NBA Draft 4th Overall Pick Odds: Bulls Locked in on Caleb Wilson at Four in Tonight's NBA Draft
The No. 4 pick market in the 2026 NBA Draft is the clearest board outside of AJ Dybantsa at No. 1. Caleb Wilson is a massive favorite to land with the Chicago Bulls, with the market only leaving room for chaos if Utah or Memphis takes him earlier.
Peter Alexis - June 23, 2026, 1:33 PM EDT
4 Minute ReadNBA Draft Fourth Pick Odds: Bulls Gunning for Caleb Wilson if First Three Picks Script Goes as Expected
Caleb Wilson is the overwhelming favorite to be selected No. 4 overall at -750 by the Chicago Bulls tonight. Cameron Boozer is second at +650, while Darryn Peterson and Darius Acuff Jr. are both priced at +2500.
This is the first market where the board feels more dependent on whether a player gets taken too early than whether the team actually wants him. If Wilson is available when Chicago picks, the Bulls are expected to take him.
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NBA Draft Fourth Pick Odds
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NBA Draft Fourth Pick Odds Breakdown
Caleb Wilson (-750)
Wilson is the clear favorite because the fit with Chicago has looked obvious throughout the final stretch of the draft process. He reportedly took his only predraft visit with the Bulls, and the mutual interest has been one of the strongest signals attached to any pick outside the top three.
The basketball fit also makes sense. Wilson gives Chicago a long, athletic forward with defensive versatility, playmaking flashes and enough offensive upside to grow with the rest of the roster. The Bulls need a frontcourt piece who can run, defend, rebound and eventually become more than a complementary player, and Wilson checks that profile better than anyone expected to be available at No. 4.
The only real risk is that he does not get there. Utah could surprise at No. 2, or Memphis could decide Wilson is the better long-term bet than Boozer or Peterson at No. 3. If the board follows the consensus order, though, Wilson to Chicago is one of the cleanest projections of the night.
Cameron Boozer (+650)
Boozer is second at +650 because he would instantly become a serious Bulls option if he slips. That scenario likely requires Utah or Memphis to make a different call in the top three, but Chicago would have to think hard if the Duke star somehow reached No. 4.
Boozer’s appeal is his production and polish. He was one of the safest prospects in the class, with scoring, rebounding, passing and a physical style that should translate quickly. If the Bulls had a chance to take him, they would be looking at a high-floor frontcourt building block with a strong basketball IQ and immediate rotation value.
The issue is that Boozer is expected to go earlier. If Peterson goes second, Boozer is widely tied to Memphis at No. 3. That makes his +650 price more about draft-order volatility than a true expectation that Chicago gets him.
Darryn Peterson (+2500)
Peterson at +2500 is another fall scenario. If Utah passes on him and Memphis also goes in a different direction, Chicago could suddenly have access to one of the best guards in the class.
That would be a major surprise because Peterson is still expected to be off the board before this point. His shot creation, size and scoring ability make him too talented to fall far, even with the injury concerns and outside noise around his preferred landing spots. If he somehow gets to Chicago, the Bulls would have to consider whether the value is too strong to ignore.
Still, this is not the expected path. Peterson’s No. 4 odds are long because too many things have to break against the consensus before Chicago even gets the chance. He is more of a top-three market variable than a realistic Bulls target.
Darius Acuff Jr. (+2500)
Acuff is tied with Peterson at +2500, but his path is different. Unlike Peterson, Acuff would not be falling into Chicago’s lap from the top tier. He would represent a real break from the expected top-four group.
The Arkansas guard has scoring talent and enough upside to be a lottery-level prospect, but taking him at No. 4 would be a reach unless the Bulls are far higher on him than the market expects. He fits the profile of a guard who could rise if a team prioritizes creation and long-term upside, but the Wilson connection is too strong for him to be viewed as a serious threat.
Acuff’s odds are mostly there for a chaos board or trade scenario. If Chicago stays at No. 4 and Wilson is available, Acuff is not the logical pick. If the Bulls trade back or the top three completely reshapes the board, his name becomes more relevant.
NBA Draft No. 4 Pick Odds Outlook
Wilson is the strongest favorite in any pick market outside of Dybantsa at No. 1. The Bulls have been consistently tied to him, he reportedly made Chicago his only predraft visit, and the roster fit is clean.
Boozer is the only realistic challenger if he slips past Memphis. Peterson would require a bigger fall, and Acuff would require Chicago to break from the top-four consensus entirely. Dybantsa should be gone long before this point.
The market is telling a simple story. If Wilson is on the board at No. 4, Chicago is expected to take him. The only thing that can realistically disrupt that outcome is another team jumping the line for him earlier.
- Market Favorite: Caleb Wilson (-750) Check out these best odds at DraftKings Sportsbook
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