2025 Emmy Odds: Who Will Win Best Comedy, Drama, Supporting Actor Prizes?
The 2025 Emmy Awards will air live from the Peacock Theater in Los Angeles on Sunday night at 8 pm ET. Who will take home the biggest prizes of the night in drama, comedy, and supporting actor categories? Severance and The Studio are favorites for many, let's take a look at the complete Emmy Award odds.
Peter Alexis - September 12, 2025, 9:15 AM EDT
5 Minute Read2025 Emmy Odds: Who Will Win Best Comedy, Drama, Supporting Actor Prizes?
The MTV Video Music Awards return in 2025 with one of the most star-studded lineups in recent memory. This year’s nominations feature a mix of established icons and rising stars, setting the stage for a night filled with high anticipation and potential surprises. At the center of the buzz are Kendrick Lamar and Bruno Mars, two heavyweights who enter the ceremony as frontrunners across multiple categories.
Lamar leads the field with Not Like Us, the powerhouse track that has positioned him as the favorite for both Best Hip Hop and the coveted Video of the Year. His sharp lyricism and cultural influence make him a force difficult to match, and many see this as another chapter in his already legendary run. Mars, meanwhile, has doubled his chances in Best Pop with two nominations, Die With a Smile featuring Lady Gaga and Rose with Apt., proving his versatility and dominance across collaborations.
With contenders like Sabrina Carpenter, Ariana Grande, Morgan Wallen, and Jelly Roll also in the mix, the 2025 VMAs promise not only major headlines but also the possibility of upsets. From breakout performers to veteran superstars, the awards are once again set to reflect the evolving landscape of music while celebrating the artists shaping its future.
The best part is, you can bet on all of these outcomes on Kalshi, with an award market for each category. Let's take a look at the complete VMA odds for Video of the Year, Best New Artist, and more.
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Latest Emmy Odds
Best Drama Series Odds
The Best Drama Series race is shaping up to be one of the tighter battles of the night. Severance holds the edge as the favorite at -200, boosted by critical acclaim and strong buzz heading into Emmy season. Right behind it, though, is The Pitt at +210, making this more of a two-horse race than a runaway.
Further down the board are The Last of Us and The White Lotus, both sitting at +2500. While each is an established prestige title with passionate followings, the odds suggest they’re longshots this year. Unless there’s a surprise, the drama crown will likely come down to whether Severance can hold off The Pitt.
Best Drama Actor Odds
The Best Drama Actor category looks heavily tilted toward Noah Wyle for The Pitt, who leads the odds at -370. His performance has captured critical praise and positioned him as the clear frontrunner, making it tough for any competitor to catch him.
Chasing from behind is Adam Scott at +430 for Severance, while Pedro Pascal (+2000) for The Last of Us and Gary Oldman (+3500) for Slow Horses are longshots despite their star power. Unless the Academy delivers a shocker, Wyle looks set to take home the Emmy, with the rest of the field mostly in supporting roles in this wide-open night for drama.
Best Comedy Series Odds
The Best Comedy Series category looks like another showcase for Seth Rogen’s The Studio, which dominates the odds at -750 and carries a strong chance of adding the Emmy to its breakout run. Voters have embraced the show’s sharp writing and star power, making it the clear frontrunner.
Chasing from behind are Hacks at +750, The Bear at +2000, and Only Murders in the Building at +2500. Each has critical acclaim and loyal fanbases, but none appear close to unseating The Studio. Unless the Academy delivers a shocker, this race looks like Rogen’s series to lose.
Best Comedy Actor Odds
The Comedy Actor race is loaded with star power, but the odds suggest it may already be decided. Seth Rogen is the runaway favorite at -650 for The Studio, carrying an implied 87% chance of winning. His performance has drawn both critical praise and broad appeal, making him the man to beat in this category.
The rest of the field is chasing from a distance. Martin Short sits at +650 for Only Murders in the Building, while Jeremy Allen White is a surprising longshot at +1700 despite the momentum of The Bear. Jason Segel, meanwhile, rounds things out at +4000 for Shrinking. With Rogen so heavily favored, it would take a massive upset to prevent him from walking away with the Emmy.
Best Supporting Actor Odds
The Best Supporting Actor category looks like one of the most unpredictable races of the Emmys, with no nominee emerging as a clear favorite. Javier Bardem leads the group at +2200 for Monsters: The Lyle and Erik Menendez Story, while Rob Delaney sits at +2600 for Dying for Sex. The longshot status continues with Presume Innocent castmates Peter Sarsgaard and Bill Camp, both at +2900, though their chances could be undercut by splitting the vote.
With all four contenders priced so closely, this category feels ripe for a surprise. Bardem’s name recognition might give him the slightest edge, but at these odds, any of the nominees could deliver one of the night’s biggest upsets.
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