Thursday's Horse Racing Tips from Andy Holding
Ayr 17:01 Betting Odds- Winner
Tennent's Lager Handicap (GBBPlus Race)
- Starters:11
- Distance:1m 5f 26y
- Class: 3
- Age:3YO plus
- Prize:£8246
- Going:Good to Soft (Soft in places)
Best Odds
Odds Shortening
Odds Drifting
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| 4 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 3 1/5 |
Win only |
Win only | |||
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Best Odds
Odds Shortening
Odds Drifting
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| 4 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 3 1/5 |
Win only |
Win only | |||
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| 2 |  D Tudhope834278 | 3 | 11/4 | 11/4 | 11/4 | 3 | 3 | 11/4 | 11/4 | 11/4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11/4 | 11/4 | 3 | 3 | 11/4 | 11/4 | 11/4 | 3 | SP | 10/3 | 10/3 | |
| 8 |  Joanna Mason-57143 | 4 | 5 | 9/2 | 9/2 | 5 | 9/2 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 7/2 | 4 | 9/2 | 5 | 9/2 | 9/2 | 5 | 9/2 | 9/2 | 9/2 | 4 | 4 | SP | 627/ 100 | 627/ 100 | |
| 4 |  Saffie Osborne103773 | 5 | 11/2 | 5 | 5 | 11/2 | 11/2 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 9/2 | 11/2 | 11/2 | 5 | 5 | 11/2 | 11/2 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | SP | 147/ 25 | 142/ 25 | |
| 9 |  D Allan/42925 | 13/2 | 13/2 | 6 | 6 | 13/2 | 13/2 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 11/2 | 13/2 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 13/2 | 6 | 6 | 11/2 | 11/2 | SP | 191/ 25 | 196/ 25 | |
| 5 |  O J Orr4020-0 | 15/2 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 13/2 | 15/2 | 13/2 | 13/2 | 13/2 | 7 | 7 | 13/2 | 13/2 | 7 | 7 | 13/2 | 15/2 | 7 | 7 | 13/2 | 13/2 | SP | 353/ 50 | 186/ 25 | |
| 7 |  Jason Hart-05255 | 8 | 15/2 | 15/2 | 15/2 | 8 | 8 | 15/2 | 15/2 | 15/2 | 15/2 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 15/2 | 15/2 | 15/2 | 8 | 15/2 | 15/2 | 15/2 | 15/2 | SP | 803/ 100 | 441/ 50 | |
| 12 |  Lauren Young262966 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 11 | SP | 71/5 | 147/ 10 | |
| 11 |  Rhys Elliott361466 | 14 | 18 | 16 | 18 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 18 | 18 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 16 | SP | 157/ 10 | 171/ 10 | |
| 6 |  Mikey Sheehy5279-6 | 22 | 25 | 22 | 20 | 22 | 22 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 22 | 20 | 22 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 22 | 20 | 20 | 18 | 20 | SP | 23 | 25 | |
| 1 |  D Nolan/606-9 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | SP | 32 | 42 | |
| 10 |  A Mullen301000 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 33 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 50 | SP | 58 | 92 | |
| 3 |  -50402 | SP | SP | SP | SP | SP | SP | SP | SP | SP | SP | SP | SP | SP | SP | SP | SP | SP | 1/6 | |||||||
Ayr 17:01 Racecard & Betting Preview
Horse Number
Notables
Overview
Odds
1 (6) Strassiam (FR) 27
Form: /606-9
Age: 5
Weight:
10 - 4 h
Colour: ch
Dam: Stracy
Sire: Kendargent
Dam's Sire: Motivator
Trainer: D O'Meara
Jockey: D Nolan
Successful at 1m 3f and 1m 4f on soft and heavy ground, but last win was over two years ago. Beaten 10l behind Evanesco at 125-1 when 9th of 13 on her latest outing at Hamilton over 1m 4f (good to soft) last month.
28/1
2 (11) Ashnakg (FR) 12
Form: 834278
Age: 4
Weight:
9 - 9
Colour: b
Dam: Ashtara
Sire: Sea The Moon
Dam's Sire: Gio Ponti
Trainer: D O'Meara
Jockey: D Tudhope
A winner at 1m 1f on heavy ground. Beaten 19l behind Aegean Prince at 9-1 when eighth of 10 on his latest outing at Haydock over 1m 6f (soft) earlier this month.
3/1
3 (9) Moon Over Miamig (FR) 18
Form: -50402
Age: 5
Weight:
9 - 9
Colour: b
Dam: Wiesenlerche
Sire: Sea The Moon
Dam's Sire: Adlerflug
Trainer: R M Beckett
Jockey: Non Runner
He has won three times from 1m 2f to 2m on good and soft ground. Beaten 2 3/4l by Maxident when second of 9 at 4-1 on his latest outing at Goodwood over 2m (soft) last month.
4 (4) Elsassg (IRE) 12
Form: 103773
Age: 4
Weight:
9 - 6
Colour: b
Dam: Elle Memory
Sire: Sottsass
Dam's Sire: Maxios
Trainer: C Johnston
Jockey: Saffie Osborne
He has won three times from 1m 2f to 1m 3f on good ground and on the all-weather. Third of 11 behind Primo Lara beaten 1 1/4l at 11-2 on his latest outing at Kempton over 1m 4f earlier this month. Has won at Hamilton and Southwell this season.
11/2
5 (10) Minstrel Knightg (GB) 109
Form: 4020-0
Age: 5
Weight:
9 - 4
Colour: b
Dam: True To Love
Sire: Advertise
Dam's Sire: Es Que Love
Trainer: E Bethell
Jockey: O J Orr
He has won three times from 1m 3f to 1m 6f on ground varying from good to heavy; has also won two hurdles (latest NH win was in January). Well beaten at 9-2 when last of 13 on his latest outing at Thirsk over 2m (good) in May.
15/2
6 (5) Azahara Palacem (GB) 123
Form: 5279-6
Age: 6
Weight:
9 - 3 t 1
Colour: b
Dam: Josefa Goya
Sire: Adaay
Dam's Sire: Sakhees Secret
Trainer: A Keatley
Jockey: Mikey Sheehy
Winner of five races from 1m to 1m 4f on ground varying from good to firm to good to soft; has also won a hurdle in December last year. Finished 19l behind Plaid when sixth of 8 at 28-1 on her latest outing at Hamilton over 1m 1f (good) in May.
25/1
7 (7) Northwest Passageg (GB) 38 (12j)
Form: -05255
Age: 4
Weight:
9 - 1
Colour: gr
Dam: Dijlah
Sire: Ulysses
Dam's Sire: Linamix
Trainer: I Furtado
Jockey: Jason Hart
A winner at 1m 2f on heavy ground. Finished 5l behind Obito when fifth of 13 at 8-1 on his latest flat outing here over 1m 2f (good to soft) last month.
8/1
8 (12) Spirit Of Acklamg (GB) 12
Form: -57143
Age: 5
Weight:
9 - 0
Colour: b
Dam: Zacchera
Sire: Cracksman
Dam's Sire: Zamindar
Trainer: M & D Easterby
Jockey: Joanna Mason
He has won four times from 1m to 1m 5f on ground varying from good to soft. Third of 7 behind High Storm beaten 3 1/2l at 13-2 on his latest outing at Thirsk over 1m 4f (good to soft) earlier this month.
5/1
9 (2) Golden Westg (GB) 12
Form: /42925
Age: 5
Weight:
8 - 12
Colour: ch
Dam: Gwendolyn
Sire: Masar
Dam's Sire: Invincible Spirit
Trainer: T D Easterby
Jockey: D Allan
Successful twice at 1m on good ground and on the all-weather, but last win was over two years ago. Finished 14l behind Aegean Prince when fifth of 10 at 40-1 on his latest outing at Haydock over 1m 6f (soft) earlier this month.
13/2
10 (3) High Pointg (IRE) 33 (190j)
Form: 301000
Age: 5
Weight:
8 - 12
Colour: b
Dam: Pacharana
Sire: New Bay
Dam's Sire: Oasis Dream
Trainer: I Jardine
Jockey: A Mullen
Winner of five races from 1m 2f to 1m 6f on ground varying from good to heavy. Well beaten at 150-1 behind Murashah when last of 10 on his latest outing at Ripon over 1m (good) last month.
50/1
11 (8) Pearl Eyeg (GB) 14
Form: 361466
Age: 6
Weight:
8 - 11 p
Colour: b
Dam: Treat Gently
Sire: Expert Eye
Dam's Sire: Cape Cross
Trainer: J S Goldie
Jockey: Rhys Elliott (5)
Has won nine races from 7f to 1m 2f on ground varying from good to firm to heavy and on the all-weather. Finished 4 1/2l behind Mehmas Champion when sixth of 13 at 4-1 on his latest outing at Haydock over 1m 2f (soft) earlier this month. Has won at Ayr and Hamilton this season.
18/1
12 (1) Humble Sparkg (IRE) 54
Form: 262966
Age: 6
Weight:
8 - 11 p
Colour: b
Dam: Maiden Approach
Sire: Acclamation
Dam's Sire: New Approach
Trainer: J S Goldie
Jockey: Lauren Young (5)
Winner of seven races from 1m 2f to 1m 4f on good to firm ground and on the all-weather. Finished 14l behind Likealot when sixth of 10 at 13-2 on his latest outing at York over 1m 4f (good to firm) in July. Runs from 1lb out of handicap.
12/1
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KEY
Odds ShorteningOdds Drifting
Forecast Prices: Ashnak 8/1, Spirit Of Acklam 11/2, Elsass 5/2, Golden West 9/2, Minstrel Knight 12/1, Northwest Passage 10/1, Humble Spark 14/1, Pearl Eye 13/2, Azahara Palace 20/1, Strassia 12/1, High Point 100/1, Moon Over Miami /
oddschecker Verdict
Elsass showed more when making the frame over 1m4f at Kempton earlier in the month and the extra furlong might bring about some improvement. Even so, SPIRIT OF ACKLAM looks the way to go. The son of Cracksman won at Hamilton in July when last seen over this trip and goes off the same rating. Golden West holds an obvious chance too.
Prediction: 1st Spirit Of Acklam, 2nd Elsass, 3rd Golden West
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