yards.

Denver has missed countless tackles. They've also struggled against the run, an area where Isiah Pacheco can succeed.

While the Chiefs don't really have incredible depth at wide receiver, I don't think that'll matter against the Broncos.

Take the Chiefs to cover the -10.5 spread.

Denver Broncos vs. Kansas City Chiefs Pick

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Article Author

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Jason grew up an avid sports fan. His passion for sports writing grew in high school and he developed a blog that was strictly for New York Sports. From his work, you will quickly realize that he loves looking at games from an analytical and numbers perspective and hopes to provide you with that same perspective in his articles.

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