NFL MVP Race: Is It Officially Jalen Hurts’ Award To Lose?

NFL MVP Race: Is It Officially Jalen Hurts’ Award To Lose?

In May, Jalen Hurts winning NFL MVP seemed like a pipe dream. He was given +4000 odds, or an implied 2.4% chance to take home the award. That had him 14th on the market. Bettors believed in him though, as 25.9% of bets were placed on him to overcome those long odds. With just four weeks to go in the NFL season, sportsbooks have finally caught up to the bettors.

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NFL MVP Odds

Hurts is now given -150 odds, or an implied 60% chance to win his first MVP. He’s slightly beating out Patrick Mahomes who’s given +200 odds, and Joe Burrow who’s given +750 odds. No other player is given at least a 10% chance to win MVP.

Burrow’s inclusion on this list is an interesting one as well, as bettors pegged him as their second favorite to win the award. He had seen 14.8% of bets back in May. That said, his +1300 odds were a little bit better than Hurts’ odds.

Sometimes bettors just nail it. They saw the AJ Brown trade and immediately rushed to back Hurts as he seemed the best breakout candidate given the elite talent at every position around him. That’s exactly what happened.

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What’s surprising is that it’s taken sportsbooks this long to catch up. Sure, a 57.6% change is a big one, but one would have expected Hurts to have risen up the market a lot quicker given the Eagles' play this season and the bets placed on him. Only time will tell if Jalen Hurts takes home his first NFL MVP award this season.