Jeremiyah Love NFL Draft Odds: Is Notre Dame Running Back a Guaranteed Top 5 Pick on Thursday Night?
Jeremiyah Love is on the Ashton Jeanty arc from a season ago, as the rare running back superstar position is continuing to make a resurgence in the NFL. Is Love a bonafide Top 5 Pick, or will he somehow slip tonight? Peter Alexis assesses who could take the Notre Dame standout on Thursday night in Pittsburgh.
Peter Alexis - April 23, 2026, 4:15 PM EDT
4 Minute ReadWho Will Scoop Up Jeremiyah Love in Top 5 of NFL Draft Tonight?
Jeremiyah Love has become one of the most aggressively priced prospects near the top of the board, but his market still shows an interesting split depending on how the bet is framed. On one hand, he is sitting around -700 to be a top-five pick, which implies a very strong chance he comes off the board almost immediately. On the other hand, his draft-position prop is Under 4.5 at -235 and Over 4.5 at +166, which is still a strong lean to the under but not quite the same level of certainty.
That difference exists mostly because the Giants at No. 5 are such a strong fallback landing spot. Love does not need to be a lock for picks 2, 3, or 4 to justify heavy top-five odds. He only needs the market to believe that if the Titans and Cardinals pass, the Giants are very likely to stop his slide. That is why the “top five” price can be much steeper than a 4.5 line that still has to account for real uncertainty at Tennessee and Arizona.
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NFL Draft Date, Time, and Where to Watch
- Date: Thursday, April 23rd, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET
- How to Watch: ABC, ESPN
Jeremiyah Love NFL Draft Odds
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Jeremiyah Love NFL Draft Odds Breakdown
Love’s player profile explains why he is getting this kind of respect. At Notre Dame in 2025, he ran for 1,372 yards and 18 rushing touchdowns, added receiving value, and finished as one of the most explosive offensive players in the class. He was a Heisman finalist, and late draft buzz has consistently described him as a top-tier talent regardless of positional value. That matters because teams are not just evaluating him as a running back. They are evaluating him as a potential offensive centerpiece.
The team-to-be-drafted-by market paints the picture clearly. The Titans are the current favorite at +145, the Cardinals are next at +220, the Giants are +250, and the Commanders sit at +550. Tennessee has been tied to Love for weeks and has repeatedly come up as his most likely landing spot at No. 4. Arizona has also been linked to him if it stays put, while the Giants loom as the safety net because they can justify taking him at 5 or pivoting elsewhere knowing they also hold No. 10. Washington is more of the chaos outcome if Love slips farther than expected or if a trade changes the board.
That is also what is driving the slight difference between the books. A “top five” prop captures the combined strength of all those landing spots, especially the Titans, Cardinals, and Giants. The Under 4.5 specifically asks whether he goes before the Giants are on the clock, so it is more exposed to a scenario where Tennessee and Arizona both choose defense and Love lands exactly where the fallback logic says he might: New York at No. 5. In other words, the market is saying Love is very likely to go top five, but not quite as certain to go top four.
The biggest remaining question is positional philosophy. Some evaluators think Love is too explosive to pass up early, while others still hesitate to spend such premium capital on a running back. That is why there is just enough room for disagreement even with heavy top-five odds. But unless the Titans, Cardinals, and Giants all independently decide to prioritize other needs, Love still looks like one of the strongest bets on the board to hear his name called inside the first five picks.
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