Celta Vigo vs Alaves prediction, probable lineups, betting tips and odds. Read our angle on the bet builder and standout markets before Sunday's kick-off.
Celta Vigo vs Alaves Match Summary
Competition | Spanish Primera Division (LaLiga) |
|---|---|
Match Date | Sunday 18 October 2026 |
Match Time | 15:15 UK time |
Venue (City, Stadium) | Vigo, Estadio Abanca-Balaídos |
Celta Vigo vs Alaves pits a side that refuses to lose against one sitting above them in the LaLiga table, and Sunday at Estadio Abanca-Balaídos has the makings of a cagey affair.
Celta sit 11th, yet they are awkward to beat. Unbeaten in their last five LaLiga matches, they still drew a blank at Elche last time out, and wins have been rare.
Alaves sit seventh in the table. Three points clear of their hosts, they were still beaten at home by Atletico Madrid last time out, and keeping the ball remains a weakness.
The previous meetings are split down the middle, with each side winning two. Two more finished level, but our Celta Vigo vs Alaves prediction still leans towards the hosts.
Celta Vigo vs Alaves Form
Under 2.5 goals has landed in five of Celta's last six LaLiga games, so this is a side grinding rather than flowing. Europa League duty adds to the load, with Juventus hosted before this fixture and a trip to Celtic in Glasgow to come. Hugo González is the spark, with a goal or assist in each of his last three LaLiga outings.
Alaves have won as many league games as they have lost, and the profile is clear. They steal the ball well and create plenty, but they are loose in possession. An Alaves win would have landed 4 times out of their last 10 matches against all opponents. Lucas Boyé leads the line and does plenty of the dirty work alongside Toni Martínez.
Celta Vigo vs Alaves Lineups & Team News
Injuries & Suspensions
Celta Vigo: Borja Iglesias (Injured/out), Carl Starfelt (Injured/out), Miguel Román (Injured/out), Jones El Abdellaoui (Injured/out), Pablo Durán (Injured/doubtful)
Alaves: Facundo Garcés (Injured/out), Mikel Rodríguez (Injured/out)
Celta Vigo
Celta are without Borja Iglesias (calf), Carl Starfelt (semimembranosus, not expected back until mid-November), Miguel Román (knee arthroscopy, out until early November) and Jones El Abdellaoui, who is still recovering from knee arthroscopy. Pablo Durán is a doubt with a soleus problem, but the big lift is that Iago Aspas is available once again.
Alaves
Alaves remain without Facundo Garcés and Mikel Rodríguez, both out until April with ACL injuries. The headline news for the Celta Vigo vs Alaves lineups is that Ville Koski is back in contention and is expected to start in the back three.
Celta Vigo vs Alaves Predicted Lineup
Celta Vigo
Formation: 3-4-2-1 (probable)
Predicted Starting Lineup: Probable XI: I. Radu; M. Alonso, Y. Lago, Á. Núñez; J. Rueda, I. Moriba, A. Febas, J. Galán; H. Álvarez, H. González; F. Jutglà
Alaves
Formation: 3-5-2 (probable)
Predicted Starting Lineup: Probable XI: A. Sivera; N. Valentini, V. Koski, J. Otto; N. Tenaglia, D. Suárez, A. Blanco, P. Ibáñez, A. Rebbach; L. Boyé, T. Martínez
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Celta Vigo vs Alaves Key Stats & Match Facts
Celta Vigo have received 2+ cards in 6 of their last 6 matches vs Deportivo Alaves (LaLiga).
Marcos Alonso has been carded in 3 of his last 5 appearances (LaLiga).
Javi Rueda has been carded in 2 of his last 3 appearances (LaLiga).
Javi Galán has won 3+ fouls in 5 of his last 8 appearances vs Deportivo Alaves (LaLiga).
Ángel Pérez has recorded 1+ shots on target in 4 of his last 5 appearances (LaLiga).
Celta Vigo vs Alaves Prediction & Best Bets
Our prediction: Celta Vigo to edge a low-scoring contest. The hosts have stopped losing, they carry the stronger goals projection, and Alaves' struggles in possession should hand Celta plenty of the ball at home. In the Celta Vigo vs Alaves betting odds, the hosts are 5/4 with Betfair Sportsbook, and that is the side we are on.
Best Bets
Both Teams To Score: No. Celta Vigo are the model's favourites and a low-scoring game is projected. Our projections put the implied probability of both teams scoring at just 46.58%, so No is the right side of this market. Under 2.5 goals has also landed in 5 of Celta's last 6 LaLiga games, and nothing about Sunday suggests a shootout.
Ville Koski Over 1.5 tackles in the Player Tackles market. He is expected to start in Alaves' back three. This is the standout value among our Celta Vigo vs Alaves best bets, with our projections rating it at 52.97%, well above what the bookmakers imply. Koski walks straight back into a side that is excellent at stealing the ball, and Celta will see plenty of it.
Celta Vigo vs Alaves Bet Builder
Our Celta Vigo vs Alaves bet builder tips lean into a niggly afternoon: a Yoel Lago card, a busy Lucas Boyé on fouls and shots, and Alaves racking up the bookings.
Yoel Lago to be shown a card. The Celta defender has picked up a booking in each of his last three LaLiga appearances, and Alaves' direct, crossing game will keep him busy.
Lucas Boyé over 1.5 fouls. Every one of his last six LaLiga outings has brought two or more fouls committed, and opponents play aggressively against Alaves, which drags him into duels.
Lucas Boyé over 2.5 shots. He has managed three or more shots in four of his six most recent league appearances, and Alaves are a side that takes a lot of shots.
Over 1.5 Alaves cards. Deportivo Alaves have received 2+ cards in 10 of their last 10 matches vs Celta Vigo in LaLiga, a record that points firmly towards more bookings on Sunday.
At the time of writing, this bet builder pays a best price of 49/5 and is as short as 17/2 elsewhere.
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Bet builder odds correct at time of publishing.
Celta Vigo vs Alaves Talking Points
Iago Aspas being available again matters more than anything else on the Celta team sheet. He has a hand in a goal in 7 of his last 10 appearances vs Deportivo Alaves in LaLiga, and a Celta side that struggles to finish needs exactly that kind of edge in the final third. The worry for the hosts is in the air, because aerial duels are a weakness and Alaves play with width and send crosses in often, so wide deliveries could prove decisive. Off the pitch, Celta have billed this one as "A Match with Heart" for the Celta Foundation, with Estadio Abanca-Balaídos opening its first sensory box for autistic supporters.
Celta Vigo vs Alaves Predictions FAQs
When is the Celta Vigo vs Alaves Spanish Primera Division game?
Celta Vigo vs Alaves is scheduled for Sunday 18 October 2026 at 15:15 UK time.
Where is Celta Vigo vs Alaves being played?
Celta Vigo vs Alaves is being played at Estadio Abanca-Balaídos.
What competition is Celta Vigo vs Alaves in?
Celta Vigo vs Alaves is a LaLiga match in the 2026/2027 season.
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