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Wimbledon 2022 Men's Futures Odds: Is Novak Djokovic Worth a Play as the Odds-On Favorite?

Wimbledon gets underway next week, and tennis expert Mike Spector offers his analysis for who should be the favorite on the Men's side, as well as who is in the next tier of contenders and who are the most enticing plays at longer odds.
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Wimbledon 2022 Men's Futures Odds: Is Novak Djokovic Worth a Play as the Odds-On Favorite?

A quick look at the Men's futures odds for Wimbledon at most sportsbooks suggests that Novak Djokovic is the overwhelming favorite, which will force bettors to decide on whether or not to back his -125 odds to take home the title is worth it before the tournament starts. 

Djokovic's mammoth odds are a product of several things. He is the three-time defending champion. The other is that Djokovic does not have as much competition this year, as the man who holds the most Wimbledon titles of all time, Roger Federer, is missing the tournament because of injury, while others are missing the tournament for reasons out of their control.

World No. 1 Daniil Medvedev and Andrey Rublev have been banned from this year's competition, as a rule, was implemented that players from Russia and Belarus are not allowed to participate due to the ongoing war in Ukraine. Furthermore, world No. 2 Alexander Zverev is also unable to participate, as he is still recovering from ankle surgery. As a result, history will be made at the All England Club this year, as this is the first time since the ATP started ranking players that the top two players are missing Wimbledon.

With a compromised field, are Djokovic's -125 odds justified, or is there another player that will prevent him from winning his fourth straight Wimbledon title? Here is a quick breakdown of the top contenders and players with longer odds that we expect to challenge at Wimbledon.

Wimbledon 2022 Men's Odds

Wimbledon 2022 FAVORITE

Novak Djokovic (-125) (Bet $125 to Win $100)

Djokovic's six Wimbledon titles rank third on the all-time list. He would join Roger Federer, Pete Sampras, and Bjorn Borg as the only Men's players in the Open Era to win four consecutive Wimbledon titles if he took home the trophy this year. Also, a seventh Wimbledon title would move Djokovic into a second-place tie with Sampras and William Renshaw and one shy of Federer's record eight. However, more importantly for Djokovic, a win would move him into sole possession of second place on the all-time Grand Slam wins list with 21, one shy of Rafael Nadal's 22.

Wimbledon 2022 TOP CONTENDERS

Matteo Berrettini (+600) (Bet $100 to Win $600)

The fact that Berrettini is second on the odds list suggests how seriously he should be considered to contend. Berrettini lost as the No. 7 seed in last year's final to Djokovic in four sets, as the then world No. 1 battled back from losing a first-set tiebreak. Berrettini is 33-8 on grass, and that loss to Djokovic is his only loss in the last 17 matches on the surface. As long as he avoids a date with Djokovic until the finals, his +600 must be considered enticing.

Rafael Nadal (+650) (Bet $100 to Win $650)

Nadal's 22 career Grand Slam titles have him two clear of the pack, and at age 36, he will be fueled by his chase for the calendar Grand Slam as he won both the Australian Open and French Open this year. However, grass is not Nadal's preferred surface, and he has not appeared in a Wimbledon final since 2011. That could easily change in a less star-studded field this year, but there are serious concerns about his foot injury and how he will hold up physically for seven matches.

Wimbledon 2022 LONG SHOTS

Felix Auger-Aliassime (+1200) (Bet $100 to Win $1200)

Auger-Aliassime is coming off a quarterfinal appearance at Wimbledon in 2021 and can build off the momentum of giving Nadal his toughest challenge throughout his French Open run, pushing the Spaniard to a grueling five-set marathon. FAA possesses a big enough serve to dominate his way through at least three or four victories, but I would want to wait and see his draw before deciding to fire at his +1200 odds.

Marin Cilic (+2000) (Bet $100 to Win $2000)

Cilic nearly became one of the few Men's players to reach the final in all four Grand Slam events, though he came up short in a semifinal loss to Casper Ruud at Roland Garros. Cilic was upset in the semifinals of last week's Queen's Club Championships in London and has not made it past the third round of Wimbledon since 2017. However, he is 85-35 on grass and 31-13 at Wimbledon and could be one of the longer shots best positioned to take advantage of a weaker field.

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Mike Spector brings unmatched knowledge and insight into the game of football, and more importantly the process of betting on NFL football. Mike is the #2 ranked expert in FantasyPros' NFL betting contest


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