Arkansas State vs. Troy Prediction, Betting Pick, Latest College Basketball Odds for Sun Belt Championship

We’ve got a key Sun Belt matchup tonight as Troy takes on Arkansas State in what should be a competitive battle. Both teams have had solid seasons, but only one will come out on top in this crucial game. Let’s break it down and find the best bet for tonight.

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Arkansas State vs. Troy Odds

Arkansas State vs. Troy Date, Time, and Where To Watch

• Date: March 10, 2025
• Time: 7:00 pm ET
• Where To Watch: ESPN2

Click here for latest Arkansas State vs. Troy Odds

Arkansas State vs. Troy Prediction

Arkansas State, led by Taryn Todd, has been dominant offensively, finding multiple ways to score and excelling at the free-throw line. This team has been consistent all season and will be looking to continue its strong play at home.

On the other hand, Troy has relied heavily on Tayton Conerway to carry the offense, and while he’s been their go-to guy, the team has had serious issues with turnovers. That’s a major concern heading into this game, as Arkansas State ranks second in defensive efficiency and will capitalize on every mistake Troy makes.​​ Troys inability to take care of the ball has cost them in big spots all season, and now they face a defense that thrives on forcing turnovers and creating fast-break opportunities.

Troy does have an edge on the glass, as they’ve been one of the better rebounding teams in the conference, but that alone won’t be enough to offset their turnover issues. Another problem for them is their heavy reliance on three-point shooting. While they can catch fire from deep, Arkansas State’s perimeter defense is elite and will make life difficult for Troy’s shooters all game long. Arkansas State is simply the better team here—they defend at a high level, take care of the ball, and have multiple ways to score. Expect them to take advantage of Troy’s mistakes and control this game from start to finish.

Arkansas State vs. Troy Pick

• Pick: Arkansas State ML (-130) Get oddschecker+ right now for just $0.99 per month. Don't miss out on this first month deal!