Real Madrid to win the Spanish La Liga Primera has shortened from 3/1 to 7/2 at best with Betfred, with three of 20 bookmakers cutting their odds.
The odds on Real Madrid to win the Spanish La Liga Primera have been slashed from 3/1 to 7/4 with Paddy Power after Kylian Mbappé's late winner sank Barcelona on their own patch.
Real Madrid won 1-2 at Barcelona on 25 October 2026, with Mbappé scoring both goals.
Three of 20 bookmakers have cut their odds on the title market, with 7/2 the best price available at Betfred.
Barcelona are still the clear favourites at a best price of 2/5 with Paddy Power, with Real Madrid second-shortest.
Barcelona's lead at the top of the table is down to three points.
This was the result that changed the conversation. Mbappé opened the scoring in the 41st minute at the Spotify Camp Nou, Raphinha levelled for the home side just after the hour, and with the fixture drifting towards a stalemate, Jude Bellingham's work in the engine room sprang a counter that Eduardo Camavinga finished off by teeing up Mbappé for the winner in the 88th minute. It ended Barcelona's perfect start to the domestic season, and Real Madrid did it without the suspended Vinícius Júnior and with Thibaut Courtois missing through illness.
The bookies are reacting to more than one evening, though. Real Madrid have won 11 of their last 13 matches in La Liga, a run that shows this was no flash in the pan. Going to the leaders' ground short of their most dangerous wide man and their first-choice goalkeeper and still taking all three points says plenty about this squad. Make no mistake, though: Mbappé in front of goal is the main reason the odds have come in on this selection. When the big moments arrived, he took both of them.
Spanish La Liga Primera Win Market odds
Best Real Madrid odds 7/2 with Betfred, worst 11/4 with Bet365, William Hill and AK Bets. Shopping around matters here, because the Betfred price stands clear of the pack, with Coral, Ladbrokes, Betway, PricedUp and StarSportsBet grouped just behind it.
Last updated: 27 October 2026, 07:29 UK time
Odds below are live and may have changed since publishing this article.
Who is favourite to win the Spanish La Liga Primera?
Barcelona are the clear favourites at a best price of 2/5 with Paddy Power, with Real Madrid second-shortest at 7/2 with Betfred. The leaders are still top of the log after a perfect start to the league season, so one home defeat has dented the aura rather than the arithmetic. What it has done is turn this into a proper two-horse race. Real Madrid are close enough to keep the pressure on every weekend, and an attack built around Mbappé gives them a genuine route back to the top. Below the big two, the market thins out quickly.
Barcelona – 2/5 with Paddy Power. Top of the table on 27 points and still the side everyone has to catch.
Real Madrid – 7/2 with Betfred. Second on 24 points after the win at Barcelona, with Mbappé leading the attack.
Atletico Madrid – 22/1 with Paddy Power. A long way behind the top two in the betting.
Real Betis – 500/1 with Paddy Power, Spreadex and Sporting Index. Rank outsiders in this market.
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Can Real Madrid win the Spanish La Liga Primera from here?
Next up is a trip to Racing Santander on 1 November. Vinícius Júnior is still serving his domestic suspension, so the goals fall on Mbappé again, and the key question is whether the side can keep scoring without their main wide threat. After that they travel to AEK Athens in the Champions League, another test of the depth that got them through at Barcelona. Our prediction: Barcelona are rightly favourites, but the move in from 3/1 to 7/4 is backed by sound football reasoning. With the gap now narrow and their forward in this kind of form, Betfred's 7/2 is the price to target for anyone siding with Madrid.
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