Best MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert's Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Sunday
Best MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert's Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Sunday
We have one more day of MLB before the All-Star break. Let's enjoy it and profit from it.
Here are three home run props to consider for tonight's slate in the MLB.
July 14 Best MLB Home Run Props
Josh Naylor to Hit a Home Run (+470) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds
The Rays will pitch Ryan Pepiot for today's game against the Guardians. Pepiot is a righty, who has allowed a .200 ISO and wOBA of .362 to his last 50 lefties.
He's also given up 33.3% of line drives with nearly 26% of fly balls to lefties in the last 30 days.
Meanwhile, the Guardians have plenty of lefties that can do damage. But it starts with Josh Naylor, who launched a .235 ISO and wOBA of .387 against righties over the last 30 days.
Naylor has struck out 18.4% of the time and has hit a 57.4% hard contact rate against righties in the last 30 days. Let's give Naylor a go.
Mike Yastrzemski to Hit a Home Run (+750) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds
The Giants will face Chris Paddack of the Twins. Paddack has been OK against righties, but he's allowed a .350 ISO and wOBA of .483 to his last 23 lefties. Additionally, he's earned only 8.7% of strikeouts against lefties over the previous 30 days.
That will work for Mike Yastrzemski. He's hit a .259 ISO and wOBA of .397 against his last 30 righties. Furthermore, he's added 27.8% of line drives against righties with a 22.2% barrel percentage.
At +750, you can't go wrong with taking a shot at Yaz.
Jarred Kelenic to Hit a Home Run (+520) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds
Jarred Kelenic has been one of the only consistent lefties for the Braves over the last 30 days. Against righties, Kelenic has hit a .231 ISO and wOBA of .365. He's also hit 29.6% of line drives with 50% of hard contact and a barrel percentage of 16.7%.
He'll face off against Randy Vasquez of the Padres. The right-hander has allowed a .205 ISO and wOBA of .470 to his last 49 lefties. In addition, Vasquez has earned only 4.1% of strikeouts against those 49 lefties.
That's not going to cut it.
With these numbers, Kelenic has a legitimate chance at launching a home run against Vasquez.
Best MLB Home Run Prop Bets Today
- Josh Naylor to Hit a Home Run (+470) (Bet $100 to collect $570)
- Mike Yastrzemski to Hit a Home Run (+750) (Bet $100 to collect $850)
- Jarred Kelenic to Hit a Home Run (+520) (Bet $100 to collect $620)
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Article Author
Jason grew up an avid sports fan. His passion for sports writing grew in high school and he developed a blog that was strictly for New York Sports. From his work, you will quickly realize that he loves looking at games from an analytical and numbers perspective and hopes to provide you with that same perspective in his articles.