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NFL MVP Odds and Power Rankings: Breaking Down the Field After Week 17

With only a week remaining in the first elongated NFL season, which players have improved or worsened their chances at taking home the MVP hardware? Brett Oswalt talks through another week of performances, and what Week 18 could have in store as far as movement up and down the rankings and NFL MVP odds.
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NFL MVP Odds and Power Rankings: Breaking Down the Field After Week 17

MVP Odds - A Clear-Cut Favorite

Aaron Rodgers (-400) 

Another big Rodgers performance, and another Packer win. Thanks to the three-time MVP's 288-yard, 2-touchdown line, Green Bay's improved their record to 13-3, putting them in the driver's seat for the top seed in the NFC Playoffs. It also caused Rodgers' favored NFL MVP odds to improve considerably from a week ago. All total, the 38-year-old has 35 touchdowns to just 4 interceptions and ranks atop the league in three crucial stats: QBR, quarterback rating and adjusted net yards per attempt. If he does play in Week 18, expect him to only improve his numbers against a weak Lions secondary.

MVP Odds - A Worthy Contender

Tom Brady (+600)

After falling to third at +750 a week ago, Brady rebounded from two subpar outings to lead the Buccaneers on an unlikely comeback against the lowly Jets. Granted, they shouldn't have been trailing in the first place, but Touchdown Tom ended the day with more than 400 yards and 3 passing touchdowns in spite of Chris Godwin's absence and the early and bizarre departure of Antonio Brown. His Tampa Bay squad is home to Carolina in the final week, and with a chance to lock down the second seed and a bye, it would be surprising to see Brady do anything but improve his NFL MVP stock going into the playoffs.

MVP Odds - A Riser and a Faller

Joe Burrow (+1400)

Look out! Burrow has rocketed up the NFL MVP Odds and rankings after being listed as a value a mere six days ago. How so? Well, the Bengals' second-year signal-caller completed nearly 77% of his passes for 446 yards and 4 touchdowns -- blowing past 400 and 4 for the second time in as many games. Oh -- and he did so up against a Chiefs defense that held three of their last four opponents to no more than 10 points. Most importantly, Burrow and the Bengals locked up a playoff spot for the first time since 2015.

Jonathan Taylor (+1600)

It's hard life as a running back vying for greatness. After all, Taylor's status is so dependent on Indianapolis winning games, and that didn't happen this week. In the Colts' loss to the Raiders, Taylor still tallied more than 100 yards and a touchdown, but it just wasn't enough to get the job done. As a result, his +700 NFL MVP Odds have slipped very far, and given the fact that he's simply not a quarterback it's hard to advocate for him over the likes of Burrow in the same territory, or even Kupp as another non-quarterback at longer, more lucrative NFL MVP Odds odds.

MVP Odds - Streaking QBs

Cooper Kupp (+4000)

A lot of things have changed, but one thing stays the same. Kupp continues to wreck everything in front of him this season, following up four straight 100-yard games with one of 95 yards and a touchdown in an LA Ram win. He's up to 1,829 yards and 15 touchdowns, and his 138 receptions are 12 away from a new all-time record. A chance to break history is a worthy quest for someone who could turn $100 into $4000 for adventurous NFL MVP bettors.

Josh Allen (+5000)

Allen's NFL MVP odds might not have fallen the most among top contenders, but his drop-off is most significant. Merely a week ago he was at +1300 and among the top five candidates. But he emerged from Sunday's game with an awful outcome, having completed only 11 of 26 passes for 120 yards and 3 interceptions (0 touchdowns). His two rushing scores made up for it some, but it's too close to the end to have such a poor passing game. He's all but out of the running, and there's no reason to opt for him over Mahomes at the same odds.

Patrick Mahomes (+5000)

Like Allen, Mahomes' NFL MVP odds are far longer than they were before his Week 17 matchup. Though he put up a solid 259 and 2 touchdowns, he and the Chiefs dropped a narrow game to Burrow and the Bengals. His team is still 11-5 going into the final week, so that props up his odds alongside his usual season-long figures. A road game against a tough Broncos defense won't do much to aid that part of his argument, though. The real race for the award is coming down to but a few names.

MVP Odds - The Longest of Longshots

Jalen Hurts (+50000)

The race may be -- for the most part -- all but decided, but if you can put down a mere $5 to win a cool $2,500, or 100 to win $50,000. That's what you get in the longshot that is Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts. Philadelphia has clinched a playoff spot in the NFC, and Hurts has been the primary driver offensively. The backfield has been inconsistent, and they have been devoid of proven weapons, save for a game or two of Devonta Smith showing his talent. Outside of that, Hurts has taken it upon himself in the rushing game, accounting for a team-high 784 yards and 10 touchdowns. He has a total of 26 scores on the year, and his rushing yards lead all quarterbacks. Crazier things have happened.


Aaron Rodgers-400
Tom Brady+700
Jonathan Taylor+1400
Cooper Kupp+4000
Joe Burrow+4000
Josh Allen+5000
Patrick Mahomes+5000
Dak Prescott+10000
Matthew Stafford+15000

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