Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays Betting Pick: Tail This oddschecker+ Positive EV Play for Wednesday
Our oddschecker+ Positive EV betting pick of the day comes to us from Wednesday's Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays game. Both Matt McCuen and our predictive AI model agree that this is one of the most valuable picks on the entire board tonight.
Matt McCuen - August 7, 2024, 10:28 AM EDT
5 minBaltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays Betting Pick: Tail This oddschecker+ Positive EV Play for Wednesday
The Toronto Blue Jays and the Baltimore Orioles will duel on Wednesday night. Tonight kicks off the second game of this AL East series after Toronto won last night, improving their record to 52-61.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays Date, Time and Where to Watch
- Date: August 7, 2024
- Time: 7:05 pm ET
- Where to Watch: MLB Extra Innings
Click here for the latest Orioles vs. Blue Jays odds
oddschecker+ Positive EV Tool
After cashing another bet together last night on the Houston Astros, I matched up with our oddschecker+ Positive EV Tool again. The implied probabilty for an Orioles win tonight is 57.47%, while our AI probability sits at 73%. That means the expected value on this wager is 27.02%.
Newly-acquired Orioles pitcher Trevor Rogers is much better than his numbers indicate, and will bounce back with a strong performance today against one of baseball's worst offenses. On the other side, Blue Jays pitcher Bowden Francis has struggled at home this season with an ERA of 6.32.
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Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays Betting Pick
The season has been highly underwhelming for the Jays, who sit in last place in the AL East.
Entering the season, many believed this Toronto team would compete for a playoff spot.
The Jays trail the first-place Yankees by 15 games in the AL East, and the final wildcard spot by 10 games.
Toronto has a negative run differential of -85 this season.
The Blue Jays rank 23rd in runs per game (4.14).
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. leads the squad, batting .317 with 22 home runs and 72 runs batted in.
Bo Bichette has struggled this season, with four home runs and 30 runs batted in.
Veteran George Springer has hit 13 home runs and 41 RBIs.
Bowden Francis will get the ball for the Jays tonight. Francis is 4-3 with a 5.64 ERA.
The Orioles start this contest with a 67-47 record.
Baltimore trails the first-place Yankees by 0.5 games in the AL East.
There is no question that the Orioles will make the playoffs.
The question is whether the Orioles will be division champs or punch their ticket via the wildcard.
Additionally, the Orioles are in a three-team race for the best record in the AL.
Baltimore has a run differential of +86 on the campaign.
Gunnar Henderson has enjoyed an All-Star season. Henderson leads the O's, batting .290 with 129 hits.
Anthony Santander has blasted a team-best 32 home runs paired with 75 RBIs.
Catcher Adley Rutschman has added 17 long balls and 67 runs batted in.
Southpaw Trevor Rogers will get the call tonight. Rogers, acquired from the Marlins at the deadline, is 2-10 with a 4.76 ERA.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays Pick
Pick: Baltimore Orioles ML -146 Click here to see which sportsbooks have the best odds for this pick
MLB Odds
