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The Boston Red Sox will battle the Texas Rangers on Monday night in the primetime slot. Can Rafael Devers go yard on national television? MJC Locks is expecting him to shine tonight against the Texas Rangers.
ANALYSIS

Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox Prop Pick: Can Rafael Devers Go Deep Against Rangers?

We have a nice Monday MLB slate, and I am going to be looking to take advantage of the boost that DraftKings is offering on home runs today. The Boston Red Sox will host the Texas Rangers, and I have a player that I am looking to target for a home run in this game. That player is Rafael Devers, who has been hitting the ball extremely hard over the last month. Although Devers has not homered in seven straight games, I think he breaks that streak tonight at Fenway.

Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox Date, Time and Where to Watch

  • Date: August 12, 2024
  • Time: 7:00 pm ET
  • Where to Watch: ESPN

Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox Prediction

Devers has been absolutely crushing baseballs over the last few months, especially against right-handed pitching. 37 of the last 50 batted balls he has hit vs. righties have been hit at least 90 MPH exit velocity, which I love to see when taking home run plays. Of those 50 batted balls six of them resulted in homeruns. I think Devers is in for a great matchup today vs. Rangers right-handed pitcher Tyler Mahle. Mahle just made his first MLB start in his last outing vs Houston and did fairly well. I don't expect the same success in a very hitter friendly park at Fenway, especially against a Red Sox team that crushes right-handed pitching.

Devers absolutely crushes the pitch mix that Tyler Mahle throws to left-handed batters. He primarily throws a 4-seam fastball and splitter to lefties. Against these pitches (vs. Righties), Devers has a .292 & .447 expected batting averages as well as .393 & .550 expected ISOs along with nine home runs in just 89 total plate appearances. Against righties, Devers has hit 21 homeruns in 288 plate appearances, which is just an insane rate. Devers has also been extremely hot at home as of late, and I think he extends that with a home run tonight. Given the price we are getting with the boost, I absolutely love this look!

Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox Prop Pick

0.25 Unit Pick: Rafael Devers to Hit a Homerun (+390) Click here to see which sportsbooks have the best odds for this pick

Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox System Projections - August 12th

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Article Author

MLBNBANFL

MJC Locks specializes in player props for the NBA, MLB, and NFL. With a background in statistics, MJC uses an analytical approach to his research to find value in the market. You can follow MJC over on Twitter @MJCLocks.

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