Horse Racing Tips & Predictions: Liam Firkin Thursday Selections
Ayr 13:45 Betting Odds- Winner
Stella Artois Apprentice Handicap
- Starters:12
- Distance:1m 2f 0y
- Class: 5
- Age:3YO plus
- Prize:£4187
- Going:Heavy (Soft in places)
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| 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 3 1/4 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 3 1/4 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 3 1/4 | 3 1/4 | 3 1/4 | 3 1/4 | 4 1/5 | 3 1/4 | 3 1/4 | 4 1/5 | 3 1/4 | 3 1/4 | 3 1/4 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 3 1/4 |
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| 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 3 1/4 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 3 1/4 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 3 1/4 | 3 1/4 | 3 1/4 | 3 1/4 | 4 1/5 | 3 1/4 | 3 1/4 | 4 1/5 | 3 1/4 | 3 1/4 | 3 1/4 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 3 1/4 |
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| 6 |  Lauren Young422252 | 5/2 | 5/2 | 11/4 | 5/2 | 5/2 | 5/2 | 11/4 | 9/4 | 12/5 | 9/4 | 11/4 | 3 | 15/8 | 5/2 | 5/2 | 5/2 | 5/2 | 11/4 | 5/2 | 5/2 | 5/2 | 5/2 | SP | 27/10 | 27/10 | |
| 5 |  Mason Paetel334344 | 5 | 9/2 | 5 | 9/2 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 7/2 | 9/2 | 9/2 | 5 | 9/2 | 5 | 9/2 | 9/2 | 9/2 | 5 | 9/2 | 9/2 | 9/2 | 9/2 | SP | 343/ 50 | 29/4 | |
| 9 |  Jack Nicholls280322 | 9/2 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 9/2 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 10/3 | 4 | 9/2 | 9/2 | 9/2 | 5 | 9/2 | 9/2 | 9/2 | 5 | 9/2 | 9/2 | 9/2 | 9/2 | SP | 147/ 25 | 142/ 25 | |
| 2 |  Shay Farmer244184 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 17/2 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 15/2 | 15/2 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | SP | 113/ 10 | 59/5 | |
| 10 |  Warren Fentiman504634 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 15/2 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 10 | SP | 93/10 | 103/ 10 | |
| 7 |  Jake Dickson262254 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 17/2 | 9 | 10 | 15/2 | 15/2 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | SP | 54/5 | 54/5 | |
| 1 |  C Horgan-80317 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | SP | 127/ 10 | 66/5 | |
| 12 |  Rhys Elliott737675 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | SP | 137/ 10 | 71/5 | |
| 8 |  Alex Jary540364 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 12 | 16 | 16 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 16 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | SP | 171/ 10 | 20 | |
| 3 |  Amie Waugh665527 | 18 | 18 | 20 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 20 | 14 | 14 | 16 | 18 | 20 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 20 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | SP | 20 | 22 | |
| 4 |  William Pyle839110 | 18 | 18 | 20 | 20 | 18 | 20 | 20 | 16 | 14 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | SP | 21 | 24 | |
| 11 |  K S McHugh331689 | 66 | 66 | 66 | 66 | 66 | 66 | 66 | 50 | 50 | 66 | 66 | 66 | 66 | 66 | 66 | 66 | 66 | 66 | 66 | 66 | 66 | 66 | SP | 58 | 82 | |
Ayr 13:45 Racecard & Betting Preview
Horse Number
Notables
Overview
Odds
1 (6) West Tyroneg (GB) 27
Form: -80317
Age: 4
Weight:
10 - 2 p
Colour: b
Dam: Zahrat Narjis
Sire: Zarak
Dam's Sire: Exceed And Excel
Trainer: Lizzie Quinlan
Jockey: C Horgan (3)
Successful at 1m and 1m 2f on good to soft ground and on the all-weather. Beaten 8l behind Meet Me In Meraki at 10-3jt-fav when seventh of 11 on his latest outing at Chester over 1m 2f (good to soft) last month.
14/1
2 (1) Naturaliam (GB) 5
Form: 244184
Age: 5
Weight:
9 - 13
Colour: b
Dam: Na Balada
Sire: Sea The Moon
Dam's Sire: Forestry
Trainer: D W Whillans
Jockey: Shay Farmer (3)
She has won three times from 1m 1f to 1m 5f on ground varying from good to soft. Finished 6l behind Yafaarr when fourth of 9 at 8-1 on her latest outing at Redcar over 1m 2f (good) earlier this month.
10/1
3 (8) Spanish Hustleg (GB) 17
Form: 665527
Age: 8
Weight:
9 - 12
Colour: b
Dam: Dos Lunas
Sire: Pearl Secret
Dam's Sire: Galileo
Trainer: J S Goldie
Jockey: Amie Waugh
Has won eight races from 1m 2f to 1m 4f on ground varying from good to firm to heavy. Beaten 9l behind Perseus Way at 15-2 when seventh of 12 on his latest outing at Hamilton over 1m 4f (soft) last month.
20/1
4 (2) Royal Blazeg (GB) 59
Form: 839110
Age: 5
Weight:
9 - 11 p t
Colour: b
Dam: Scarlet Royal
Sire: Muhaarar
Dam's Sire: Red Ransom
Trainer: Ewan Whillans
Jockey: William Pyle
Winner of five races from 7f to 1m 2f on good to firm and good ground and on the all-weather. Beaten 7l behind West Tyrone at 10-3jt-fav when 10th of 11 on his latest outing over this course and distance (good to soft) in August. Has won twice at Ayr this season.
20/1
5 (11) Ghost Storym (IRE) 15
Form: 334344
Age: 5
Weight:
9 - 11
Colour: br
Dam: Not Misbegotten
Sire: Waldgeist
Dam's Sire: Invincible Spirit
Trainer: J Butler
Jockey: Mason Paetel
Successful twice at 1m 2f on good to soft and soft ground. Finished 2l behind Arundel when fourth of 14 at 4-1 on her latest outing at Kempton over 1m 3f last month.
5/1
6 (10) Motawaaredg (GB) 9
Form: 422252
Age: 4
Weight:
9 - 8 p
Colour: b
Dam: Papaya
Sire: Mohaather
Dam's Sire: Teofilo
Trainer: J S Goldie
Jockey: Lauren Young (3)
Placed in six of 18 starts. Beaten 3/4l by Empirestateofmind when second of 8 at 7-4 on his latest outing here over 1m (heavy) last month.
3/1
7 (12) Sweet Kissf (GB) 13
Form: 262254
Age: 4
Weight:
9 - 8 p
Colour: b
Dam: Maybeagrey
Sire: Ulysses
Dam's Sire: Shamardal
Trainer: T D Easterby
Jockey: Jake Dickson (3)
She has won three times at 1m 2f on good to firm and good to soft ground. Finished 12l behind Condotti when fourth of 7 at 15-8jt-fav on her latest outing at Haydock over 1m 2f (good to soft) last month.
11/1
8 (9) Idyllicm (GB) 29
Form: 540364
Age: 5
Weight:
9 - 6
Colour: gr
Dam: Ocean Paradise
Sire: Bated Breath
Dam's Sire: New Approach
Trainer: W Storey
Jockey: Alex Jary
She has won three times from 1m 2f to 1m 4f on good and good to soft ground and on the all-weather. Finished 6l behind Lady Hornblower when fourth of 9 at 6-1 on her latest outing at Redcar over 1m 2f (good) last month.
16/1
9 (3) Falcon Nineg (GB) 7
Form: 280322
Age: 6
Weight:
9 - 6 b
Colour: ch
Dam: Freedonia
Sire: Ulysses
Dam's Sire: Selkirk
Trainer: I Jardine
Jockey: Jack Nicholls
Successful twice at 1m 1f on good ground. Beaten 2 1/2l by Whiskey Pete when second of 8 at 5-1 on his latest outing at Newcastle over 1m earlier this month.
5/1
10 (4) Vega Stormg (IRE) 38
Form: 504634
Age: 3
Weight:
9 - 6
Colour: b
Dam: Constant Comment
Sire: Lucky Vega
Dam's Sire: Fastnet Rock
Trainer: R A Fahey
Jockey: Warren Fentiman
Placed twice in eight starts. Finished 1 1/2l behind Sailor's Return when fourth of 10 at 11-4fav on his latest outing at Southwell over 1m in August.
10/1
11 (5) Sophiesticatem (IRE) 7
Form: 331689
Age: 7
Weight:
9 - 3
Colour: b
Dam: Lenoire
Sire: War Command
Dam's Sire: Galileo
Trainer: R M Smith
Jockey: K S McHugh (5)
Winner of five races from 1m 2f to 1m 5f on good ground. Well beaten at 80-1 behind Jujubella when 9th of 11 on her latest outing at Newcastle over 1m 4f earlier this month.
66/1
12 (7) Tap Dancerf (GB) 9
Form: 737675
Age: 4
Weight:
8 - 12
Colour: b
Dam: Hazy Dancer
Sire: Territories
Dam's Sire: Oasis Dream
Trainer: J S Goldie
Jockey: Rhys Elliott
A winner at 1m 2f on heavy ground, but that win was over two years ago. Finished 4l behind Highfield Viking when fifth of 11 at 17-2 on her latest outing here over 7f (heavy) last month.
14/1
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KEY
Odds ShorteningOdds Drifting
Forecast Prices: Motawaared 7/2, Ghost Story 7/1, Falcon Nine 15/2, Naturalia 12/1, Vega Storm 6/1, Sweet Kiss 8/1, West Tyrone 10/1, Tap Dancer 10/1, Idyllic 10/1, Spanish Hustle 10/1, Royal Blaze 12/1, Sophiesticate 100/1
oddschecker Verdict
Having hit the frame on his last three outings, Falcon Nine must enter calculations. The six-year-old performed with credit in similar testing conditions on last year's card and he isn't taken lightly, but MOTAWAARED is slightly more appealing. Jim Goldie's inmate arrives on the back of a close-up second over a mile here and a return to 1m2f could prove just the ticket. Ghost Story is the pick of the remainder.
Prediction: 1st Motawaared, 2nd Falcon Nine, 3rd Ghost Story
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