Grizzlies vs Warriors Picks and Prediction: Depleted Rosters Make Monday's Matchup a Total Guessing Game
Memphis Grizzlies, sitting 11th in the Western Conference at 20-31, travel to face 8th-placed Golden State at Chase Center on Monday, February 9, tipping off at 10:00 PM ET. With the Grizzlies navigating their fourth game of a brutal West Coast road trip without star Ja Morant and freshly-traded Jaren Jackson Jr. while ranking 29th in defensive rating over their last 10 games, this matchup pits a lottery-bound squad that hasn't won in San Francisco since 2022 (9-15 away) against a Warriors team stuck on a three-game home losing streak and averaging just 94.3 points without injured franchise cornerstone Stephen Curry as both depleted rosters limp toward the All-Star break with Golden State holding a 1-0 season series edge after their 131-118 October blowout.
OC Staff - February 9, 2026, 9:30 PM EST
3 Minute ReadGrizzlies vs Warriors Picks and Prediction: Depleted Rosters Make Monday's Matchup a Total Guessing Game
Grizzlies vs Warriors Recent Performance
Memphis sits 11th in the West at 20-31. Their last outing was a 122-115 road loss to Portland on Saturday, marking their second straight defeat at Moda Center. The Grizzlies have gone 2-8 over their last 10 games, sitting dead last in defensive rating (29th) over that stretch. Ty Jerome dropped 20 PPG on ridiculous 56.5% shooting to lead Memphis, while Cam Spencer has averaged 15.0 PPG over his last five with 61.9% shooting from deep.
Golden State sits 8th in the conference at 28-25. Their most recent game ended in a 105-99 home loss to the Lakers on Saturday night, extending their Chase Center skid to three straight. The Warriors have gone 4-6 in their last 10 games and are 5-9 without Steph Curry this season. Moses Moody led the way with 25 points in Saturday's loss while Gui Santos added 15 points, eight boards and three assists. Pat Spencer has stepped into the starting role, averaging 14.5 points, 5.7 assists and 5.0 rebounds in six starts.
Grizzlies vs Warriors Head to Head
The last meeting was an October 27 blowout that saw Golden State cruise 131-118 at home. The Warriors have dominated this series, winning seven of the last eight matchups. Six of the last seven meetings sailed over the total, and Memphis hasn't won at Chase Center since 2022. Golden State holds a 1-0 season series edge with one more meeting scheduled for February 25.
Memphis Grizzlies vs Golden State Warriors Date, Time, and Where to Watch
- Date: Monday, February 9, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET
- How to Watch: NBC Sports BA, FanDuel SN SE, NBA League Pass
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Grizzlies vs Warriors Odds
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Grizzlies vs Warriors Team News
Memphis enters this game with a roster that's barely recognizable following Thursday's trade deadline. Ja Morant (left elbow UCL sprain) remains out for his 10th consecutive game after not playing since January 21. Zach Edey is out for his 28th straight with an ankle stress reaction. Brandon Clarke is sidelined with a right calf strain, and Santi Aldama is out with right knee injury management. Walter Clayton Jr. is questionable with a right calf contusion. The Grizzlies shipped Jaren Jackson Jr. to Utah in the deadline deal, leaving the defense without its anchor. Jerome (20.0 PPG) has carried the offense while Spencer (12.0 PPG, 5.6 APG) runs the point.
Golden State faces its own injury nightmare despite being at home. Stephen Curry is out for his fourth consecutive game with right patellofemoral pain syndrome, averaging just 94.3 PPG in those four games without their franchise player. Kristaps Porzingis remains out for Achilles injury management and won't debut until after the All-Star break. Jimmy Butler is done for the season with a torn ACL. L.J. Cryer (hamstring) and Seth Curry (sciatica) are also out. The Warriors are 5-9 without Steph this season. Brandin Podziemski (11.9 PPG, 4.6 RPG, 3.5 APG) and Moses Moody (11.4 PPG) shoulder the offensive load.
Prediction: Warriors 113, Grizzlies 107
This matchup features two teams missing their best players and half their rotations. Memphis traded away Jaren Jackson Jr. and lost their defensive identity, ranking 29th in defensive rating over the last 10 games. The Grizzlies just got swept in Portland, surrendering 135 and 122 points respectively. Golden State hasn't won at home in three games and averaged 94.3 PPG without Curry. The Warriors shoot 45.3 threes per game (1st in NBA) and lean on volume identity when creation is gone. Memphis has averaged 122 PPG over their last five despite the roster chaos, going 3-1 ATS in their last four. Both teams push pace when healthy, Memphis ranks 2nd in pace over the last 10 games. Warriors own Memphis at Chase Center but can't score without Steph. This spread moved from -7.5 to the -9.5 range for good reason, neither team inspires confidence.
Best Bet: Grizzlies +9.5 (-115) Click here to get the best odds at BetMGM Sportsbook
The Warriors averaging 94.3 PPG without Curry tells you everything. Golden State has no business laying double digits when they can't break 100 points. Memphis has put up 122 PPG over their last five games and covered at 3-1 ATS in their last four. Jerome's 56.5% shooting and Spencer's 61.9% three-point clip over the last five gives Memphis offensive firepower the market isn't respecting. Warriors have covered the first-half spread in just 12 of their last 35 home games (-14.30 units, -36% ROI), and they're 2-3 ATS in their last five overall. The Grizzlies grab 45.5 rebounds per game (8th in NBA) compared to Golden State's 42.6, and with Curry and Porzingis out, Memphis should own the glass against a Warriors frontcourt running on fumes. Golden State leads the NBA in three-point attempts but needs volume to compensate for missing 50+ points of nightly production between Curry and Butler. Memphis ranks 29th defensively over the last 10 games, but the Warriors can't exploit that without their shot creators. This number opened at -7.5 and ballooned to -9.5 as the public hammered Golden State at home, but the sharps are fading this inflated spread. Take the points with a Grizzlies squad that's shown fight despite the injuries and let the Warriors prove they can win by 10 without their best player.
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