Best MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert's Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Tuesday
Best MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert's Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Tuesday
We started the week with two home runs between Alex Bregman (+420) and Anthony Santander (+390) on Sunday. Then, last night, Corey Seager came through for a +390 cash.
It's been a fun little run here. But I'm greedy. Let's look for some more profit with our home run props for tonight's slate.
August 13 Best MLB Home Run Props
Rafael Devers to Hit a Home Run (+350) CLICK HERE TO SEE WHICH SPORTSBOOK HAS THE BEST ODDS
The Texas Rangers will pitch Jose Urena against the Red Sox tonight. Urena is a right-handed pitcher who has allowed a .444 ISO and wOBA of .478 to his last 32 lefties.
He's also earned just 21.9% of strikeouts against lefties and has allowed 55% of hard contact with more line drives and fly balls than ground balls induced.
Meanwhile, Rafael Devers is a lefty who has smashed a .311 ISO and wOBA of .444 against his last 49 righties. Devers has struck out only 18.4% of the time against righties and has hit 62.2% of hard contact with a 16.2% barrel percentage.
Let's take a chance with Devers.
Corey Seager to Hit a Home Run (+310) CLICK HERE TO SEE WHICH SPORTSBOOK HAS THE BEST ODDS
We nailed Corey Seager last night. However, he's got an even better matchup tonight.
The left-handed slugger has knocked a .333 ISO and wOBA of .427 against his last 69 righties. He's also struck out below 16% of the time while hitting 67.3% of hard contact with a 17.3% barrel percentage.
He'll take on Kutter Crawford of the Red Sox, who has allowed his last 46 lefties to hit a .619 ISO and wOBA of .577 wOBA. Crawford just can't help giving extra-base hits out to lefties nonstop.
Crawford has allowed 41.2% of fly balls and has induced 29.4% of ground balls against lefties over the last month. He's also allowed 61.8% of hard contact and has struck out just 17.4% of lefties in the past 30 days.
Let's see if Seager can hit a home run in back-to-back days for us.
Zach Neto to Hit a Home Run (+460) CLICK HERE TO SEE WHICH SPORTSBOOK HAS THE BEST ODDS
Zach Neto has crushed righties, hitting a .250 ISO and wOBA of .381 over the last month. He's also struck out below 20% of the time over the last month against righties and has launched 53.7% of hard contact with 31.7% of fly balls and 26.8% of line drives in that time.
Tonight, he'll take on Toronto's Kevin Gausman. Gausman is a righty who has watched righties hit a .378 ISO and wOBA of .446 against him over the last 30 days. Those righties have struck out below 10% of the time and have hit 72.2% of hard contact.
Gausman has also allowed 33.3% of fly balls but has only induced 30.3% of ground balls.
Let's look for Neto to hit one over the wall tonight.
Best MLB Home Run Prop Bets Today
- Rafael Devers to Hit a Home Run (+350) (Bet $100 to collect $450)
- Corey Seager to Hit a Home Run (+310) (Bet $100 to collect $410)
- Zach Neto to Hit a Home Run (+460) (Bet $100 to collect $560)
MLB ODDS
Article Author
Jason grew up an avid sports fan. His passion for sports writing grew in high school and he developed a blog that was strictly for New York Sports. From his work, you will quickly realize that he loves looking at games from an analytical and numbers perspective and hopes to provide you with that same perspective in his articles.