Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets Betting Pick: Our Favorite oddschecker+ Positive EV Play for Friday
The New York Mets will host the Miami Marlins on Friday night as they look to turn it around. Can Derek Hill help drive in runs for the Marlins as they attempt an upset? Ben Rajavuori is targeting him with his top prop pick from the oddschecker+ Positive EV Tool for Marlins vs. Mets.
Ben Rajavuori - August 16, 2024, 4:28 PM EDT
5 minMiami Marlins vs. New York Mets Betting Pick: Our Favorite oddschecker+ Positive EV Play for Friday
The New York Mets host the Miami Marlins in a three-game weekend series starting tonight from Citi Field in Queens. The Mets have gone 9–11 over their last 20 games and now sit at 62–59, which is good for third place in the NL East. The Marlins are last place in the same division with a record of 45–76 and have gone 9–11 also over the last 20 games. What should we expect from this series opener in Citi Field tonight?
Marlins vs. Mets Date, Time and Where to Watch
- Date: August 16, 2024
- Time: 7:10 pm ET
- Where to Watch: MLB Extra Innings, SNY
Click here for the latest Marlins vs. Mets odds
oddschecker+ Positive EV Tool
For this play, we are going back to our beloved oddschecker+ Positive EV Tool that has given us some nice winners over the last few weeks, including the +235 RBI play we hit on Colton Cowser last night. Tonight, there’s another play high up on the tool that I love.
This play is on Derek Hill of the Miami Marlins to record an RBI at +260 on Bet Rivers. The AI probability has this one at 55%, while the implied probability is at 28%, giving us 90% EV on this play.
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Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets Prediction
While Derek Hill may not be a household name, he has recorded an RBI in five of his last 10 games and has been a good hitter for the Marlins so far in his short time on the team. He is hitting .256 this year, but he has been even more impressive against left-handed pitching.
Derek Hill will be up against Sean Manaea of the Mets tonight, a left-handed starter. This season, Derek Hill is hitting .316 with a 1.065 OPS against left-handed pitching. Hill has 16 RBIs this season, and 12 of them have come against left-handed pitching despite having fewer at-bats against lefties. He has truly thrived against left-handed pitching, and he may be hitting at the bottom of the order, but he has managed to record some high RBI games in August so far since being acquired by the Marlins.
Hill has played eight full games with the Marlins so far, and he has an RBI in four of them. Three of those were multi-RBI games as well. Let’s back Hill to stay hot and record another one tonight at +260.
Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets Betting Pick
Pick: Derek Hill to Record an RBI +260 Click here to see which sportsbooks have the best odds for this pick
MLB Odds
