Houston Texans vs. Minnesota Vikings Betting Pick: Tail this oddchecker+ Positive EV Play for NFL Week 3
The Houston Texans will take on the Minnesota Vikings on Sunday afternoon. Can C.J. Stroud and the Texans steal a win on the road against a red-hot Minnesota team? Matt McCuen has aligned with the oddschecker+ Positive EV Tool to find a winning pick in this Texans vs. Vikings game for Week 3.
Matt McCuen - September 22, 2024, 9:09 AM EDT
5 minHouston Texans vs. Minnesota Vikings Betting Pick: Tail this oddchecker+ Positive EV Play for NFL Week 3
The Houston Texans will visit the Minnesota Vikings on Sunday afternoon. Both teams will attempt to stay perfect in the young season today.
Houston has looked great in the first two weeks, winning against the Indianapolis Colts and the Chicago Bears.
While the Texans are 2-0 on the season, if you have bet on this Texans team, you are 0-2 as they have not covered in either of their wins. Last weekend, the defensive unit carried the Texans to a 16-10 home win over the Chicago Bears.
Houston was the biggest surprise in football a season ago, as they found a way to win the AFC South and upset the Cleveland Browns in the first round of the playoffs.
I understand that this is the “square” side, but we are getting a steal of a line on the Texans. I believe they should be -3 or more, so we will take advantage of this short line today.
The Vikings have played above their ability in Weeks 1 and 2, and we will see regression from them this afternoon.
Additionally, our oddschecker+ Positive EV tool loves this play. The implied probability of a win is 59.68%, while our AI probability sits at 64 percent.
That means the expected value of this wager is 7.24%. Stroud and company will find a way to steal a game on the road today. Let’s stay hot!
Our predictive AI model delivers countless winners daily via our Positive EV tool.
Houston Texans vs. Minnesota Vikings Date, Time and Where to Watch
- Date: September 22, 2024
- Time: 1:00 pm ET
- Where to Watch: CBS
Houston Texans vs. Minnesota Vikings Odds
- Spread: Texans -1.5 (-115), Vikings +1.5 (-105)
- Total Odds: O 45.5 (-110), U 45.5 (-110)
- Moneyline Odds: Texans (-115), Vikings (-105)
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Houston Texans vs. Minnesota Vikings Prediction
Offensive rookie of the year C.J. Stroud leads the Texans offense. Stroud has thrown for 494 yards and three touchdowns.
Joe Mixon has looked great in his first season with the Texans. The veteran has dashed for 184 yards and one touchdown. Mixon will not play today, and Cam Akers will take over the backfield.
Nico Collins has been Stroud's favorite target, racking up 252 yards and one touchdown.
The Texans' defense ranks 13th, allowing opponents 20.0 points per game.
Minnesota entered the season expected to be one of the worst teams in the NFC. In the preseason, Kevin O'Connell's squad was picked dead last in the NFC North.
After two weeks, this Vikings team has shown that it can compete and win football games. While this team is not uber-talented on paper, they have found a way in weeks one and two.
Last week, Minnesota picked up a crucial win at home against the defending NFC Champion San Francisco 49ers. Veteran Sam Darnold commands the offensive unit. The former USC standout has thrown for 476 yards, four touchdowns, and two interceptions.
Long-time Packer Aaron Jones has taken over the backfield in Minnesota. Jones has rushed for 126 yards and one touchdown.
Justin Jefferson is off to a strong start this year, having collected 192 yards and a pair of touchdowns.
Minnesota ranks 3rd in points allowed per game (11.5).
Houston Texans vs. Minnesota Vikings Betting Pick
Pick: Houston Texans ML -115 Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds
NFL Odds
