2025 MLB Rookie of the Year Odds: Jacob Misiorowski Takes Commanding NL ROY Lead After All-Star Break
The MLB Rookie of the Year Odds are heating up as we enter the second-half of the season, and Jacob Misiorwoski is starting to separate from the pack in the NL ROY race. Can he continue shining throughout the summer after an electric start to his MLB career? Matt MacKay analyzes both rookie of the year odds races after the MLB All-Star Break.
Matt MacKay - July 18, 2025, 6:30 PM EDT
5 Minute Read2025 MLB Rookie of the Year Odds: Jacob Misiorowski Takes Commanding NL ROY Lead After All-Star Break
The 2025 MLB Rookie of the Year awards betting markets are tightening up as the second half of the season resumes on Friday, July 18th. Just like the MVP and Cy Young awards, Rookie of the Year is awarded in both the American League (AL) and National League (NL) conferences.
The Athletics continue to roster two of the AL's top rookies, Jacob Wilson and Nick Kurtz. Houston's Cam Smith is making a run at the AL Rookie of the Year award, shortening from +180 two weeks ago to his current +160 price.
Jacob Misiorowski has become an even heavier betting favorite to win NL Rookie of the Year at -235 odds. The Brewers' 6-7 rookie pitcher earned an All-Star Game bid for his spectacular debut in the majors. Atlanta's Drake Baldwin (+350) is a distant second in this futures market, followed by Hye-Seong Kim (+1200) and Agustín Ramírez at +1400.
MLB handicapper Matt MacKay has updated odds for the 2025 MLB Rookie of the Year awards market, including analysis for the current favorites in each conference. Follow Matt's X account for more betting insight and free picks.
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American League Rookie of the Year Winner Odds
American League Rookie of the Year Winner
Jacob Wilson (+110) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds
Two weeks ago, Athletics SS Jacob Wilson was a -150 favorite to win the American League Rookie of the Year award. Since that time, Wilson has logged three total hits in his previous five games played, while recording zero RBIs.
He's a great defender and still has a .329 batting average and an .831 OPS. However, A's teammate Nick Kurtz has been the better player lately. Factor in Wilson's current lack of production at the plate and it makes sense that his odds have lengthened to +110.
There's value to grab on Wilson in comparison to his previous -150 price tag in this futures awards market. The All-Star has plenty of talent to break out his hitting slump but will need to keep pace with Kurtz to remain in contention for AL Rookie of the Year.
Cam Smith (+160) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds
The Astros have found something special in 22-year-old RF Cam Smith. He's fourth on the team for WAR (2.2), as well as fifth in total runs (39), hits (81), and RBIs (39) in 82 games played.
Smith's bid at AL Rookie of the Year is boosted by playing on one of the top teams in the conference. Houston is currently five games ahead of the Seattle Mariners in the AL West division, sporting a +56 run differential.
He did go three consecutive games without a hit or an RBI leading into the All-Star break, while tallying one run. Smith is still a value play at +160 odds, especially with oddsmakers becoming more bearish on Wilson as the favorite to win AL Rookie of the Year.
Nick Kurtz (+375) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds
Nick Kurtz is red-hot and one of the most dominant players at the plate right now. The 22-year-old 1B leads the Athletics in slugging percentage (.558), OPS (.892) and OPS+ (143) in only 58 games played.
Kurtz has 44 RBIs and 17 home runs, both third-highest on the team. He's a power hitter who makes great contact to give the A's a ton of support on offense.
Across Kurtz's last four games played, he's recorded six hits, six runs, three home runs and five RBIs. When this article was previously published at the beginning of July, Kurtz sat at +500. Now, he's shortened to +375.
Don't hesitate to back Kurtz to win AL Rookie of the Year, despite playing on the last place team in the AL West.
National League Rookie of the Year Winner Odds
National League Rookie of the Year Winner
Jacob Misiorowski (-235) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds
After the worst outing of his rookie season, giving up five earned runs via two home runs on the road against the New York Mets, Milwaukee's rookie pitcher Jacob Misiorowski bounced back in his last start against the Los Angeles Dodgers. The right-handed pitcher gave up four hits, one earned run, one walk and struck out 12 batters during a 3-1 win.
Misiorowski was nominated as an All-Star for his overall body of work in five starts for the Brewers. He's got a 2.81 ERA, a .0896 WHIP and 33 strikeouts in 25.2 innings pitched.
The Brewers are only one game behind the Chicago Cubs in the NL Central, going 8-2 SU in their last ten games. Misiorowski has been a big piece of their defense, going 4-1 as a starter.
Unless he has a few more tough outings like he did against the Mets, Misiorowski should remain a sizable favorite to win the 2025 NL Rookie of the Year award, while playing on a team in playoff contention.
Drake Baldwin (+350) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds
The Atlanta Braves struggled in the first half of the season, recording 388 total runs, which ranks last in the NL East division. Rookie catcher Drake Baldwin has been a bright spot for the offense though, recording 53 hits, 32 RBIs, 21 runs and 11 home runs for the Braves in 65 games.
The 24-year-old is fourth on the team in WAR (1.9), sixth in home runs and RBIs, while sitting third with a .279 batting average. Baldwin is also third in slugging percentage (.479), second in OPS (.830) and third in OPS+ at 131.
There are two scenarios where Baldwin becomes a viable option to win NL Rookie of the Year over Misiorowski. Either the Brewers' pitcher falters down the stretch with several bad starts, or, the Braves' offense begins to heat up and stack wins to make a playoff run.
I think Atlanta has enough talent in its current lineup, especially with Ronald Acuña Jr. back, to make a run in the NL East. As long as Baldwin keeps up his current numbers at the plate, this would launch him into contention for this award, making him a current value at +350.
MLB ODDS
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