Italy vs France Lineups, Prediction, Betting Picks & Odds
Italy vs France picks, lineups and odds for this UEFA Nations League A game. Check predicted formations and Same Game Parlay ideas before kickoff.
Cody Moore - November 12, 2026, 10:55 AM EST
6 minutesItaly vs France Game Preview
Competition | UEFA Nations League |
|---|---|
Game Date | Thursday, November 12, 2026 |
Game Time | 2:45 PM ET / 11:45 AM PT |
Venue (City, Stadium) | Stadio Giuseppe Meazza |
Italy vs France is the headline game on Thursday's UEFA Nations League slate at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, and the Italy vs France betting odds make the visitors the moneyline favorite at +111 (Polymarket).
Italy sit second in the standings with seven points, so head coach Roberto Mancini's side need a result at home to keep the pressure on the leaders.
France top the standings unbeaten with 10 points. Head coach Zinedine Zidane's team arrive off a wild late comeback against Belgium, and Michael Olise did the damage.
France have won their last 3 away games against Italy in all competitions, and a point on Thursday is enough to secure their progression.
Italy vs France Recent Results
Italy made light work of a struggling Türkiye side last time out, winning 3-1 at Renato Dall'Ara and pulling clear in the final half-hour. Their recent UEFA Nations League run also includes a tie with France, and they have won 7 of their last 10 games against all opponents. The finishing is there. The back line is the worry.
France have the momentum. Michael Olise started on the bench against Belgium and still bagged a brace as a stunning late rally produced a 4-1 win. That keeps Zidane's team unbeaten in their UEFA Nations League group games, and Olise is the man in form heading to Milan's biggest stage of the week.
Italy vs France Lineups & Team News
Injuries & Suspensions
Italy: Mohamed Alì Zoma (Injured/out), Gianluca Mancini (Injured/out), Giovanni Di Lorenzo (Injured/out), Matteo Ruggeri (Injured/out), Giacomo Raspadori (Injured/out)
France: Pierre Kalulu (Injured/out), Jules Koundé (Injured/out), Ousmane Dembélé (Injured/out), Maxence Lacroix (Injured/out), Maghnes Akliouche (Injured/out)
Italy
Giacomo Raspadori, Giovanni Di Lorenzo and Matteo Ruggeri are among the players set to miss out for Italy. Head coach Roberto Mancini could hand a start to Roma center back Daniele Ghilardi, while Michael Kayode and Riccardo Calafiori will start as the fullbacks.
France
The bigger Italy vs France lineups news sits with the visitors. Michael Olise and Désiré Doué return to the starting lineup after being benched against Belgium, and Dayot Upamecano is available again after serving his suspension in that game. Ousmane Dembélé and Jules Koundé are both out injured.
Italy vs France Predicted Lineup
Italy
Formation: 4-3-3 (probable)
Predicted Starting Lineup: Probable XI: Gianluigi Donnarumma; Michael Kayode, Alessandro Bastoni, Daniele Ghilardi, Riccardo Calafiori; Sandro Tonali, Alessandro Romano, Nicolò Barella; Sebastiano Esposito, Francesco Pio Esposito, Nicolò Cambiaghi
France
Formation: 4-2-3-1 (probable)
Predicted Starting Lineup: Probable XI: Guillaume Restes; Andy Diouf, Leny Yoro, Jérémy Jacquet, Malo Gusto; Lucas da Cunha, Eduardo Camavinga; Désiré Doué, Rayan Cherki, Michael Olise; Kylian Mbappé
Italy vs France Key Stats & Game Facts
- There have been 29+ shots taken in 4 of Italy's last 4 games (UEFA Nations League A).
- France have had 7+ shots on target in 3 of their last 3 games (UEFA Nations League A).
- Michael Olise has scored in 3 of his last 3 appearances (UEFA Nations League A).
- Rayan Cherki has scored or assisted in 3 of his last 3 appearances (UEFA Nations League A).
Italy vs France Prediction & Best Picks
Our Prediction
Our Italy vs France prediction is Italy 1-2 France. Italy have enough at home to find the net, but France have scored at least 2 goals in their last 3 away games against Italy in all competitions. With Kylian Mbappé leading the line and Olise back in the XI, the visitors have the extra gear to edge it.
Best Picks
France to Win in the Moneyline market. France have won 8 of their last 10 games against all opponents, and they top the standings for a reason. Getting the favorite at a plus price against an Italy side shuffling its defense is our top Italy vs France best picks call.
Over 2.5 Goals, our Total Goals Over/Under selection. Italy have seen over 2.5 goals in their last 3 home games against France in all competitions, and our projected scoreline gets there. With France's attack in this kind of form, a messy, open game is the read, not a stubborn one.
Italy vs France Same Game Parlay
Our Italy vs France Same Game Parlay picks all back France's attack: Michael Olise to score, Désiré Doué on target, Rayan Cherki to assist and France to pile up corners.
Michael Olise in the Anytime Goalscorer market. He has landed this in each of his last 3 appearances, and he returns to the right side of France's attack.
Désiré Doué Over 0.5 in the Player Shots On Target market. Across his last 4 appearances he has cleared this line every time, and he is back in the lineup.
Rayan Cherki Over 0.5 in the Player Assists market. The playmaker has cashed this in 2 of his last 3, pulling the strings centrally behind Mbappé.
Over 5.5 in the Total Away Corners market. France have cleared this in 3 of their last 3, and a side this attack-minded keeps the corner count ticking.
Shopping around pays off, so compare prices for this four-leg ticket using the Same Game Parlay Comparison Tool at Oddschecker.
Same Game Parlay odds correct at time of publishing.
Italy vs France Talking Points
The headline is France's front line. Mbappé leads it, Olise arrives in form, and Zidane's side need only a point to secure progression, so the pressure sits squarely on Roberto Mancini's reshuffled back line with Daniele Ghilardi in line for a start. Italy have the home crowd, but France have won four of the six previous meetings between these sides, and that edge is hard to ignore.
Italy vs France Predictions FAQs
What time is the Italy vs France game?
The game kicks off at 2:45 PM ET / 11:45 AM PT on Thursday, November 12, 2026.
Where is Italy vs France being played?
The game is being played at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza.
What formations are expected for Italy and France?
The probable lineups show Italy in a 4-3-3 formation and France in a 4-2-3-1 formation.
Which betting markets are available for Italy vs France?
The available markets for Italy vs France are the Moneyline, Both Teams To Score and Total Goals Over/Under.
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