Andy Holding's Premium Horse Racing Tips for Thursday
Brighton 15:50 Betting Odds- Winner
Bet Boost At bet365 Handicap (Div 2)
- Starters:11
- Distance:1m 1f 207y
- Class: 6
- Age:3YO plus
- Prize:£3454
- Going:Good (Good to Soft in places)
Best Odds
Odds Shortening
Odds Drifting
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| 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 3 1/5 |
Win only |
Win only | ||||
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| 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 3 1/5 |
Win only |
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| 2 |  George Wood044708 | 7/2 | 3 | 10/3 | 10/3 | 3 | 3 | 10/3 | 5/2 | 5/2 | 11/4 | 3 | 11/4 | 3 | 5/2 | 3 | 11/4 | 10/3 | 5/2 | 5/2 | 11/4 | 11/4 | 11/4 | 529/ 100 | 529/ 100 | ||
| 1 |  Rhys Clutterbuck/44313 | 5 | 5 | 9/2 | 9/2 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 9/2 | 9/2 | 5 | 5 | 9/2 | 9/2 | 5 | 5 | 9/2 | 9/2 | 9/2 | 9/2 | 5 | 549/ 100 | 549/ 100 | ||
| 6 |  Callum Shepherd050436 | 9/2 | 9/2 | 9/2 | 9/2 | 9/2 | 9/2 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 9/2 | 5 | 9/2 | 4 | 9/2 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 9/2 | 509/ 100 | 509/ 100 | ||
| 9 |  Saffie Osborne-27463 | 13/2 | 13/2 | 7 | 6 | 13/2 | 5 | 7 | 13/2 | 11/2 | 6 | 13/2 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 13/2 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 29/4 | 186/ 25 | ||
| 8 |  Paddy Bradley093163 | 15/2 | 15/2 | 15/2 | 15/2 | 15/2 | 8 | 8 | 15/2 | 7 | 7 | 15/2 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 15/2 | 15/2 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 15/2 | 843/ 100 | 441/ 50 | ||
| 4 |  Rob Hornby551486 | 15/2 | 15/2 | 15/2 | 7 | 15/2 | 15/2 | 8 | 6 | 15/2 | 7 | 7 | 15/2 | 15/2 | 7 | 7 | 13/2 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 15/2 | 861/ 100 | 861/ 100 | ||
| 5 |  Jack Dace521434 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 66/5 | 137/ 10 | ||
| 7 |  Myla Coppins990412 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 66/5 | 137/ 10 | ||
| 3 |  Tom Marquand-77303 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 16 | 18 | 16 | 18 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 18 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 18 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 181/ 10 | 93/5 | ||
| 10 |  Jack Doughty644648 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 22 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 18 | 22 | 20 | 22 | 25 | 25 | 20 | 22 | 22 | 25 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 22 | 30 | 32 | ||
| 11 |  K T O'Neill654970 | 66 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 40 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 63 | 82 | ||
Brighton 15:50 Racecard & Betting Preview
Horse Number
Notables
Overview
Odds
1 (10) Rogers Dreamm (GB) 24
Form: /44313
Age: 5
Weight:
9 - 9
Colour: b
Dam: Virginia Hall
Sire: Harry Angel
Dam's Sire: Medicean
Trainer: Gihan Arnolda
Jockey: Rhys Clutterbuck
A winner at 1m 2f on soft ground. Third of 9 behind Zambezi Magic beaten 3/4l at 13-8 on her latest outing at Ffos Las over 1m 2f (soft) last month.
5/1
2 (5) Deep Sleepg (GB) 38
Form: 044708
Age: 3
Weight:
9 - 6 p
Colour: b
Dam: Grand Liaison
Sire: Dream Ahead
Dam's Sire: Sir Percy
Trainer: James Owen
Jockey: George Wood
Unplaced in all nine starts. Beaten 12l behind The Anthony Gover at 14-1 when eighth of 11 on his latest outing at Wolverhampton over 1m 1f last month.
7/2
3 (6) Delusionalg (IRE) 115
Form: -77303
Age: 3
Weight:
9 - 6
Colour: b
Dam: Ragtime Dancer
Sire: Nando Parrado
Dam's Sire: Medicean
Trainer: A W Carroll
Jockey: Tom Marquand
Placed twice in eight starts. Third of 7 behind Femme Beauty beaten 5l at 15-8 on his latest flat outing at Ballinrobe over 1m 2f (yielding) in June. Having his first run for a new stable today, previously with Peter Maher in Ireland.
18/1
4 (8) Port Darwing (IRE) 25
Form: 551486
Age: 3
Weight:
9 - 5
Colour: ch
Dam: Porthilly
Sire: Australia
Dam's Sire: Pivotal
Trainer: C Johnston
Jockey: Rob Hornby
He has won three times from 1m to 1m 2f on ground varying from good to firm to good to soft. Finished 16l behind Bradbury when sixth of 9 at 25-1 on his latest outing at Hamilton over 1m 1f (heavy) last month. Has won at Brighton and Hamilton this season.
8/1
5 (7) Haveagobeaug (GB) 9
Form: 521434
Age: 7
Weight:
9 - 4
Colour: b
Dam: Jethou Island
Sire: Brazen Beau
Dam's Sire: Virtual
Trainer: J R Boyle
Jockey: Jack Dace (5)
He has won three times at 1m 2f on good to firm ground and on the all-weather. Finished 4 1/2l behind Launceston when fourth of 9 at 5-1 on his latest outing over this course and distance (good to firm) earlier this month. Has won 3 times at Lingfield this season.
12/1
6 (3) Fizzy Bearg (IRE) 16
Form: 050436
Age: 3
Weight:
9 - 3
Colour: b
Dam: Champagne Or Water
Sire: Kodiac
Dam's Sire: Captain Rio
Trainer: George Baker
Jockey: Callum Shepherd
Placed once in seven starts. Finished 6l behind Chilly Breeze when sixth of 12 at 10-1 on his latest outing at Bath over 1m (good to firm) last month.
5/1
7 (2) Celebrating Ethelm (IRE) 47 (1376j)
Form: 990412
Age: 7
Weight:
9 - 0 p
Colour: b
Dam: Deter
Sire: Gleneagles
Dam's Sire: Nayef
Trainer: A W Carroll
Jockey: Myla Coppins (5)
She has won four times from 1m 1f to 1m 2f on good to firm and good ground and on the all-weather. Beaten 2 1/4l by Elora Prince when second of 6 at 4-1 on her latest outing at Chepstow over 1m 2f (good to soft) in August. Has won at Brighton and Wolverhampton this season.
12/1
8 (9) Private Projectf (IRE) 9
Form: 093163
Age: 3
Weight:
8 - 11
Colour: b
Dam: Kingslady
Sire: Churchill
Dam's Sire: Kingman
Trainer: P Phelan
Jockey: Paddy Bradley
A winner at 1m 2f on good to firm ground. Third of 9 behind Launceston beaten 2 3/4l at 4-1jt-fav on her latest outing over this course and distance (good to firm) earlier this month.
8/1
9 (1) Thundering Breezem (IRE) 44
Form: -27463
Age: 5
Weight:
8 - 10
Colour: gr
Dam: Tamarisk
Sire: Dark Angel
Dam's Sire: Selkirk
Trainer: G & J Moore
Jockey: Saffie Osborne
Placed in five of 19 starts. Third of 10 behind Jenson Benson beaten 1l at 15-2 on her latest outing over this course and distance (good) last month.
7/1
10 (11) Twilight Guestg (GB) 9
Form: 644648
Age: 6
Weight:
8 - 9 p
Colour: b
Dam: Astrosecret
Sire: Twilight Son
Dam's Sire: Halling
Trainer: G G Margarson
Jockey: Jack Doughty
He has won three times at 1m 2f on ground varying from good to firm to good to soft. Beaten 15l behind Launceston at 6-1 when eighth of 9 on his latest outing over this course and distance (good to firm) earlier this month.
25/1
11 (4) Kaaressm (IRE) 32
Form: 654970
Age: 5
Weight:
8 - 9 v
Colour: b
Dam: Baltic Time
Sire: Kessaar
Dam's Sire: Baltic King
Trainer: M J Attwater
Jockey: K T O'Neill
Winner of five races from 1m 1f to 1m 2f on soft ground and on the all-weather. Beaten 20l behind Shifra at 33-1 when 10th of 12 on her latest outing at Bath over 1m 2f (good) last month.
66/1
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KEY
Odds ShorteningOdds Drifting
Forecast Prices: Deep Sleep 16/1, Rogers Dream 5/2, Fizzy Bear 10/1, Thundering Breeze 15/2, Private Project 8/1, Port Darwin 14/1, Haveagobeau 7/1, Celebrating Ethel 5/1, Delusional 6/1, Twilight Guest 16/1, Kaaress 66/1
oddschecker Verdict
ROGERS DREAM wasn't a surprise winner in classified stakes company at Ripon two starts ago and proved she was still on good terms with herself when beaten less than a length into third back in handicap company at Ffos Las. Proven on ground yielding some cut, she ticks plenty of boxes and gets the nod ahead of Celebrating Ethel and Private Project.
Prediction: 1st Rogers Dream, 2nd Celebrating Ethel, 3rd Private Project
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