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The Jets and Bengals square off in Week 3 from Metlife Stadium. The Bengals come into Week 3 with an 0-2 record but are one of the few heavy favorites on Sunday. Player prop expert John Hyslop is eyeing a Jets running back this Sunday.
ANALYSIS

New York Jets vs. Cincinnati Bengals Prediction, Player Prop Pick, Odds: Can We Count on Michael Carter?

Jets vs. Bengals Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds

  • Date: September 25, 2022
  • Game Time: 1:00 pm ET
  • Where to Watch: CBS

Jets vs. Bengals Odds

  • Spread: Bengals -6 (-110)
  • Total Odds: Over 45 (-110)
  • Moneyline Odds: Bengals (-240)

Click Here for Jets vs. Bengals Odds

I know it's early but at the end of the day, it's never too early to get some NFL bets on the card. Sure we still have Friday night and Saturday to get through but you can never really have enough bets for Sunday. Personally, I like to have so many that I forget that I even made some of them. People love surprises and betting on NFL games on Friday is a great way to surprise the Sunday version of you. It just makes sense. Everyone wins. Especially when they move on a play that legit has no chance of losing. A play like the one you are about to read about.

New York Jets vs. Cincinnati Bengals Prediction

Michael Carter Over 19.5 Receiving Yards (-115) (Bet $115 to Win $100)

*Odds Available at BetMGM & DraftKings

This one is flying proudly at BetMGM and DraftKings as we speak. I was hoping we get a ladder going at FanDuel but I'm not sure they will do one for a guy with a number under 20. We'll have to use the wait-and-see approach. Typically, I would just go 25+ for plus money on a move like this but I'm not sure a line like that is coming. Currently, Carter's name is nowhere to be found at FanDuel in the receiving market.

Michael Carter. That's right. He's one of our guys this week. There used to be another Michael Carter that played nose tackle for the San Francisco 49ers. Obviously, this isn't the same guy since the 49ers' Michael Carter is 61 years old now and about 85 pounds heavier but it's still worth noting. That Michael Carter was on the San Francisco team that beat the Cincinnati Bengals in the Super Bowl. I don't know where I'm going with this but it's all true.

Getting back on track, the new Michael Carter is getting targets in this offense. I was going to take his receptions over 2.5 but that price is -155 at the cheapest (BetMGM). Now I know he'll get to that number but the price is too high for me. I can't do it. Even though he's caught at least five balls in both games so far this season. The way I see it is he's gone for at least 27 receiving yards too so why not just go that route? Especially against the Cincinnati Bengals.

So far this season the Bengals are in the middle of the pack in receiving yards surrendered to running backs. The thing is, we're only talking about two games here. One of those games saw them allow 55 receiving yards to Tony Pollard so there is that. Plus, last season only five teams gave up more receiving yards to opposing running backs than the Bengals. Carter himself accounted for 95 of those yards in the Jets versus Bengals Halloween meeting. The way I see it is the Jets should play from behind Sunday. If and when that happens, Carter will be fed the ball in the passing game. He's already seen 14 targets this season. I'm not sure if it's even possible for him to go for less than 20 receiving yards this week.

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Article Author

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John has spent the past 20+ years betting sports on a daily basis and is considered by many to be a walking sports betting encyclopedia. From obscure player props to sides and totals, if there is an angle, John will find it. His work has appeared on Rotogrinders and he has been a regular on sports talk radio stations across the country. Based in the US, John operates a blog & podcast, Sports Bets Beers, which covers betting angles in the NFL, NBA, MLB, & NHL.

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