Leeds vs Sunderland Prediction, Betting Pick, Latest Premier League Odds for Tuesday, March 3rd
In a crucial Premier League clash that sees two teams looking to solidify their positions away from the relegation zone, 15th-placed Leeds will host 12th-placed Sunderland at Elland Road. The match is scheduled for Tuesday, March 3rd, 2026, with kick-off at 7:30 PM UTC.
OC Staff - March 3, 2026, 10:20 AM EST
3 Minute ReadLeeds vs Sunderland: Lineups, Team News and Prediction
In a crucial Premier League clash that sees two teams looking to solidify their positions away from the relegation zone, 15th-placed Leeds will host 12th-placed Sunderland at Elland Road. The match is scheduled for Tuesday, March 3rd, 2026, with kick-off at 7:30 PM UTC.
Leeds vs Sunderland Form
The Whites come into this fixture on the back of a narrow 1-0 defeat to Manchester City in their last outing, a result that snapped a three-game unbeaten run across all competitions. Prior to that, they secured a 3-1 home victory against Nottingham Forest. Over their last six Premier League matches, Leeds have picked up 10 points, winning three, drawing one, and losing two, placing them 7th in the form table for home matches.
Sunderland, meanwhile, managed to salvage a point in their last Premier League game with a 1-1 away draw against Bournemouth. However, their league form has been concerning, with their last Premier League win coming over a month ago. Over their last six matches across all competitions, the Black Cats have recorded one win (in the FA Cup), one draw, and four losses, leaving them 18th in the overall form table for the Premier League. One notable fact is that Sunderland have failed to win 12 of their last 13 Premier League away matches.
Leeds vs Sunderland Head to Head
The most recent encounter between these two sides ended in a 1-1 draw at Sunderland's home ground in December 2025. This result continued a trend of tight contests between the two, with four of their last six meetings ending in a draw. Over these six matches, Leeds have secured one victory, Sunderland have also claimed one win, with the remaining four matches finishing level.
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Leeds vs. Sunderland Odds
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Leeds vs Sunderland Probable Lineups
Leeds (3-5-2):
- Goalkeeper: Darlow
- Defenders: Justin, Struijk, Rodon
- Midfielders: Gudmundsson (ML), Gruev (MC), Ampadu (MC), Aaronson (MC), Bogle (MR)
- Forwards: Calvert-Lewin, Nmecha
Sunderland (4-3-3):
- Goalkeeper: Roefs
- Defenders: Hume (DL), Ballard (DC), Alderete (DC), Geertruida (DR)
- Midfielders: Xhaka (MC), Poveda (DM), Jones (MC)
- Forwards: L. Fée (FL), Mayenda (FC), Talbi (FR)
Leeds vs Sunderland Team News
Leeds are expected to be without Noah Okafor, who is listed as doubtful due to a muscle injury and is still a few weeks away from returning. Manager Daniel Farke might consider recalling Lukas Nmecha to partner Dominic Calvert-Lewin up front, as Nmecha has started the last two games on the bench.
Sunderland face a more significant injury crisis, with several key players unavailable. Nordi Mukiele (calf) remains sidelined, while Brian Brobbey is set for weeks out with a groin problem. Romaine Mundle is a long-term absentee after undergoing hamstring surgery, and Dennis Cirkin is still a week away from returning to action. Additionally, Traoré is listed as doubtful. These absences could severely impact the Black Cats' squad depth and tactical options.
Leeds vs Sunderland Match Facts
- Sunderland have failed to win 12 of their last 13 Premier League away matches.
- Sunderland have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last 10 Premier League away matches.
Prediction: Leeds 2-1 Sunderland
Leeds enter this contest aiming to bounce back from their defeat to Manchester City, and their home form has been a key factor in their season, with a respectable 7th position in the home form table. The Whites possess strengths in "shooting from direct free kicks," "attacking set pieces," and "creating scoring chances," indicating a potent offensive threat. They also have a knack for "coming back from losing positions," suggesting resilience. However, they struggle with "keeping possession" and "defending against attacks down the wings" and "set pieces."
Sunderland, despite their lower league position, also show resilience with a strength in "coming back from losing positions" and are solid in "protecting the lead" and "aerial duels." Their playing style involves "attacking down the right" and playing with "width," which could exploit Leeds' defensive vulnerabilities on the wings. However, a significant weakness for the Black Cats is "finishing scoring chances," which could undermine their attacking efforts, especially with multiple key players missing due to injury. The forecast indicates Sunderland will make a comeback if they go behind, hinting at a potential open game. Given Leeds' stronger home form and Sunderland's struggles with finishing and extensive injury list, the hosts are likely to edge this one.
Best Bet: Over 2.5 Goals (+110) Click here to get the best odds at FanDuel Sportsbook
Considering Leeds' attacking strengths, their tendency to take a lot of shots, and their defensive weaknesses against wing play and set pieces, there's a strong likelihood of goals. Sunderland, despite their finishing woes, attack with width and have a proven ability to score when coming from behind. With both teams having conceded regularly in recent matches, and Sunderland failing to keep a clean sheet in their last 10 Premier League away matches, a 2-1 scoreline points towards a game with at least three goals.
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