NASCAR Odds: Kyle Larson Strong Favorite to Win Pala Casino 400

The NASCAR season has been filled with excitement so far, and this weekend should be no different. The Pala Casino 400 takes place this Sunday and Kyle Newman is here to break down the odds.
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NASCAR Odds: Kyle Larson Strong Favorite to Win Pala Casino 400

The NASCAR season is officially underway. Ricky Stenhouse Jr. took him the victory at Daytona, but the books don’t believe a repeat is on the cards. Instead, the books believe that Kyle Larson will round back into form and win his first race of the season after a disappointing start.

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Pala Casino 400 Odds

Despite finishing 18th at Daytona, the books give Kyle Larson +650 odds, or an implied 13.3% chance to win at Auto Club Speedway. He’s followed by Chase Elliott, who’s given +700 odds or an implied 12.5% chance to win. Elliott also struggled in the opening race of the season, finishing 38th at Daytona. Denny Hamlin, at +800 or an implied 11.5% chance, is the only other driver given at least a 10% chance of victory. Like Larson and Elliott, Hamlin didn’t have the best start to the year, finishing 17th.

Stenhouse is given +5000 odds, or just an implied 2% chance to get a second straight victory. Stenhouse has only won two races in a season, once in 2017, when he won at Daytona and Talladega.

The sportsbooks' backing of Kyle Larson here makes a world of sense. Last season Larson finished 32nd at Daytona only to win this race. The backing of Elliott and Hamlin is a little more confusing, though. Elliott finished 26th on this track last year, and Hamlin finished 15th here. However, Hamlin did finish top 10 in 2018, 2019, and 2020. I wouldn’t count out Stenhouse, though, he may be a longshot, but he did finish 10th in this race last year.

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Pala Casino 400 Winner Odds

RacerOddsImplied Chance
Kyle Larson+65013.3%
Chase Elliott+70012.5%
Denny Hamlin+80011.1%
Kyle Busch+10009.1%
Ryan Blaney+10009.1%
Christopher Bell+10009.1%
Joey Logano+12007.7%
Martin Truex Jr.+12007.7%
William Byron+12007.7%
Ross Chastain+12007.7%
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A PR Associate at @OddsCheckerUS. Available for Podcasts, Radio, and TV. Quoted in Forbes, Chicago Tribune, Sports Illustrated, and more.

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