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Kerry Carpenter Tigers

New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers Betting Pick: Our Favorite oddschecker+ Positive EV for Sunday

The Detroit Tigers will host the New York Yankees at a neutral site game for Sunday Night Baseball. Can Kerry Carpenter go yard at the Little League Classic for the Tigers? Ben Rajavuori is targeting him with his top prop pick from the oddschecker+ Positive EV Tool for Yankees vs. Tigers.

Ben Rajavuori - August 18, 2024, 2:53 PM EDT

5 min

New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers Betting Pick: Our Favorite oddschecker+ Positive EV for Sunday

The Detroit Tigers and New York Yankees meet in the Little League Classic from Bowman Field in Williamsport, Pennsylvania tonight on Sunday night baseball. This is always a fun game to watch and closes out another week in baseball as we get closer to the postseason.

New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers Date, Time and Where to Watch

  • Date: August 18, 2024
  • Time: 7:10 pm ET
  • Where to Watch: ESPN

Click here for the latest Yankees vs. Tigers odds

oddschecker+ Positive EV Tool

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Tonight, we are looking at another prop from the oddschecker+ Positive EV Tool. The last two articles we did with plays from this tool were +235 and +250 RBI props that both hit. Tonight, we have a home run prop to close out the week.

This play is on Kerry Carpenter of the Tigers to record a home run at +450 on Caesars. The AI probability has this one at 33%, while the implied probability is 18%, giving us 81.5% +EV.

Capitalize on every edge with our new public betting splits to find where the money is coming in at oddschecker+

New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers Prediction

The Tigers cooled off a little bit recently as they have gone 9–11 over their last 20 games to drop their record to 60–64, as it is now looking more unlikely that they will make the postseason.

Meanwhile, the Yankees have surged in the standings and have taken over sole possession of first place in the AL East with a record of 73–51 after going 13–7 over the last 20 games. They now have the second-best record in all of baseball behind the Phillies.

Kerry Carpenter will be up against Marcus Stroman of the Yankees tonight. Stroman has given up 18 home runs in 121 innings this season. Carpenter only has one at-bat in his career against Marcus Stroman, but this matchup should favor him, as Carpenter has done very well against right-handed pitching this year, and Stroman has been worse against left-handed hitters.

Carpenter is hitting .310 with a 1.025 OPS against right-handed pitching this year. Although he has been on and off the field due to injuries, he has 11 home runs in 145 bats against right-handed pitching this year. Additionally, Stroman has given up nine home runs to both left-handed and right-handed hitters, despite having fewer at-bats against left-handed hitting, as lefties have a .840 OPS against him, while righties have just a .721 OPS off Stroman.

Carpenter has hit a home run in four of his last 10 games and hit five home runs in May (his last healthy month) in just 55 at-bats. I feel he’s being overlooked in this game and could easily go yard at a pretty good price of +450 tonight.

New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers Prediction

Pick: Kerry Carpenter to Hit a Home Run +450 Click here to see which sportsbooks have the best odds for this pick

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