NFL Odds: Over/Under Win Total Odds For NFC Teams
NFL Odds: Over/Under Win Total Odds For NFC Teams
With NFL training camps just a few weeks away, Matt MacKay dives into 2022 over/under win total odds for each team in the NFC.
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1. TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS - 11.5 WINS (OVER +100) (UNDER -120)
Rob Gronkowski's recent retirement has not impacted Tampa Bay's outlook as the NFC's top seed in 2022. Tom Brady has gone 11-5 and 13-4 during his two seasons with the Bucs. Despite being on the verge of turning 45 years old, the offense remains loaded with players like Mike Evans and Leonard Fournette. Tampa Bay has a brutal schedule to start the season, but they end against Arizona, Carolina, and Atlanta. 12 wins (+100) in a top-heavy NFC South division seems attainable for the upcoming 2022 season.
2. GREEN BAY PACKERS - 11 WINS (OVER -110) (UNDER -110)
Aaron Rodgers lost his star wideout, Davante Adams, to the Raiders this offseason, but he's also the reigning back-to-back MVP. He doesn't post the flashiest numbers, but he limits his mistakes, throwing only nine interceptions across his last two seasons. The strength of the Packers lies within their backfield, which has a lightning-thunder combination between Aaron Jones and A.J. Dillon. A reloaded defense and a couple of new wideouts should keep Green Bay atop the NFC North in 2022.
3. LOS ANGELES RAMS - 10.5 WINS (OVER -110) (UNDER -110)
The defending Super Bowl champions appear hungry to repeat in 2022. Re-signing star defensive tackle Aaron Donald and the additions of wideout Allen Robinson and linebacker Bobby Wagner strengthen both sides of the roster. Matthew Stafford is playing with renewed confidence and will have a healthy Cam Akers and Cooper Kupp, arguably the best wide receiver in the league. There isn't much value to seek out with the Rams between being valued at -110 to win 10 or 11 games, meaning Vegas believes they will win enough games to claim the NFC West crown again in 2022.
4. SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS - 10 WINS (OVER +100) (UNDER -120)
The hype surrounding second-year quarterback Trey Lance is growing by the day. After Kyle Shanahan elected to trade up in the 2021 NFL Draft to acquire Lance over Mac Jones and Justin Fields, many scouts and draft pundits were left scratching their heads. The 49ers have all the requisite players to compete and mount another deep playoff run in 2022.
5. DALLAS COWBOYS - 10 WINS (OVER -110) (UNDER -110)
Dak Prescott, Ezekiel Elliot, and CeeDee Lamb have much to prove to the doubters in 2022. Dalton Schultz emerged as a quality tight end late in 2021, but the offensive line is aging and in rebuild mode. The Cowboys will play against the NFC North and AFC South, meaning they will have roughly five or six winnable games outside their division. 11 wins would be a one-game regression from 2021, which is where I expect Dallas to wind up.
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6. PHILADELPHIA EAGLES - 9.5 WINS (OVER -120) (UNDER +100)
The Eagles leveled up during free agency, trading for star wideout A.J. Brown to pair him with former Heisman-winner Devonta Smith to upgrade Jalen Hurts' receiving options in 2022. Hurts was incredible with his legs and made some impressive throws in 2021. However, the inconsistent arm led to a few ugly losses and only 3,100 passing yards and 16 touchdowns compared to nine interceptions. Rookies Nakobe Dean and Jordan Davis will strengthen the front seven of their defense in a winnable NFC East division.
7. MINNESOTA VIKINGS - 9 WINS (OVER -115) (UNDER -105)
Kirk Cousins and Justin Jefferson could take over the NFL as the top quarterback-wide receiver tandem in 2022. New head coach Kevin O'Connell comes from Sean McVay's system and should be able to elevate Dalvin Cook's usage in the passing game, which will fully unlock the Vikings' offense. Many early draft picks were used on the secondary and offensive line, addressing Minnesota's glaring vulnerabilities. Oddsmakers expect a 10-win season for the Vikings in 2022 despite recording eight wins or less in the past two seasons.
8. ARIZONA CARDINALS - 8.5 WINS (OVER -105) (UNDER -115)
Kyler Murray reunites with his college wideout Marquise "Hollywood" Brown after the Cardinals' front office completed a trade with the Ravens on draft night. This news broke before DeAndre Hopkins' six-game suspension, reducing the appeal of betting on Arizona to make a serious run for the NFC West title in 2022. Chase Edmonds and Christian Kirk are also gone now, meaning Zach Ertz and James Conner will need to perform to their highest level to push the Cardinals to nine wins this season.
9. WASHINGTON COMMANDERS - 8 WINS (OVER -110) (UNDER -110)
Washington opted to trade with the Colts to acquire quarterback Carson Wentz this offseason. The drama surrounding Terry McLaurin's contract has dominated the airwaves recently. However, the Commanders still have a ridiculous defensive line and added rookie wideout Jahan Dotson with their first-round pick in the draft. The NFC East is typically a division with the most parity with underwhelming teams. Washington has not won eight games since 2016, so betting under eight wins (-110) is the wise move here.
10. NEW ORLEANS SAINTS - 8 WINS (OVER -135) (UNDER +115)
It's an exciting time in the Big Easy. Jameis Winston suffered a torn ACL midseason after tossing 14 touchdowns and three interceptions in seven games for the Saints in 2021. The additions of rookie wideout Chris Olave and veteran wideout Jarvis Landry, paired with rumors of a healthier Michael Thomas, will completely revolutionize the offense in its first season without Sean Payton. Oddsmakers expect a relatively easy path to nine wins for the Saints in 2022, especially facing Carolina and Atlanta twice.
11. NEW YORK GIANTS - 7 WINS (OVER +105) (UNDER -125)
The Giants have been in a tailspin since winning their two Super Bowls with Eli Manning over Tom Brady and the New England Patriots. Hiring Brian Daboll, the former Bills' OC, has many fans excited about players like Kadarius Toney, Wan'Dale Robinson, and Saquon Barkley. First-round tackle Evan Neal will help Daniel Jones in his fourth year under center in what feels like a make-or-break year for the struggling quarterback. New York has won six or fewer games for five consecutive seasons, which is why the under is so juiced.
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12. DETROIT LIONS - 6.5 WINS (OVER -115) (UNDER -105)
The Detroit Lions are another exciting young team with a lot of promise heading into the future. D'Andre Swift has been adding bulk and is rumored to be more featured in the passing game in 2022, while the additions of DJ Chark and Jameson Williams should give Jared Goff a full complement of weapons. The Lions have not won seven games since 2017 and have been fourth in the NFC North for four consecutive seasons. The drought has to end soon, and Dan Campbell could be the coach to break the curse in the Motor City.
13. CHICAGO BEARS - 6.5 WINS (OVER +100) (UNDER -120)
Despite a down season in 2021, rookie quarterback Justin Fields should excite the new coaching staff in Chicago. The weapons are a bit underwhelming on paper, but wideout Darnell Mooney could make a giant leap with his third-year development. A lot of draft capital was spent on upgrading a bad offensive line while adding promising wideout Velus Jones Jr. out of the University of Tennessee. Chicago won at least eight games in the Mitchell Trubisky-era, so seven wins in 2022 seem doable despite playing in a loaded NFC North.
14. CAROLINA PANTHERS - 6 WINS (OVER +105) (UNDER -125)
Matt Rhule's time as the head coach in Carolina has been challenging. Five wins in back-to-back seasons have left the Panthers' new owner, David Tepper, frustrated and hungry for improvement. Drafting Ikey Ekwonu is a step in the right direction but playing without a competent quarterback and relying on an increasingly injury-prone Christian McCaffery is not the formula for winning. The defense is the bright spot of the roster, so if the Panthers pull off a seven-win season, it will be thanks to Shaq Thompson and company.
15. SEATTLE SEAHAWKS - 5.5 WINS (OVER -140) (UNDER +120)
Russell Wilson's departure sunk public perception of the Seattle Seahawks' roster and outlook for the upcoming 2022 season. Drew Lock and Geno Smith are not franchise pieces, and a lackluster offensive line, even with top-ten tackle Charles Cross, will make it even harder for whoever wins the starting job. Still, there is excitement with players like DK Metcalf, Tyler Lockett, Rashaad Penny, and Ken Walker III. Replacing Bobby Wagner as the perennial captain of the defense will be Pete Carroll's most formidable challenge.
16. ATLANTA FALCONS - 5 WINS (OVER +120) (UNDER -140)
The Atlanta Falcons are in full rebuild mode after trading away Matt Ryan and losing former star wideout Calvin Ridley this offseason. What's worse is their schedule. Games against Matthew Stafford, Tom Brady, Trey Lance, and Joe Burrow create almost no chance for the Falcons to exceed five wins in 2022. Kyle Pitts, Cordarrelle Patterson, and Drake London are the most prominent weapons within the offense. Rookie quarterback Desmond Ridder could be under center soon. Otherwise, the Falcons will have to rely on career backup Marcus Mariota. Three to four wins sounds about right for Atlanta based on their -140 value to finishing with under five wins.
Matt is an avid writer, editor, and researcher. He enjoys analyzing the game within the game which is fantasy sports and sports betting. Music is another constant in his daily life. Matt loves spending time with his wife and three pets. He likes to read, listen to podcasts, and is constantly motivated to create the most accurate and engaging content in the sports betting industry.