PSG vs Monaco Prediction, Betting Pick, Latest Champions League Odds for Play-Off Leg 2
In a pivotal Champions League second-leg encounter, Paris Saint-Germain host Monaco at the iconic Parc des Princes on Wednesday, 25th February 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 8:00 PM UTC. The Parisian giants enter this crucial fixture holding a slender 3-2 aggregate lead, having overturned an early two-goal deficit in the first leg, setting the stage for a tense battle as both sides vie for a place in the next round of Europe's elite competition.
OC Staff - February 25, 2026, 8:40 AM EST
3 Minute ReadPSG vs Monaco: Lineups, Team News and Prediction
In a pivotal Champions League second-leg encounter, Paris Saint-Germain host Monaco at the iconic Parc des Princes on Wednesday, 25th February 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 8:00 PM UTC. The Parisian giants enter this crucial fixture holding a slender 3-2 aggregate lead, having overturned an early two-goal deficit in the first leg, setting the stage for a tense battle as both sides vie for a place in the next round of Europe's elite competition.
PSG vs Monaco Form
PSG arrive into this fixture on the back of a dominant 3-0 home victory over Metz in Ligue 1, a result that allowed them to rest key players ahead of this Champions League clash. Their recent form shows a mix of results across competitions: prior to their win against Metz, they suffered a 3-2 away defeat to Monaco in the first leg of this tie, followed by a 3-1 away win against Rennes, a resounding 5-0 home triumph over Marseille, and a narrow 2-1 away loss to Strasbourg. Their last six games also include a 1-1 home draw against Newcastle in the Champions League group stage.
Monaco, meanwhile, also secured a win in their latest outing, beating Lens 3-2 away in Ligue 1. This victory demonstrates the principality side's resilience, especially after their 3-2 home defeat to PSG in the first leg of this tie. Before that, Monaco secured a 3-1 home win against Nantes, played out a goalless draw away at Nice, suffered a 3-1 Coupe de France defeat to Strasbourg, and recorded a convincing 4-0 home victory over Rennes.
PSG vs Monaco Head to Head
The most recent encounter between these two formidable sides saw PSG claim a vital 3-2 away victory over Monaco in the first leg of this Champions League tie on February 17th, 2026. Looking at their last six meetings across all competitions, PSG have largely held the upper hand, securing four wins, while Monaco have managed two victories, and one match ended in a draw. Notably, PSG have won their last three home matches against Monaco in all competitions, showcasing their dominance when playing on their own turf.
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PSG vs. Monaco Odds
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PSG vs Monaco Probable Lineups
PSG (4-3-3):
- Goalkeeper: Safonov
- Defenders: Mendes, Pacho, Marquinhos, Hakimi
- Midfielders: Neves, Vitinha, Zaïre-Emery
- Forwards: Kvaratskhelia, Ramos, Doué
Monaco (3-4-2-1):
- Goalkeeper: Köhn
- Defenders: Kehrer, Faes, Zakaria
- Midfielders: Henrique, Teze, Camara, Diatta
- Attacking Midfielders: Adingra, Coulibaly
- Forward: Balogun
PSG vs Monaco Team News
Paris Saint-Germain face a few absences for this crucial second leg. Dembélé remains sidelined after picking up an injury in the first leg, while Fabián Ruiz and Senny Mayulu are also unavailable due to injuries. Ndjantou is also reported to be missing. Despite these setbacks, manager Luis Enrique is expected to stick with a 4-3-3 formation, focusing on midfield control and the aggressive attacking contributions of his full-backs. Vitinha will be key in orchestrating play, having consistently demonstrated his ability to control possession and tempo. Désiré Doué, who bagged a brace in the first leg, will be looked upon for his goal-scoring prowess, particularly given his impressive Champions League scoring record and past success against Monaco. Achraf Hakimi's attacking surges from right-back will be vital in stretching Monaco's defence, while Gonçalo Ramos offers a strong presence in the penalty area in Dembélé’s absence.
Monaco will be without the creative influence of Golovin, who is suspended after receiving a red card in the first leg. Akliouche, Dier, Ouattara, Mawissa, and Hrádecký are also confirmed absentees due to injury, thinning the visitors' options in midfield and defence. Manager Sébastien Pocognoli is likely to deploy a 3-4-2-1 system, aiming for defensive solidity while hoping to exploit counter-attacking opportunities. Folarin Balogun will be Monaco’s primary threat, having scored twice in the first leg and boasting a strong scoring record in the Champions League and against PSG. Simon Adingra's ability to provide early verticality will be crucial for Monaco to gain a foothold in the game, especially with Golovin's absence. The midfield duo of Camara and Zakaria will need to strike a delicate balance between defensive duties and supporting attacks.
PSG vs Monaco Match Facts
- PSG have won their last 3 home matches against Monaco in all competitions.
Prediction: PSG 2-1 Monaco
Paris Saint-Germain return to the Parc des Princes with a 3-2 aggregate advantage, a psychological boost after their first-leg comeback against Monaco. Folarin Balogun's early double had initially stunned the holders, but Désiré Doué's brace and Achraf Hakimi's decisive strike quickly turned the tide, especially following Golovin's red card for Monaco.
The numbers from the first leg underscore PSG's dominance: they registered 30 shots and controlled over 80% possession, a rare feat in Champions League knockout football. When PSG establish this rhythm, they are notoriously difficult to dislodge. History further supports their position, as PSG have progressed from 17 of their 18 European ties after winning the first leg away from home. Conversely, Monaco have been eliminated in all seven previous European knockout ties where they lost the first leg at home. While Monaco will undoubtedly start with urgency and Balogun poses a significant threat on the counter, PSG’s robust midfield control, Doué’s current form, and their historical efficiency in defending first-leg leads should see them manage the tie effectively. Expect a hard-fought match, but the Parisian giants are poised to secure their passage to the next round.
Best Bet: Both Teams to Score – Yes (-138) Check out the best odds on Caesars Sportsbook
Given PSG's attacking prowess, evidenced by their high possession and shot count in the first leg, and Monaco's need to chase the game, it's highly probable that both teams will find the back of the net. Folarin Balogun’s form and his history of scoring against PSG, coupled with Monaco's attacking intent despite their defensive frailties, suggest they will create chances. PSG, with their array of attacking talent and home advantage, are almost guaranteed to score. Therefore, betting on Both Teams to Score – Yes offers a valuable angle.
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