Buffalo Bills vs. Miami Dolphins Odds: 80% Of Bets on Bills to Cover in AFC Wild Card Matchup
The Buffalo Bills take on the Miami Dolphins in the 2023 AFC Wild Card round. Jon Conahan breaks down the recent Bills vs. Dolphins odds and Bills vs. Dolphins public betting data.
Jon Conahan - January 13, 2023, 3:30 PM EST
5 minBuffalo Bills vs. Miami Dolphins Odds: 80% Of Bets on Bills to Cover in AFC Wild Card Matchup
The Miami Dolphins will travel to Orchard Park, New York, and take on the Buffalo Bills for what's expected to be one of the more lopsided NFL Playoff games of the week. Miami simply isn't the same type of team as Buffalo and when also factoring in that Tua Tagovailoa isn't going to play, it leads to some doubt from the Dolphins' side. Below, we will take a look at the recent Bills vs. Miami odds and see who the public is backing in this game.
Let's get one thing straight, If Miami wants any chance of winning this game, it's all going to start on the defensive side of the football. At the end of the day, Skylar Thompson isn't going to be able to do nearly enough to get the job done and that's worrisome if you are a Dolphins fan. If their defense can step up and possibly even find the endzone for them, Miami might have an outside chance of at least covering the spread in this game.
Although the spread currently looks the way that it does, public bettors are still backing Buffalo at an insane rate and it might not be a bad idea to do the same. Let's take a look at the Dolphins vs. Bills odds and the betting data for this contest.
Bills vs. Dolphins Start Time and Where to Watch
- Date: Sunday, January 15, 2023
- Start Time: 1:00 pm ET
- Where to Watch: CBS
Click here for Bills vs Dolphins odds
Bills vs. Dolphins Odds
Team | Spread | Public Betting% |
|---|---|---|
Bills | -13.5 | 80% |
Dolphins | +13.5 | 20% |
As we can see from the recent Buffalo Bills vs. Miami Dolphins odds, the Dolphins are going to be coming into this one as a 13.5-point underdog.
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It's understandable why the oddsmakers are giving the Dolphins 13.5 points, but at the end of the day, that's an insane spread in a playoff game between two division rivals. Buffalo will likely cover this spread if they come out and do what everybody's expecting them to. However, that doesn't mean the line isn't absurd.
The public betting in this game is favoring Buffalo at an 80% rate. This could be a time to fade the public considering how many people are all over Buffalo. Typically, when one team is getting more love than the other, the public usually doesn't end up on the right side. With a situation like this and having 80% of bettors back in Buffalo, it might not be a bad idea to join that 20% and hop on Miami +13.5.
It would be shocking to see Miami win this game with Skylar Thompson as their quarterback and the reality of the situation is that even if Tua was playing, they'd likely lose the game as well. However, 13.5 points might just be a bit too many in this situation, and fading the public could end up being profitable, just as it typically is.
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