Memphis Grizzlies vs. Dallas Mavericks Best Bet: Can Kyrie Irving Shine Without Luka Doncic Tonight?

Memphis Grizzlies vs. Dallas Mavericks Best Bet: Can Kyrie Irving Shine Without Luka Doncic Tonight?

The Dallas Mavericks host the Memphis Grizzlies tonight from American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas, with the Mavericks playing their first game of the season without Luka Doncic. Luka is out for personal reasons, which leaves them without their leading scorer. Luka was averaging 31.1 points per game over the first 17 games of the season, with Kyrie Irving being the second-leading scorer with 24.6 points per game. What should we bet with Luka out tonight?

Grizzlies vs. Mavericks Date, Time, and Where to Watch

• Date: December 1, 2023
• Game Time: 7:30 pm ET
• Where to Watch: NBA League Pass

Memphis Grizzlies vs. Dallas Mavericks Prediction

Kyrie joined the Mavericks midway through last season after the Nets team split up and the stars went their separate ways. Kyrie has made a noticeable impact on the Mavericks offense, and his chemistry with Luka appeared to improve this season after a shaky start last year.

Luka does not miss many games, but the Mavericks are a 42% win team without Luka and a 55% win team when Luka is playing in his six years as a Maverick. The offense also drops off with five fewer points per game, which is not surprising. Since Kyrie has been a Maverick, Kyrie has played four games without Luka. In those four games, Kyrie has averaged 38 points + rebounds + assists. His PRA (Points+Rebounds+Assists) line for tonight is 45.5, which has come down from 46.5 already.

45.5 is not a light number for PRA. That is the third-highest line below Joel Embiid and Nikola Jokic tonight. Kyrie is certainly a good scorer, but he has topped six rebounds in one game this season, and he has averaged 6 assists this year. His PRA average this season is 34.2 per game. I get that Luka Doncic is out, but his PRA is set at more than ten more for this game with Luka out?

Kyrie has had two games all season with 30+ points, and he only has two double-doubles this season. Even with a triple-double, Kyrie would need 26 points to hit the over on his PRA, and that's two points higher than his season average. This line seems like an overreaction to Luka being out, and I think Kyrie easily goes under this number. Kyrie has only passed 45.5 PRA in two games this year. I think he goes under again tonight.

Memphis Grizzlies vs. Dallas Mavericks Best Bet

Pick: Kyrie Irving Under 45.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-110) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds

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