Andy Holding's Premium Horse Racing Tips for Thursday
Southwell 18:30 Betting Odds- Winner
Follow AtTheRaces On X Handicap (Div 2)
- Starters:11
- Distance:7f 14y
- Class: 6
- Age:3YO plus
- Prize:£3245
- Going:Standard
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| 4 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 3 1/5 |
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Win only | ||||
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| 4 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 3 1/5 |
Win only |
Win only | ||||
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| 8 |  Mikey Sheehy0B0388 | 11/4 | 11/4 | 11/4 | 5/2 | 9/4 | 11/4 | 5/2 | 9/4 | 5/2 | 9/4 | 9/4 | 9/4 | 11/4 | 5/2 | 5/2 | 5/2 | 5/2 | 5/2 | 5/2 | 9/4 | 9/4 | 9/4 | 3 | 3 | ||
| 2 |  L Morris798 | 10/3 | 10/3 | 7/2 | 7/2 | 7/2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16/5 | 3 | 10/3 | 3 | 4 | 10/3 | 7/2 | 100/ 30 | 3 | 10/3 | 10/3 | 7/2 | 4 | 10/3 | 147/ 25 | 147/ 25 | ||
| 3 |  Cieren Fallon734074 | 9/2 | 4 | 9/2 | 9/2 | 4 | 9/2 | 9/2 | 4 | 9/2 | 4 | 9/2 | 5 | 9/2 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 9/2 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 461/ 100 | 24/5 | ||
| 1 |  J P Sullivan695778 | 13/2 | 13/2 | 7 | 13/2 | 6 | 7 | 13/2 | 11/2 | 6 | 11/2 | 13/2 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 13/2 | 13/2 | 13/2 | 6 | 6 | 11/2 | 6 | 6 | 186/ 25 | 191/ 25 | ||
| 6 |  D Fentiman814006 | 8 | 15/2 | 8 | 15/2 | 7 | 7 | 15/2 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 15/2 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 15/2 | 7 | 15/2 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 843/ 100 | 861/ 100 | ||
| 10 |  Darragh Keenan954486 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 127/ 10 | 137/ 10 | ||
| 7 |  Christian Howarth340956 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 147/ 10 | 76/5 | ||
| 4 |  Lewis Edmunds6647 | 20 | 20 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 20 | 18 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 18 | 20 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 18 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 18 | 24 | 25 | ||
| 13 |  Jason Watson8-585 | 22 | 20 | 16 | 18 | 18 | 20 | 18 | 16 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 20 | 20 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 25 | 27 | ||
| 9 |  Zak Wheatley-05236 | 25 | 25 | 22 | 22 | 20 | 25 | 22 | 18 | 22 | 20 | 22 | 25 | 25 | 22 | 22 | 20 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 20 | 20 | 22 | 28 | 30 | ||
| 12 |  Oliver Carmichael596008 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 40 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 66 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 48 | 63 | ||
| 11 |  Charlie Tucker055407 | 40 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 28 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | SP | 32 | 549/ 100 | ||
| 5 |  J Mitchell992628 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 15/2 | 17/2 | 9 | 9 | 17/2 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | SP | 93/10 | 93/10 | ||
Southwell 18:30 Racecard & Betting Preview
Horse Number
Notables
Overview
Odds
1 (10) Men Of Honourg (IRE) 13
Form: 695778
Age: 4
Weight:
9 - 9
Colour: b
Dam: Danehill Music
Sire: Ten Sovereigns
Dam's Sire: Danehill Dancer
Trainer: Mrs R Carr
Jockey: J P Sullivan
Placed twice in 15 starts. Beaten 8l behind Blazing Son at 8-1 when eighth of 10 on his latest outing at Newcastle over 6f earlier this month.
7/1
2 (2) Sonbelievableg (GB) 90
Form: 798
Age: 3
Weight:
9 - 7
Colour: b
Dam: Believable
Sire: Mayson
Dam's Sire: Acclamation
Trainer: J Parr
Jockey: L Morris
Unplaced in all three starts. Well beaten at 300-1 behind Carnival Of Light when eighth of 9 on his latest outing at Wolverhampton over 7f in July.
4/1
3 (11) Basedg (IRE) 24
Form: 734074
Age: 3
Weight:
9 - 6
Colour: b
Dam: La Dorotea
Sire: Oasis Dream
Dam's Sire: Lope De Vega
Trainer: W J Knight
Jockey: Cieren Fallon
A winner at 7f on the all-weather. Finished 8l behind Distillation when fourth of 9 at 11-4 on his latest outing at Wolverhampton over 7f last month.
5/1
4 (6) Auraduef (GB) 82
Form: 6647
Age: 4
Weight:
9 - 5 b 1
Colour: b
Dam: Miss Blondell
Sire: Due Diligence
Dam's Sire: Compton Place
Trainer: S R Bowring
Jockey: Lewis Edmunds
Unplaced in all four starts. Beaten 10l behind Too Much at 12-1 when seventh of 10 on her latest outing at Newcastle over 5f in July. She is wearing blinkers for the first time.
20/1
5 (1) Vitallineg (GB) 15
Form: 992628
Age: 8
Weight:
9 - 4 t v
Colour: b
Dam: Vittas Touch
Sire: Due Diligence
Dam's Sire: Touch Gold
Trainer: Kieran Burke
Jockey: J Mitchell
Has won nine races from 6f to 7f including 8 wins on the all-weather (7 PO). Beaten 9l behind King Cherry at 14-1 when eighth of 11 on his latest outing at Kempton over 6f last month. Has won at Newcastle and Kempton this season.
6 (5) Mickey Mongooseg (GB) 17
Form: 814006
Age: 6
Weight:
9 - 3 b
Colour: b
Dam: Midnight Crossing
Sire: Lope De Vega
Dam's Sire: Dark Angel
Trainer: Olly Williams
Jockey: D Fentiman
Winner of five races from 7f to 1m 2f including 4 wins on the all-weather. Finished 9l behind Ridger when sixth of 11 at 33-1 on his latest outing at Wolverhampton over 7f last month. Has won twice at Southwell this season.
8/1
7 (7) Megaphoneg (GB) 59
Form: 340956
Age: 4
Weight:
9 - 3
Colour: b
Dam: Amplifier
Sire: Kodiac
Dam's Sire: Dubawi
Trainer: S Dixon
Jockey: Christian Howarth (3)
Successful at 5f and 6f on the all-weather (1 PO). Finished 6l behind Let's Go Hugo when sixth of 9 at 4-1 on his latest outing at Wolverhampton over 5f in August.
12/1
8 (12) Distillatem (GB) 15
Form: 0B0388
Age: 6
Weight:
9 - 2 t
Colour: ch
Dam: Dolly Colman
Sire: Havana Grey
Dam's Sire: Diamond Green
Trainer: A McGuinness
Jockey: Mikey Sheehy
Winner of six races from 5f to 7f including 2 wins on the all-weather (1 PO). Beaten 11l behind Selective Power at 28-1 when eighth of 14 on her latest outing at Bellewstown over 1m (soft - heavy) last month.
11/4
9 (9) Gloriolaf (GB) 70
Form: -05236
Age: 3
Weight:
9 - 1
Colour: b
Dam: Gemina
Sire: Aclaim
Dam's Sire: Holy Roman Emperor
Trainer: Steph Hollinshead
Jockey: Zak Wheatley
Placed twice in nine starts. Finished 10l behind Starakova when sixth of 8 at 9-2 on her latest outing here over 1m in August.
25/1
10 (3) Edergoles Giftm (IRE) 9
Form: 954486
Age: 5
Weight:
9 - 0 p t
Colour: b
Dam: Irishstone
Sire: Reliable Man
Dam's Sire: Danehill Dancer
Trainer: C Allen
Jockey: Darragh Keenan
She has won three times from 6f to 7f including 2 wins on polytrack. Finished 3 1/2l behind Burford Beauty when sixth of 10 at 50-1 on her latest outing at Brighton over 7f (good to firm) earlier this month.
12/1
11 (13) Neat And Tidyf (GB) 17
Form: 055407
Age: 3
Weight:
9 - 0
Colour: b
Dam: Perfect Match
Sire: New Approach
Dam's Sire: Dubawi
Trainer: D Wingrove
Jockey: Charlie Tucker (7)
Unplaced in all nine starts. Beaten 4 1/2l behind Aspire To Glory at 66-1 when seventh of 11 on her latest outing at Wolverhampton over 7f last month.
12 (8) Pink Socksm (IRE) 17
Form: 596008
Age: 7
Weight:
9 - 0 p
Colour: b
Dam: Jumbo Romance
Sire: Vadamos
Dam's Sire: Tagula
Trainer: Stephanie Cassidy
Jockey: Oliver Carmichael (7)
She has won four times from 7f to 1m including 3 wins on the all-weather. Beaten 12l behind Ridger at 150-1 when eighth of 11 on her latest outing at Wolverhampton over 7f last month. Has won 3 times this season.
66/1
13 (4) My Prerogativef (GB) 24
Form: 8-585
Age: 3
Weight:
8 - 12
Colour: b
Dam: Deciding Vote
Sire: Ardad
Dam's Sire: Pivotal
Trainer: D Killahena & G McPherson
Jockey: Jason Watson
Yet to place in four starts. Finished 4 1/2l behind Barry The Worm when fifth of 10 at 50-1 on her latest outing at Wolverhampton over 7f last month.
22/1
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KEY
Odds ShorteningOdds Drifting
Forecast Prices: Distillate 6/1, Sonbelievable 10/1, Based 7/2, Men Of Honour 7/1, Mickey Mongoose 8/1, Edergoles Gift 10/1, Megaphone 14/1, Auradue 12/1, My Prerogative 10/1, Gloriola 10/1, Pink Socks 33/1, Neat And Tidy 25/1, Vitalline 10/1
oddschecker Verdict
BASED has been found a really good opening in this company and ought to go very close. He won off this mark over 7f at Wolverhampton in the summer and has posted some solid enough efforts since, suggesting a moderate handicap like this is well within reach. Distillate is well treated on her peak form and is noted, while Mickey Mongoose and Men Of Honour could also feature.
Prediction: 1st Based, 2nd Distillate, 3rd Mickey Mongoose
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