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Patrick Mahomes Chiefs shotgun snap

Chiefs vs. Jaguars Prediction, Pick, Odds: Can Kansas City Cover the Hefty Spread?

Handicapper Jason Radowitz is here with a Kansas City Chiefs vs. Jacksonville Jaguars pick in the 2023 NFL Divisional Round. Come get his Chiefs vs. Jaguars prediction, pick, and odds.

Jason Radowitz - January 17, 2023, 3:02 PM EST

5 min

Chiefs vs. Jaguars Prediction, Pick, Odds: Can Kansas City Cover the Hefty Spread?

On Saturday, the Kansas City Chiefs will take on the Jacksonville Jaguars in the Divisional Round of the NFL Playoffs in Kansas City, Missouri.

Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs will be looking for another Super Bowl title. This time, without the likes of Tyreek Hill. When Hill left the Chiefs for the Dolphins, many analysts expected Mahomes and the Chiefs to regress. But that's far from what happened.

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The Chiefs finished the season 14-3 and looked poised for another Super Bowl run.

Meanwhile, the Jaguars fell 27-0 before winning against the Chargers in the Wild Card round.

If the Jaguars start this game off sluggish against the Chiefs, there's no chance they're coming back as they've done over the last two games.

Here are our picks, predictions, and odds for Saturday's game between the Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Kansas City Chiefs.

Chiefs vs. Jaguars Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds

  • Date: January 21, 2023
  • Game Time: 4:30 pm ET
  • Where to Watch: NBC

Chiefs vs. Jaguars Odds

  • Spread: Chiefs -8.5 (-110), Jaguars +8.5 (-110)
  • Total Odds: O/U 53 (-110)
  • Moneyline Odds: Chiefs (-455), Jaguars (+345)

Click here for Chiefs vs. Jaguars odds

Chiefs vs. Jaguars Injury Report

Jaguars

Questionable: WR Kendric Pryor (Shoulder)

Out: CB Shaquill Griffin (Back)

Chiefs

Questionable: DE Frank Clark (Groin), WR Skyy Moore (Hand)

Out: RB Clyde Edwards-Helaire (Ankle), TE Jody Fortson (Elbow), DE Joshua Kaindoh (Illness)

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Jacksonville Jaguars Prediction

The Jacksonville Jaguars have been making it hard on themselves recently.

The Jaguars finished Week 18 with a win over the Tennessee Titans, 20-16, to earn a playoff bid this season. The Jaguars struggled offensively all game but got a big defensive touchdown toward the end to carry them to victory.

Last weekend, the Jaguars fell to the Los Angeles Chargers, 27-0, but used a massive second half to overcome that deficit and win.

But none of that will happen against the Chiefs. The Chiefs are too good to allow comebacks from other teams. It happened maybe once this season against the Broncos. The Chiefs might've looked lost against the Texans earlier this year too. But in the playoffs, the Chiefs will be locked in. They've been here before.

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Trevor Lawrence's inexperience will ultimately hurt the Jaguars. It's good that he's getting playoff experience right now. But he's got nothing when compared to Mahomes.

Lawrence finished last week with four touchdowns and four interceptions. He had all four interceptions in the first half and had most of his touchdowns in the second half. He didn't play his best but never gave up, which is excellent.

However, the Chiefs have a great secondary and reliable pass rush. Kansas City might struggle to stop Travis Etienne Jr. in the run game, but as long as the Chiefs consistently score, the defense will ultimately get stops in the passing game.

Kansas City got 41 passing touchdowns out of Patrick Mahomes. Yes, even without Tyreek Hill, Mahomes will be brilliant this year. He threw for 5250 yards, found Travis Kelce 12 times in the end zone, and earned 1338 yards passing with Kelce this season.

That combo should have success against the Jaguars. Jacksonville's got a terrific pass rush, but if Mahomes can make quick and concise decisions, he'll be fine. There's no better target than Kelce when Mahomes needs to get rid of it.

The Jaguars have also struggled in the tackling department this season. Kansas City has some hard runners and some very shifty athletes. Jacksonville's going to struggle in this game. They'll fall early and won't be able to come back in this one.

Back the Chiefs to earn a spot in the AFC Championship game.

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Jacksonville Jaguars Pick

  • Chiefs -8.5 (-110) (Bet $100 to Collect $190) Get the best odds, available at DraftKings

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