Missouri vs. Georgia Prediction, Betting Pick, Latest CFB Odds for Saturday, November 14th
No. 22 Missouri travels to Athens on Saturday afternoon for an SEC matchup with No. 1 Georgia, as the Bulldogs look to extend their conference lead and strengthen their College Football Playoff positioning. Can Gunner Stockton and Nate Frazier continue Georgia's recent offensive dominance against Austin Simmons and a Missouri defense that has been difficult to run against? Check out this Missouri vs. Georgia prediction and best bet for Saturday, November 14.
Peter Alexis - November 14, 2026, 1:30 PM EST
5 Minute ReadMissouri vs. Georgia Prediction: Do Tigers Stand a Chance Against Dawgs on Saturday Afternoon?
The Missouri Tigers (6-3, 3-3 SEC) visit the No. 1 Georgia Bulldogs (8-1, 6-1 SEC) at Sanford Stadium on Saturday, November 14, with kickoff scheduled for 3:30 PM ET on ABC. Georgia enters after consecutive dominant victories over Florida and Ole Miss, while Missouri is attempting to rebound from a disappointing home loss to Texas and improve its postseason positioning.
Georgia enters as a 16.5-point favorite, with the Bulldogs having won 10 consecutive meetings against Missouri. The matchup features two productive offenses, but Georgia's defensive dominance and ability to generate early separation create significant challenges for a Tigers team that has struggled to sustain offensive production against elite SEC competition.
Missouri vs. Georgia Recent Results
Missouri Tigers (6-3), (3-3 SEC)
Missouri suffered a 34-20 home defeat against No. 7 Texas on November 7, surrendering 21 unanswered points after building a 20-13 lead late in the third quarter. The Tigers were unable to maintain their offensive efficiency as Texas took control of the game, ultimately suffering their third loss of the season despite remaining competitive for much of the afternoon.
Quarterback Austin Simmons has been responsible for much of Missouri's offensive production, entering this matchup with 2,204 passing yards, 18 touchdowns and only two interceptions. Wide receiver Cayden Lee continues to be his most productive target, recording nine receptions for 79 yards against Texas and extending his streak of games with at least five catches to nine.
Missouri previously defeated Arkansas 34-10 on October 31, producing a much stronger defensive performance. Jamal Roberts contributed rushing and receiving touchdowns, while Simmons connected with Donovan Olugbode for another score. The Tigers built a 27-7 third-quarter advantage and never allowed Arkansas to threaten a comeback.
Missouri averages 30.2 points and 414.8 total yards per game, including 256.7 passing yards. The defense allows 20.1 points per contest and has been particularly effective against the run, surrendering just 95.8 rushing yards per game. However, containing Georgia's balanced offense presents a substantially greater challenge than the Tigers faced against Arkansas.
Georgia Bulldogs (8-1), (6-1 SEC)
Georgia delivered its most impressive performance of the season on November 7, dismantling No. 10 Ole Miss 42-7 in Oxford. The Bulldogs built a 35-0 advantage before allowing a fourth-quarter touchdown, dominating an Ole Miss offense that entered averaging more than 37 points per game.
Georgia rushed for 295 yards and recorded five sacks against an Ole Miss offensive line that had been among the nation's best in pass protection. Stockton directed an efficient offensive attack, while receiver Talyn Taylor scored three touchdowns and demonstrated Georgia's ability to generate explosive passing plays alongside its powerful rushing game.
The Bulldogs previously defeated Florida 27-8 on October 31, holding the Gators scoreless through three quarters. Georgia rushed for 217 yards, limited Florida to just 48 rushing yards and capitalized on turnovers, including Chris Cole's 66-yard fumble return touchdown.
Since suffering a 27-24 upset loss to Auburn on October 17, Georgia has outscored Florida and Ole Miss by a combined 69-15. The Bulldogs average 41.1 points per game while allowing just 14.0, ranking among the national leaders on both sides of the football. Georgia has also surrendered more than 20 points only once this season.
Missouri vs. Georgia Head to Head
- November 4, 2023: Georgia 30, Missouri 21
- October 1, 2022: Georgia 26, Missouri 22
- November 6, 2021: Georgia 43, Missouri 6
- December 12, 2020: Georgia 49, Missouri 14
- November 9, 2019: Georgia 27, Missouri 0
Georgia leads the all-time series 12-1 and has won 10 consecutive meetings against Missouri. The Bulldogs have been particularly dominant at home under Kirby Smart, winning all four meetings against the Tigers in Athens during his tenure.
Missouri has occasionally challenged Georgia despite the lopsided series history, losing by four points in 2022 and nine points in 2023. However, the Bulldogs have also produced several convincing victories, particularly when their defensive front has prevented Missouri from establishing an effective rushing attack.
Missouri vs. Georgia Date, Time, Where to Watch
- Date: Saturday, November 14th, 2026
- Time: 3:30 PM ET
- Location: Sanford Stadium, Athens, Georgia
- How to Watch: ABC
Missouri vs. Georgia Odds
- Spread: Missouri +16.5 (-105), Georgia -16.5 (-107)
- Total Points: Over 48.5 (-105), Under 48.5 (-112)
- Moneyline: Missouri (+575), Georgia (-750)
Click here for the latest Missouri vs. Georgia Odds
Missouri vs. Georgia Line Movement and Betting Splits
Georgia opened as a 12.5-point favorite at several sportsbooks before moving steadily toward -16.5, representing a four-point adjustment in the Bulldogs' direction. The movement has been driven by Georgia's overwhelming recent performances and Missouri's inability to maintain its lead against Texas. The current spread requires Georgia to win by at least 17 points, creating an important distinction from the earlier market.
Betting activity has strongly favored Georgia. One Saturday morning market snapshot showed approximately 76% of spread tickets and 78% of the handle backing the Bulldogs. The similar proportions indicate broad support for Georgia, with only a modest difference between average wager sizes on the two sides.
The total opened around 46.5 before moving into the 47.5 to 48.5 range, reflecting some expectation of increased scoring. Georgia's offense has been particularly effective at generating early separation, but Missouri's defensive strength against the run and Georgia's elite scoring defense create competing factors for the total. The market's most significant adjustment has been to the spread rather than the projected scoring environment.
Missouri Tigers Injury Report and Team News
- Gavin Hoffman (TE): Out, Undisclosed
- Josh Atkins (OL): Out, Undisclosed
- Langden Kitchen (EDGE): Out, Knee
- Malae Fonoti (RB): Out, Knee
Missouri enters with an important offensive-line absence in Atkins, creating additional concern against a Georgia front that recorded five sacks against Ole Miss. Simmons has been highly efficient protecting the football, but the Bulldogs' ability to pressure opposing quarterbacks could make maintaining that efficiency difficult. Hoffman's absence also limits Missouri's tight-end depth.
Kitchen's season-ending injury removes a contributor from Missouri's defensive edge rotation, while Fonoti remains unavailable in the backfield. The Tigers will continue relying heavily on Jamal Roberts, who has rushed for 1,071 yards and nine touchdowns. Cayden Lee is expected to remain available after avoiding a significant injury against Texas, providing Simmons with his most reliable receiving option.
Georgia Bulldogs Injury Report and Team News
- Amaris Williams (OLB): Out, Knee
- Drew Bobo (OL): Doubtful, Undisclosed
- Josh Horton (DT): Questionable, Undisclosed
Georgia enters relatively healthy compared with several previous weeks, although Bobo's doubtful designation is notable for an offensive line that has played together consistently throughout the season. His potential absence could affect communication and blocking assignments against Missouri's disruptive defensive front, particularly on interior rushing plays.
Horton's questionable status creates some uncertainty along the defensive line, but Georgia maintains considerable depth across its front seven. Cornerback Ellis Robinson IV and receiver Craig Dandridge are also expected to be available after leaving the Ole Miss game with injuries, providing reinforcement to both the secondary and passing attack.
Missouri vs. Georgia Prediction
Georgia's offensive balance and elite defensive efficiency create a favorable matchup against Missouri, particularly given the Bulldogs' recent ability to overwhelm quality SEC opponents. Covering 16.5 points requires a convincing victory, but Georgia's performances against Florida and Ole Miss demonstrate that it can create separation without relying on unusually explosive offensive production.
The most significant mismatch involves Missouri's rushing offense against Georgia's defensive front. The Tigers average 158.2 rushing yards per game, but Georgia allows only 83.8, ranking among the national leaders. If the Bulldogs can neutralize Roberts on early downs, Missouri will face more obvious passing situations against one of the conference's most disruptive defensive units.
Georgia has recorded 31 sacks this season and recently pressured an Ole Miss offense that entered with excellent protection statistics. Simmons has thrown only two interceptions, demonstrating strong decision-making, but sustained pressure could force Missouri to rely on shorter passes and limit opportunities for explosive gains.
The absence of Atkins along Missouri's offensive line could make that challenge even greater. Georgia's defensive front has the ability to collapse the pocket without consistently committing additional rushers, allowing the Bulldogs to maintain coverage numbers against Lee and the rest of Missouri's receivers.
Georgia's offense presents a similarly difficult challenge for Missouri's defense. The Bulldogs average 454.2 total yards per game, including 210.7 rushing yards, and have scored 45 offensive touchdowns this season. Stockton has completed 70.9% of his passes, allowing Georgia to remain efficient even when opponents devote additional attention to stopping the run.
Missouri's rushing defense has been one of its strongest units, but Georgia has the personnel to challenge that strength through multiple backs. Frazier and Chauncey Bowens have each scored six rushing touchdowns, creating flexibility in short-yardage and red-zone situations. The Bulldogs can also attack through play-action, especially when opponents commit additional defenders near the line of scrimmage.
Stockton's passing efficiency is another important advantage. He has thrown 20 touchdowns against four interceptions, while Taylor leads Georgia with six receiving scores. Missouri has allowed 234.7 passing yards per game, creating opportunities for Georgia to exploit coverage matchups if the Tigers become overly focused on stopping the rushing attack.
Georgia's ability to create early separation has been particularly impressive. The Bulldogs have outscored opponents 108-14 in the first quarter and 230-57 in the first half this season. Against Florida and Ole Miss, Georgia built substantial early leads before shifting into more conservative offensive approaches. Another strong opening could put Missouri into a difficult game script before halftime.
FairPlay AI projects Georgia as a 17.5-point favorite with an 89% win probability, compared with the sportsbook spread of -16.5. That creates one point of projected spread value for Georgia, a relatively modest edge that is supported more strongly by the Bulldogs' matchup advantages and recent form. The model also projects 50.5 total points, slightly above the sportsbook number of 48.5.
The biggest potential obstacle is Missouri's ability to limit rushing efficiency and keep possession through Simmons' short passing game. The Tigers have enough defensive talent to prevent Georgia from dominating every drive. However, if Georgia creates an early double-digit advantage and forces Missouri into predictable passing situations, the Bulldogs' pass rush and offensive versatility provide a realistic path to another victory by three possessions.
Missouri vs. Georgia Best Bet
- Best Bet: Georgia -16.5 (-107) Check out these best odds at DraftKings Sportsbook
Georgia's defensive front, offensive balance and recent dominance against Florida and Ole Miss provide the foundation for laying 16.5 points. Missouri's rushing defense is capable of creating resistance, but the Bulldogs have multiple ways to generate scoring opportunities and possess a significant advantage when forcing opponents into obvious passing situations.
The biggest risk is Missouri controlling enough possessions to prevent Georgia from building a substantial margin. However, the Bulldogs have demonstrated an ability to establish early leads against quality opponents, while Missouri's offensive-line concerns make sustained scoring production difficult. Georgia has a realistic path to winning by at least three possessions if it maintains its recent defensive efficiency.
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