Best MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert's Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Thursday's Opening Day
Best MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert's Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Thursday's Opening Day
Although it's Opening Day, we already nailed a home run prop earlier this season! Sounds silly, right? Well, we did. We nailed Manny Machado to smack a home run in the second game of the Korea Series. It's about to be an extremely fun season in the MLB. Make sure to check back daily for my home run picks throughout the year! Let's have an (Opening) Day!
March 28 Best MLB Home Run Props
Max Muncy to Hit a Home Run (+360) CLICK HERE TO SEE WHICH SPORTSBOOK HAS THE BEST ODDS
Alright, the Dodgers' starting lineup just isn't fair.
You can select Shohei Ohtani, Freddie Freeman, Max Muncy, or even James Outman against Miles Mikolas tonight.
Mikolas gave up a .204 ISO and wOBA of .344 to 409 lefties last season. He also struck out lefties just 15.2% of the time and allowed more than 28% of line drive contact to lefties.
In addition, Mikolas gave up 52% of hard contact and rarely got any whiffs.
Any of the lefties will work in the Dodgers' lineup. But we'll take Max Muncy, who hit an ISO of .272 with a wOBA of .373 against righties last year.
Spencer Torkelson to Hit a Home Run (+350) CLICK HERE TO SEE WHICH SPORTSBOOK HAS THE BEST ODDS
The White Sox will start Garrett Crochet, a left-handed pitcher, for tonight's Opening Day game.
Crochet only threw against 64 batters last year. But when he faced 42 righties, he allowed a .207 ISO and wOBA of .326 with 41.7% of fly balls. Crochet also allowed 62.5% of hard contact and struck out just 19% of righties during that time.
He'll face Spencer Torkelson, who crushed lefties last season. As a right-handed batter, he smacked a .300 ISO and wOBA of .365 against 157 righties last season. Torkelson also minimized strikeouts to 20.4% against lefties.
Let's get a Tork Bomb tonight.
Christian Walker to Hit a Home Run (+420) CLICK HERE TO SEE WHICH SPORTSBOOK HAS THE BEST ODDS
The Colorado Rockies will start Kyle Freeland for tonight's Opener. Freeland is a left-handed thrower who really struggled against righties last season.
He allowed a .234 ISO and wOBA of .387 with only 12.5% of strikeouts against righties last year.
Freeland also allowed 30% of fly balls and 26.2% of line drives and gave up 54.6% of hard contact to 530 righties faced.
Meanwhile, Christian Walker became one of the best hitters against lefties in the game. Last year, he slugged a .303 ISO and wOBA of .385 with only 17.6% of strikeouts in 182 plate appearances against lefties.
Walker hit nearly 35% of fly balls and line drives while smacking 60% of hard contact against lefties. He even had a 15.2% barrel percentage.
Best MLB Home Run Prop Bets Today
- Max Muncy to Hit a Home Run (+360) (Bet $100 to collect $460)
- Spencer Torkelson to Hit a Home Run (+350) (Bet $100 to collect $450)
- Christian Walker to Hit a Home Run (+420) (Bet $100 to collect $520)
MLB ODDS
Article Author
Jason grew up an avid sports fan. His passion for sports writing grew in high school and he developed a blog that was strictly for New York Sports. From his work, you will quickly realize that he loves looking at games from an analytical and numbers perspective and hopes to provide you with that same perspective in his articles.