Andy Holding's Premium Horse Racing Tips for Saturday
Curragh 17:45 Betting Odds- Winner
Irish Stallion Farms European Breeders Fund Northfields Handicap (Premier Handicap)
- Starters:23
- Distance:1m 2f 0y
- Age:3YO plus
- Prize:€90000
- Going:Straight: yielding; round: good-yielding in places
Best Odds
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Odds Drifting
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| 6 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 4 1/4 | 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 4 1/4 | 5 1/5 | 6 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 4 1/4 |
Win only |
Win only | |||
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Best Odds
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Odds Drifting
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| 6 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 4 1/4 | 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 4 1/4 | 5 1/5 | 6 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 4 1/4 |
Win only |
Win only | |||
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| 3 |  Ben Coen-27101 | 15/2 | 6 | 6 | 13/2 | 13/2 | 13/2 | 13/2 | 5 | 6 | SP | 13/2 | 13/2 | 13/2 | 6 | 6 | 13/2 | 13/2 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 13/2 | SP | 196/ 25 | 823/ 100 | |
| 5 |  Tom Marquand235212 | 15/2 | 13/2 | 13/2 | 13/2 | 13/2 | 13/2 | 13/2 | 13/2 | 13/2 | SP | 13/2 | 13/2 | 13/2 | 13/2 | 13/2 | 13/2 | 13/2 | 13/2 | 13/2 | 6 | 13/2 | SP | 647/ 100 | 186/ 25 | |
| 12 |  Colin Keane12-22 | 17/2 | 8 | 8 | SP | 8 | 8 | 8 | 15/2 | 8 | SP | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 15/2 | 8 | SP | 93/10 | 93/10 | |
| 13 |  Luke McAteer328212 | 9 | 8 | 8 | SP | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | SP | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 15/2 | 8 | SP | 186/ 25 | 196/ 25 | |
| 18 |  Declan McDonogh211 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 17/2 | 9 | SP | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 9 | SP | 49/5 | 113/ 10 | |
| 19 |  Andrew Slattery-12432 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | SP | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | SP | 181/ 10 | 157/ 10 | |
| 9 |  R L Moore-27224 | 10 | 17/2 | 8 | 17/2 | 17/2 | 17/2 | 17/2 | 8 | 8 | SP | 17/2 | 17/2 | 17/2 | 17/2 | 17/2 | 17/2 | 17/2 | 17/2 | 17/2 | 15/2 | 17/2 | SP | 93/10 | 49/5 | |
| 14 |  Adam Caffrey-61243 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | SP | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | SP | 167/ 10 | 181/ 10 | |
| 8 |  Rory Cleary143156 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 10 | SP | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | SP | 103/ 10 | 88/5 | |
| 4 |  J M Sheridan469221 | 14 | 12 | 12 | SP | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | SP | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 12 | SP | 113/ 10 | 21 | |
| 6 |  Gary Carroll780501 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 16 | SP | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 16 | SP | 509/ 100 | 81/5 | |
| 17 |  Jamie Powell10-674 | 16 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 12 | SP | 12 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 14 | SP | 167/ 10 | 22 | |
| 7 |  Robbie Colgan007810 | 18 | 16 | 16 | SP | 16 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 16 | SP | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 16 | SP | 113/ 10 | 23 | |
| 23 |  Wayne Lordan2212-8 | 16 | 14 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 20 | 16 | 18 | SP | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 18 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 20 | 20 | SP | 47/10 | 127/ 10 | |
| 11 |  Shane Foley-02305 | 20 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | SP | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | SP | 171/ 10 | 181/ 10 | |
| 2 |  Sam Coen65-278 | 22 | 20 | 20 | SP | 20 | 20 | 20 | 18 | 20 | SP | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 18 | 20 | SP | 509/ 100 | 30 | |
| 22 |  Reese Holohan571120 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 22 | 25 | SP | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 22 | 25 | SP | 20 | 26 | |
| 1 |  Scott McCullagh70-305 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 22 | 25 | SP | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 22 | 25 | SP | 71/5 | 44 | |
| 10 |  Billy Lee152750 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | SP | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | SP | 167/ 10 | 32 | |
| 20 |  Gavin Ryan177-49 | 33 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | SP | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | SP | 167/ 10 | 32 | |
| 21 |  Nathan Crosse050074 | 40 | 33 | 33 | SP | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | SP | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | SP | 71/5 | 42 | |
| 16 |  Chris Hayes480270 | 50 | 40 | 40 | SP | 40 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 40 | SP | 40 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 40 | SP | 103/ 10 | 46 | |
| 15 |  Rossa Ryan50/50- | 80 | 66 | 66 | 66 | 66 | 66 | 66 | 66 | 66 | SP | 66 | 66 | 66 | 66 | 66 | 66 | 66 | 66 | 66 | 66 | 66 | SP | 71/5 | 68 | |
Curragh 17:45 Racecard & Betting Preview
Horse Number
Notables
Overview
Odds
1 (11) Adelaide Riverg (IRE) 59
Form: 70-305
Age: 6
Weight:
10 - 0 t
Colour: b
Dam: Could It Be Love
Sire: Australia
Dam's Sire: War Front
Trainer: J P O'Brien
Jockey: Scott McCullagh
Successful at 1m and 1m 4f on good ground and on the all-weather, but last win was over three years ago. Finished 8l behind Geryon when fifth of 6 at 9-2 on his latest outing in the Group 3 BOYLE Sports Meld Stakes at Leopardstown over 1m 1f (good) in July.
25/1
2 (5) Eastwatchg (IRE) 147
Form: 65-278
Age: 4
Weight:
9 - 10 p 1
Colour: b
Dam: Lady Stormborn
Sire: Make Believe
Dam's Sire: Camelot
Trainer: A Slattery
Jockey: Sam Coen (5)
Successful at 1m 1f and 1m 2f on soft and yielding ground. Beaten 8l behind Starford at 22-1 when eighth of 12 on his latest flat outing over this course and distance (soft) in April. He is wearing cheekpieces for the first time.
22/1
3 (8) Fixationg (IRE) 32
Form: -27101
Age: 4
Weight:
9 - 9 p
Colour: ch
Dam: Infatuation
Sire: Tamayuz
Dam's Sire: Invincible Spirit
Trainer: J P Murtagh
Jockey: Ben Coen
He has won three times from 1m 2f to 1m 4f on good to firm ground and on the all-weather. Won on his latest outing when 9-4fav at Gowran Park over 1m 4f (good to firm) last month, beating Star Harbour by 4l.
15/2
4 (17) Summer Is Tomorrowc (IRE) 50
Form: 469221
Age: 3
Weight:
9 - 7 v
Colour: b
Dam: Mutebah
Sire: Mohaather
Dam's Sire: Marju
Trainer: J P O'Brien
Jockey: J M Sheridan
He has won three times from 7f to 1m 1f on good and soft ground. Won on his latest outing when 3-10fav at Gowran Park over 1m 1f (good) in July, beating Hollys Graces by 7l.
14/1
5 (7) High Degreeg (GB) 15
Form: 235212
Age: 4
Weight:
9 - 6 b 1
Colour: b
Dam: Sealife
Sire: Too Darn Hot
Dam's Sire: Sea The Stars
Trainer: W J Haggas
Jockey: Tom Marquand
Successful at 1m and 1m 2f on good to firm and good ground. Beaten 4 1/2l by Too Soon when second of 9 at 2-1fav on his latest outing at Goodwood over 1m 4f (good to soft) last month. He is wearing blinkers for the first time.
15/2
6 (6) Lord Massususg (IRE) 5
Form: 780501
Age: 6
Weight:
9 - 6 b t
Colour: br
Dam: Wajaha
Sire: Markaz
Dam's Sire: Haafhd
Trainer: J G Murphy
Jockey: Gary Carroll
Has won eight races from 6f to 1m on ground varying from good to yielding - soft. A winner at 5-1 at Galway over 1m (soft) on his latest outing earlier this month, beating Lady Arwen by 4l. Carries a 7lb penalty today for that success.
16/1
7 (21) Orandig (FR) 42
Form: 007810
Age: 8
Weight:
9 - 6 t
Colour: b
Dam: Elusive Feeling
Sire: Morandi
Dam's Sire: Elusive Quality
Trainer: A J Martin
Jockey: Robbie Colgan
Winner of seven races from 7f to 1m 1f on ground varying from good to soft to heavy and on the all-weather. Beaten 7l behind Dunum at 10-1 when 11th of 14 on his latest outing at Galway over 7f (yielding) last month.
18/1
8 (14) Perry Masong (GB) 77
Form: 143156
Age: 5
Weight:
9 - 6
Colour: b
Dam: Precious Ramotswe
Sire: Advertise
Dam's Sire: Nathaniel
Trainer: Maurice Ahern
Jockey: Rory Cleary
He has won four times from 7f to 1m 2f on ground varying from good to soft - heavy. Finished 6l behind Pierre Royal when sixth of 13 at 7-1 on his latest outing here over 1m (good) in June.
12/1
9 (15) Amadeus Mozartc (IRE) 50
Form: -27224
Age: 3
Weight:
9 - 5
Colour: b
Dam: Pendant
Sire: Wootton Bassett
Dam's Sire: Galileo
Trainer: A P O'Brien
Jockey: R L Moore
A winner at 7f on good ground. Finished 3 1/2l behind Nil Bua Gan Dua when fourth of 7 at 11-4 on his latest outing at Gowran Park over 1m 4f (good) in July.
10/1
10 (22) Ribeeg (IRE) 15
Form: 152750
Age: 4
Weight:
9 - 5 t
Colour: b
Dam: White Light
Sire: Ribchester
Dam's Sire: Dubawi
Trainer: M Mulvany
Jockey: Billy Lee
He has won four times from 7f to 1m on ground varying from soft to soft - heavy. Beaten 14l behind Loughrea at 16-1 when 12th of 17 on his latest outing here over 1m (good) last month.
33/1
11 (19) Iron Fistg (IRE) 29
Form: -02305
Age: 4
Weight:
9 - 4 h
Colour: br
Dam: Velvetina
Sire: New Bay
Dam's Sire: Barathea
Trainer: Mrs J Harrington
Jockey: Shane Foley
Successful at 1m and 1m 2f on soft ground. Finished 1 1/4l behind Touch The Moon when fifth of 14 at 7-1 on his latest outing at Dundalk over 1m 3f last month.
20/1
12 (2) Sky Captaing (IRE) 105
Form: 12-22
Age: 5
Weight:
9 - 3
Colour: b
Dam: Saoire
Sire: Fracas
Dam's Sire: Pivotal
Trainer: J P O'Brien
Jockey: Colin Keane
A winner at 1m 4f on yielding ground. Beaten 1/2l by Ndaawi when second of 6 at 5-4 on his latest outing at Listowel over 1m 5f (good) in May. Having his first run for a new stable today, previously with P Twomey in Ireland.
17/2
13 (10) Manton Bayc (IRE) 15
Form: 328212
Age: 3
Weight:
9 - 2
Colour: b
Dam: Synergy
Sire: Ulysses
Dam's Sire: Victory Note
Trainer: D Marnane
Jockey: Luke McAteer
Successful twice at 1m on good ground and on the all-weather. Beaten 3l by Loughrea when second of 17 at 8-1 on his latest outing here over 1m (good) last month.
9/1
14 (20) Pierre Royalg (IRE) 15
Form: -61243
Age: 4
Weight:
9 - 2
Colour: b
Dam: Rose De Pierre
Sire: Kingman
Dam's Sire: Dubawi
Trainer: A McGuinness
Jockey: Adam Caffrey
Successful twice at 1m on good ground. Third of 17 behind Loughrea beaten 8l at 4-1fav on his latest outing here over 1m (good) last month.
12/1
15 (4) Lips Freedomg (GER) 329
Form: 50/50-
Age: 6
Weight:
9 - 1 t
Colour: ch
Dam: Lips Arrow
Sire: Free Eagle
Dam's Sire: Big Shuffle
Trainer: A Kinirons
Jockey: Rossa Ryan
A winner at 1m 1f on good to soft ground, but that win was over three years ago; has also won two hurdles (latest NH win was in July). Beaten 15l behind Blake at 22-1 when 11th of 16 on his latest flat outing at Leopardstown over 1m 4f (heavy) in October last year.
80/1
16 (9) Apercum (IRE) 29
Form: 480270
Age: 6
Weight:
8 - 12 b
Colour: b
Dam: Nutshell
Sire: Elzaam
Dam's Sire: Dubai Destination
Trainer: A Oliver
Jockey: Chris Hayes
Winner of five races from 1m 2f to 1m 3f on ground varying from good to yielding and on the all-weather. Beaten 11l behind Touch The Moon at 20-1 when last of 14 on her latest outing at Dundalk over 1m 3f last month.
50/1
17 (18) Retracementg (IRE) 66
Form: 10-674
Age: 5
Weight:
8 - 11 p
Colour: ch
Dam: Piccadilly Filly
Sire: Australia
Dam's Sire: Exceed And Excel
Trainer: J P Murtagh
Jockey: Jamie Powell
Successful at 1m and 1m 2f on good to firm and yielding ground. Finished 2 3/4l behind Thread Of Gold when fourth of 11 at 8-1 on his latest outing at Leopardstown over 1m 1f (good) in July.
16/1
18 (1) Alphonsus Liguoric (GB) 51
Form: 211
Age: 3
Weight:
8 - 9
Colour: b
Dam: Crystal Gal
Sire: Study Of Man
Dam's Sire: Galileo
Trainer: J P O'Brien
Jockey: Declan McDonogh
Successful twice at 1m on good to firm and good ground. Won on his latest outing when 1-20fav at Cork over 1m (good to firm) in July, beating Holy Lettuce by 3l.
10/1
19 (12) God Of Powerg (IRE) 13
Form: -12432
Age: 3
Weight:
8 - 9
Colour: ch
Dam: Sharqawiyah
Sire: Lope De Vega
Dam's Sire: Dubawi
Trainer: A Slattery
Jockey: Andrew Slattery
A winner at 7f on yielding ground. Beaten 1/2l by Hazdann when second of 5 at 6-1 on his latest outing at Roscommon over 1m 2f (good - yielding) last month.
10/1
20 (3) Bay Colonyf (IRE) 131
Form: 177-49
Age: 4
Weight:
8 - 8
Colour: ch
Dam: Coco Rouge
Sire: New Bay
Dam's Sire: Shamardal
Trainer: J A Stack
Jockey: Gavin Ryan
A winner at 1m 4f on soft - heavy ground. Beaten 13l behind Moody at 22-1 when 9th of 10 on her latest outing at Gowran Park over 1m 6f (good - yielding) in May.
33/1
21 (23) Genuine Articleg (GB) 3 (261j)
Form: 050074
Age: 6
Weight:
8 - 7 b t
Colour: b
Dam: Bona Fide
Sire: Muhaarar
Dam's Sire: Frankel
Trainer: G Keane
Jockey: Nathan Crosse
Successful twice at 1m on soft and yielding ground. Finished 5l behind Hygge when fourth of 10 at 13-2 on his latest outing at Laytown over 7f earlier this month. Runs from 3lb out of handicap.
40/1
22 (16) Johnny Sodag (IRE) 15
Form: 571120
Age: 3
Weight:
8 - 7
Colour: ch
Dam: Maghzaa
Sire: Cotai Glory
Dam's Sire: Aqlaam
Trainer: A McGuinness
Jockey: Reese Holohan (7)
He has won three times at 1m on good and soft ground. Beaten 14l behind Loughrea at 9-1 when 11th of 17 on his latest outing here over 1m (good) last month. Runs from 3lb out of handicap.
25/1
23 (13) Kai Lungg (FR) 47 (45j)
Form: 2212-8
Age: 4
Weight:
8 - 7
Colour: b
Dam: Panda Queen
Sire: Galiway
Dam's Sire: Exceed And Excel
Trainer: W P Mullins
Jockey: Wayne Lordan
A winner at 7f on soft ground; has also won a hurdle in January. Beaten 8l behind Orandi at 16-1 when eighth of 17 on his latest flat outing at Galway over 1m 1f (yielding) in July. Runs from 3lb out of handicap.
20/1
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KEY
Odds ShorteningOdds Drifting
Forecast Prices: Fixation 16/1, High Degree 7/1, Sky Captain 8/1, Manton Bay 8/1, Alphonsus Liguori 10/1, God Of Power 8/1, Amadeus Mozart 10/1, Pierre Royal 10/1, Perry Mason 16/1, Summer Is Tomorrow 12/1, Lord Massusus 14/1, Retracement 14/1, Orandi 16/1, Kai Lung 20/1, Iron Fist 20/1, Eastwatch 16/1, Johnny Soda 20/1, Adelaide River 16/1, Ribee 25/1, Bay Colony 25/1, Genuine Article 25/1, Apercu 50/1, Lips Freedom 50/1
oddschecker Verdict
High Degree has been a model of consistency this season, finishing in the top three in five out of his six starts, and should go well once again in first-time blinkers. Irish Cambridgeshire runner-up Manton Bay is likely to be in the shake-up, but the one who appeals most is ALPHONSUS LIGUORI. Joseph O'Brien's colt successfully made it two wins from three appearances over a mile at Cork in July and this step up in trip promises to unlock further improvement. An opening mark of 90 might not be beyond him and he looks the one to side with.
Prediction: 1st Alphonsus Liguori, 2nd High Degree, 3rd Manton Bay
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