
The EV Eagle has five betting tips for Friday's football and NBA action.
The EV Eagle has landed on Oddschecker!
In this new daily tipping series, the EV Eagle picks out their best bets from our Positive Expected Value tool, one of the premium tools available to Oddscheker+ subscribers.
In today's article, the Eagle has picked out three best EV bets for Friday's football and NBA Action.
How does Positive Expected Value (EV) betting work?
When bookmakers set betting lines, they estimate the likelihood of each outcome.
Value Bets, our Positive EV Tool available for Oddschecker+ subscribers, leverages advanced AI to perform 100 million projections each week and monitors 125 million live price changes daily. This enables it to identify bets that have a higher probability of winning than what the lines suggest.
Yesterday's Results:
Santi Aldama - Under 16.5 Points - Lost
Paul George - Over 4.5 Rebounds - 11/10 - Won
AJ Green - Over 9.5 Points - Lost
Malik Monk - Over 1.5 Threes Made - Lost
Running P+L: +1.21
Tip 1: Jae-Sung Lee - Over 1.5 Shots vs Hoffenheim - 2pts
Best odds of 8/11 with BetMGM when publishing. As short as 1/6 elsewhere.
Jae-Sung Lee has had 2+ shots for Mainz on 5/9 occasions this season, and in 3/5 home matches.
Those two matches where when Mainz where underdogs against Borussia Dortmund and Stuttgart.
On Friday, he takes on Hoffenheim with his team 8/5 favourites in the match. Back him to have 2+ shots in a match which should see Mainz have their opportunities to strike on goal.
Our Positive EV tool has the probability of this bet landing at 77%, so the odds of 8/11 available with BetMGM when publishing give us a Positive EV of 35% on this play.
Nice vs Marseille
Tip 2: Mason Greenwood - Over 1.5 Shots on Target vs Nice - 1.25pts
Best odds of 26/25 with BetMGM when publishing. As short as 4/11 elsewhere.
Marseille's Mason Greenwood has had 2 or more shots on target in 6/14 starts this season and should have a good chance to hit this figure again on Friday night.
His team travel to face Nice, who are conceding the 2nd highest shots per 90 in Ligue 1 this season and the 4th highest shots on target per 90.
Greenwood managed 4 shots with one on target in this fixture last season.
Preston vs Blackburn
Tip 3: Liam Lindsay - To Be Shown a Card vs Blackburn - 0.5pts
Best odds of 14/5 with William Hill when publishing. As short as 7/4 elsewhere.
This Lancashire derby has produced 13 yellow cards in the previous two matches, so targeting the To Be Shown a Card market looks a shrewd play.
Centre-back Liam Lindsay has been shown a card in two of his last five starts for Preston and comes up against a Blackburn forward line of Yuki Ohashi and Andri Gudjohnsen (fouled 1.4p/g and 1.2p/g respectively).
Our Positive EV tool has the probability of this bet landing at 37%, so the odds of 14/5 available with William Hill when publishing give us a Positive EV of 47% on this play.
Oklahoma City Thunder @ Utah Jazz
Tip 4: Isaiah Collier - Over 8.5 Points vs Oklahoma City - 1.5pts
Best odds of 19/20 with betTom and Bet Goodwin.
We have successfully backed the over on Isaiah Collier's points line on two occasions in the past eight days as the Utah Jazz guard works his way back from injury.
He is gone over this line in 5/6 games since returning from injury and despite playing the NBA's best team tonight, we are backing him to go over again.
Our Positive EV tool has the probability of this bet landing at 80%, so the odds of 19/20 available with bet Tom when publishing give us a Positive EV of 56% on this play.
Washington Wizards @ Toronto Raptors
Tip 5: Jakob Poeltl - Under 10.5 Rebounds vs Washington - 1.5pts
Best odds of 8/11 with Ladbrokes / Coral.
Toronto's veteran centre, Jakob Poeltl, is averaging 7.5 rebounds on the season so far, and has yet to go higher than 10 rebounds for the campaign.
His line is higher tonight as the Washington Wizards give up a league high 17.7 rebounds per game to the centre position, however, we are still fading Poeltl.
The Raptors are 1/8 favourites, meaning there's a chance Poeltl could be benched if Toronto are winning comfortably heading into the fourth quarter.
Mixing this with Poeltl yet to even go higher than this rebound line this season, makes this a strong play for Friday night.
Our Positive EV tool has the probability of this bet landing at 77%, so the odds of 8/11 with Ladbrokes / Coral when publishing give us a Positive EV of 33% on this play.









