Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies Betting Pick: Our Favorite oddschecker+ Positive EV Play for Wednesday
The Philadelphia Phillies will host the Miami Marlins on Wednesday night as they look to turn it around. Can Alec Bohm help drive in runs for the Phillies with a big night at the plate? Ben Rajavuori is targeting him with his top prop pick from the oddschecker+ Positive EV Tool for Marlins vs. Phillies.
Ben Rajavuori - August 14, 2024, 4:06 PM EDT
5 minMiami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies Betting Pick: Our Favorite oddschecker+ Positive EV Play for Wednesday
The Miami Marlins and Philadelphia Phillies close out a short two-game series from Philadelphia tonight after the Marlins game one by score 5–0. The Phillies and Marlins are bookends in the NL East, as the Phillies lead it with a 69–50 record, while the Marlins are 45–75 at the bottom. However, despite being so far apart in the standings, the regular season series sits at 4–4.
Marlins vs. Phillies Date, Time and Where to Watch
- Date: August 14, 2024
- Time: 6:40 pm ET
- Where to Watch: MLB Extra Innings
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oddschecker+ Positive EV Tool
The bet I love on Alec Bohm tonight is actually from the oddschecker+ Positive EV Tool, as there is 102% EV on Alec Bohm to go over .5 doubles tonight. The AI probability has this one at 36%, while the implied probability is at 17%, as this bet has +460 odds on Bet Rivers.
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Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies Prediction
The Phillies have been slightly faltering as of late despite leading their division by six games, as they have lost four games in a row and I’ve gone 6–14 over the last 20. They will need a spark to try and win this game tonight after being shut out last night, and I think that spark will come from third baseman Alec Bohm.
Alec Bohm leads the Phillies in batting average at .295 and also RBIs at 80. He has hit clean-up for the Phillies this year in most games sitting right in that fourth spot, which has been a perfect spot for him in this order and for the Phillies offense this year, as he was an All-Star selection.
Alec Bohm has hit a double in four of his last six games and was riding a 13-game hit streak that was snapped last night against Miami. Has not gone back-to-back games without a hit since June 27, and I think he will hit well off the Marlins pitcher Edward Cabrera tonight. Cabrera has a 5.2 ERA this season and a 7.08 ERA on the road. He has given up a higher batting average to right-handed hitters this year, and Bohm has been hitting righties well lately.
With these odds being so high, this bet is too hard to pass up given how well Bohm has been hitting lately. Has been hitting fewer home runs and more extra-base hits lately, as he had 10 doubles in July, but just one home run. He already has five doubles in August and just one home run. Therefore, getting +460 on him to hit a great value thanks to oddschecker+.
Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies Betting Pick
Pick: Alec Bohm O.5 Doubles +460 Click here to see which sportsbooks have the best odds for this pick
MLB Odds
