Manel Kape vs. Kyoji Horiguchi Prediction, Betting Pick, Latest UFC Odds for Saturday, June 20th
Manel Kape faces Kyoji Horiguchi in a flyweight rematch on Saturday night at UFC Vegas 119. Can Kape avenge his 2017 loss, or will Horiguchi spoil his title-shot push again? Check out this Manel Kape vs. Kyoji Horiguchi prediction and best bet for Saturday, June 20.
Peter Alexis - June 20, 2026, 7:30 PM EDT
4 Minute ReadManel Kape vs. Kyoji Horiguchi Prediction: Can Horiguchi Pull Upset in UFC Flyweight Main Event on Saturday Night?
Manel Kape faces Kyoji Horiguchi in the UFC Vegas 119 main event on Saturday, June 20, in Las Vegas. Kape is a -156 favorite, while Horiguchi is +130 as the underdog.
This rematch has major flyweight stakes, with the winner expected to stay right in the title-shot conversation. Kape has improved dramatically since Horiguchi submitted him in 2017, but the first fight still matters because Horiguchi has already shown he can solve this matchup.
Looking for advanced AI predictions and props to enhance your betting? Try out oddschecker+ now on this limited time 7-day free trial!
Manel Kape vs. Kyoji Horiguchi Odds
- Moneyline: Kape (-160), Horiguchi (+135)
Manel Kape vs. Kyoji Horiguchi Date, Time, and Where to Watch
- Date: Sunday, June 20, 2026
- Time: 10:15 PM ET (Estimated Fight Time)
- Where to Watch: Paramount+
Click here for complete Kape vs. Horiguchi odds
Manel Kape vs. Kyoji Horiguchi Prediction
Kape’s case is built around the improvements he has made since that first meeting. He is faster, sharper, and more dangerous than he was in RIZIN, and his recent UFC run has shown more discipline behind the explosiveness. He passed on waiting for a title shot to take this fight, which says plenty about his confidence, but it also means he is risking a lot against the one opponent on the board with direct proof of concept against him.
Horiguchi’s case starts with experience and composure. He has fought at an elite level across multiple promotions, and he has seen almost every type of speed, power, and scramble a flyweight can bring. The previous submission win over Kape does not guarantee the same result nine years later, but it does prove Horiguchi can read Kape’s timing and find answers when the fight opens up.
The five-round format also helps the underdog argument. Kape can win rounds with explosiveness, but Horiguchi is built to adjust over time, manage pace, and stay calm if the early exchanges are dangerous. If this becomes a tactical fight after the first 10 minutes, Horiguchi’s experience and decision-making become much more valuable.
Manel Kape vs. Kyoji Horiguchi Pick
- Pick: Horiguchi Moneyline (+130) Check out these best odds at bet365 Sportsbook
The best angle is Horiguchi moneyline at +130. Kape has the flashier current profile and deserves respect, but this line is too dismissive of Horiguchi’s history, IQ, and five-round reliability. In a rematch with title implications, the underdog has enough paths to win a close fight and make the plus-money price worth backing.
MMA ODDS & PICKS
Affiliate Disclosure.
We are not a gambling or betting operator, but we receive a commission from these companies when we advertise their brands and refer customers to them (affiliate marketing). We provide information, odds information and links to websites of these companies. Some of the information made available on our site may be positioned as a result of a commission paid to us by a third party. We do not take or place bets/transactions and any information on Our Products is provided for entertainment purposes only.
